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Statistical Inference on Structural Changes for Stationary/ Nonstationary Economic Models

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18730142
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionHitotsubashi University

Principal Investigator

KUROZUMI Eiji  Hitotsubashi University, 大学院経済学研究科, 准教授 (00332643)

Project Period (FY) 2006 – 2008
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2008)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥1,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000)
Fiscal Year 2006: ¥500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000)
Keywords計量経済学 / 構造変化 / 定常 / 非定常 / 共和分 / 情報量規準 / 閾値モデル / 時系列分析 / 定常性 / パネルデータ / ベクトル自己回帰モデル / バイアス修正 / 非定常性 / 閾値 / 自己回帰モデル
Research Abstract

実施した研究は,(1)経済データの定常・非定常性といった性質に依存しない構造変化の検出方法について,(2)経済の長期的な安定関係とその変化について,(3)複数の構造変化の検出方法について,である.得られた研究成果は,(1)経済データの状況に依存しない,一度の構造変化の統計的検出方法を確立したこと,(2)経済の長期的な安定関係の成立の有無を検討する新たな統計的手法を確立したこと,(3)経済の長期的な安定関係の推計方法を確立したこと,(4)複数の構造変化の統計的検出方法を確立したこと,である.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2008 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2007 Annual Research Report
  • 2006 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (38 results)

All 2009 2008 2007 2006

All Journal Article (24 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 18 results) Presentation (13 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic Properties of the Efficient Estimators for Cointegrating Regression Models with Serially Dependent Errors2009

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi and Kazuhiko Hayakawa
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Econometrics Vol.149 (No.2)

      Pages: 118-135

    • NAID

      120001267765

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic Properties of the Efficient Estimators for Cointegrating Regression Models with Serially Dependent Errors2009

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Econometrics 149(2)(In press)

    • NAID

      120001267765

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Role of "Leads" in the Dynamic OLS Estimation of Cointegrating Regression Models2008

    • Author(s)
      Kazuhiko Hayakawa and Eiji Kurozumi
    • Journal Title

      Mathematics and Computers in Simulation Vol.79 (No.3)

      Pages: 555-560

    • NAID

      120001267764

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 経済時系列分析と単位根検定:これまでの発展と今後の展望2008

    • Author(s)
      黒住英司
    • Journal Title

      日本統計学会誌(シリーズJ) Vol.38 (No.1)

      Pages: 39-57

    • NAID

      110006950753

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Test for the Null Hypothesis of Cointegration with Reduced Size Distortion2008

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi and Yoichi Arai
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Time Series Analysis Vol.29 (No.3)

      Pages: 476-500

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Test for the Null Hypothesis of Cointegration with Reduced Size Distortion2008

    • Author(s)
      Yoichi Arai
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Time Series Analysis 29(3)

      Pages: 476-500

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Role of "Leads" in the Dynamic OLS Estimation of Cointegrating Regression Models2008

    • Author(s)
      Kazuhiko Hayakawa
    • Journal Title

      Mathematics and Computers in Simulation 79(3)

      Pages: 555-560

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 経済時系列分析と単位根検定 : これまでの発展と今後の展望2008

    • Author(s)
      黒住英司
    • Journal Title

      日本統計学会誌(シリーズJ) 38(1)

      Pages: 118-135

    • NAID

      110006950753

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Test for the Null Hypothesis of Cointegration with Reduced Size Distortion2008

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Time Series Analysis (forthcoming)

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Role of "Leads"in the Dynamic OLS Estimation of Cointegrating Regresion Models2008

    • Author(s)
      kazuhiko Hayakawa
    • Journal Title

      Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (forthcoming)

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 経済時系列分析と単位根検定:これまでの発展と今後の展望2008

    • Author(s)
      黒住 英司
    • Journal Title

      日本統計学会誌(シリーズJ) 近刊

    • NAID

      110006950753

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Testing for the Null Hypothesis of Cointegration with a Structural Break2007

    • Author(s)
      Yoichi Arai and Eiji Kurozumi
    • Journal Title

      Econometric Reviews Vol.26 (No.6)

      Pages: 705-739

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] he Wald-Type Test of a Normalization of Cointegrating Vectors2007

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japan Statistical Society Vol.37 (No.2)

      Pages: 191-205

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ariable Lag Augmentation in Regression Models with Possibly Integrated Regressors: Some Experimental Results2007

    • Author(s)
      Taku Yamamoto and Eiji Kurozumi
    • Journal Title

      Hiroshima Economic Review Vol.31 (No.1)

