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Evaluating the Effects of Recent Industrial Policies on Productivity: Micro Data Analysis

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18H00858
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 07040:Economic policy-related
Research InstitutionResearch Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry

Principal Investigator

Morikawa Masayuki  独立行政法人経済産業研究所, 所長, 所長 (70272284)

Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥6,890,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,590,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥9,620,000 (Direct Cost: ¥7,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,220,000)
Keywords産業政策 / サービス産業 / 生産性 / 新型コロナ / 企業行動 / 不確実性 / 政策評価 / ミクロデータ
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The purpose of this study is to link micro data of firm/establishment statistics with policy information to empirically evaluate the effects and side effects of policies targeting industries and firms. For this purpose, we conducted an original survey of Japanese firms in FY2018, and conducted a follow-up survey in FY2020. Firm-level panel data was constructed from the "Basic Survey of Japanese Business Structure and Activities" (Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry) and used for the analyses by linking with the survey data. Given the huge economic shock arising from the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020, the follow-up survey also collected information on the use of firm support measures under the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on these data, I have written more than 30 papers.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

企業・事業所レベルでの生産性分布やダイナミクスを解明する理論・実証研究は、研究代表者自身のものを含めて進展しており、生産性の企業間格差や生産性の高い企業の特性などについての知見はかなり蓄積されてきた。しかし、具体的な政策の有効性や副作用を実証的に検証したものは必ずしも多くない。生産性向上への関心が高まっている現在、政策の有効性や副作用を、ミクロデータを用いて定量的に明らかにすることは、経済政策に関する学術的研究として高い意義があるだけでなく、社会的にもエビデンスに基づく政策形成(EBPM)の普及に貢献するものである。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2021 Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • 2018 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All 2021 2020 2019 2018 Other

All Journal Article (6 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 5 results,  Open Access: 4 results) Presentation (1 results) (of which Invited: 1 results) Book (3 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Uncertainty in Long-Term Macroeconomic Forecasts: Ex post Evaluation of Forecasts by Economics Researchers2021

    • Author(s)
      Morikawa, Masayuki
    • Journal Title

      Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance

      Volume: forthcoming Pages: 8-15

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.qref.2020.10.017

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Price Competition vs. Quality Competition: Evidence from Firm Surveys2021

    • Author(s)
      Morikawa, Masayuki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economics and Business

      Volume: 未定 Pages: 106007-106007

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jeconbus.2021.106007

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Effects of Outside Directors on Firms’ Investments and Performance: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment in Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      Morikawa, Masayuki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 56 Pages: 101074-101074

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jjie.2020.101074

    • NAID

      210000178057

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report 2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 柔軟な働き方は賃金をどう変化させるか2020

    • Author(s)
      森川正之
    • Journal Title

      日本労働研究雑誌

      Volume: 723 Pages: 82-91

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Dispersion and Volatility of TFPQ and TFPR: Findings from Three Service Industries2019

    • Author(s)
      Morikawa, Masayuki
    • Journal Title

      Industrial and Corporate Change

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 6 Pages: 1515-1531

    • DOI

      10.1093/icc/dtz019

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report 2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Uncertainty over Production Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis Using Monthly Quantitative Survey Data2019

    • Author(s)
      Morikawa, Masayuki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Macroeconomics

      Volume: 60 Pages: 163-179

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jmacro.2019.01.007

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report 2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 生産性 誤解と真実2018

    • Author(s)
      森川正之
    • Organizer
      日本応用経済学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Book] コロナ危機の経済学:提言と分析2020

    • Author(s)
      小林慶一郎・森川正之(編著)
    • Total Pages
      379
    • Publisher
      日本経済新聞出版
    • ISBN
      9784532358617
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 『第4次産業革命と日本経済:経済社会の変化と持続的成長』2020

    • Author(s)
      矢野誠編
    • Total Pages
      244
    • Publisher
      東京大学出版会
    • ISBN
      9784130402903
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 『生産性 誤解と真実』2019

    • Author(s)
      森川正之
    • Total Pages
      313
    • Publisher
      日本経済新聞出版社
    • ISBN
      9784532358037
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] ディスカッション・ペーパー(日本語)

    • URL

      https://www.rieti.