      Pages: 21-34

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Efficient Estimation and Inference in Cointegrating Regressions with Structural Change2007

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi and Yoichi Arai
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Time Series Analysis Vol.28 (No.4)

      Pages: 471-627

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Efficient Estimation and Inference in Cointegrating Regressions with Structural Change2007

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Time Series Analysis 28(4)

      Pages: 471-627

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Variable lag Augmentation in Regression Models with Plssibly Integrated Regressors: Some Experimental Results2007

    • Author(s)
      Taku Yamamoto
    • Journal Title

      Hiroshima Economic Review 31(1)

      Pages: 21-34

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The Wald-Type Test of a Normalization of Cointegrating Vectors2007

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japan Statistical Society 37(2)

      Pages: 191-205

    • NAID

      110006570581

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Teting for the Null Hypothesis of Cointegration with a Structural Break2007

    • Author(s)
      Yoichi Arai
    • Journal Title

      Econometric Reviews 26(6)

      Pages: 705-739

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Wald-Type Test of a Normalization of Cointegrating Vectors2007

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japan Statistical Society (forthcoming)

    • NAID

      110006570581

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Efficient Estimation and Inference in Cointegrating Regressions with Structural Change2007

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Time Series Analysis (forthcoming)

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Testing for the Null Hypothesis of Cointegration with a Structural Break2007

    • Author(s)
      Yoichi Arai
    • Journal Title

      Econometric Reviews (forthcoming)

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Tests for Long-Run Granger Non-Causality in Cointegrated Systems2006

    • Author(s)
      Taku Yamamoto and Eiji Kurozumi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Time Series Analysis Vol.27 (No.5)

      Pages: 703-723

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Tests for Long-Run Granger Non-Causality in Cointegrated Systems2006

    • Author(s)
      Taku Yamamoto
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Time Series Analysis Vol. 27・No. 5

      Pages: 703-723

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 経済時系列分析:単位根検定と検出力2008

    • Author(s)
      黒住英司
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      近畿大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-09-15
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 経済時系列分析 : 単位根検定と検出力2008

    • Author(s)
      黒住英司
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      近畿大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-09-15
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 共和分分析と共和分ベクトルの標準化2008

    • Author(s)
      黒住英司
    • Organizer
      日本統計学会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-09-09
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report 2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Simple Panel Stationarity Test in the Presence of Cross-Sectional Dependence2008

    • Author(s)
      黒住英司
    • Organizer
      日本統計学会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-09-09
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report 2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Simple Panel Stationarity Test in the Presence of Cross-Sectional Dependence2008

    • Author(s)
      黒住英司
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society European Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      ボッコーニ大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-08-29
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Simple Panel Stationarity Test in the Presence of Cross-Sectional Dependence2008

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      ボッコーニ大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-08-29
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Simple Panel Stationarity Test in the Presence of Cross-Sectional Dependence2008

    • Author(s)
      黒住英司
    • Organizer
      New Zealand Econometric Study Group Metting
    • Place of Presentation
      オークランド大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-03-08
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A simple Panel Stationarity Test in the Presence of Cross-Sectional Dependence2008

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      New Zealand Econometric Study Group Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      オークランド大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-03-08
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Asymptotic Properties of the Efficient Estimators for Cointegrating Regression Models with Serially Dependent Errors2007

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      Hitotsubashi Conference on Econometrics 2007
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-11-24
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Asymptotic Properties of the Efficient Estimators for Cointegrating Regression Models with Serially Dependent Errors2007

    • Author(s)
      黒住英司
    • Organizer
      The Third Symposium on Econometric Theory and Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      香港科学技術大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-04-13
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report 2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Efficient Estimation and Inference in Cointegrating Regressions with Structural Change2006

    • Author(s)
      黒住英司
    • Organizer
      日本統計学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北大学
    • Year and Date
      2006-09-07
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Point Optimal Test for Cointegration With Unknown Variance- Covariance Matrix2006

    • Author(s)
      黒住英司
    • Organizer
      Australasian Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      リススプリングス・コンベンションセンター
    • Year and Date
      2006-07-07
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Point Optimal Test for Cointegration With Unknown Variance- Covariance Matrix2006

    • Author(s)
      黒住英司
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      福島大学
    • Year and Date
      2006-06-03
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Book] 統計学第1章 : 記述統計I、第2章 : 記述統計II(p.1-75 : 黒住担当)2008

    • Author(s)
      森棟公夫
    • Total Pages
      485
    • Publisher
      有斐閣
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2006-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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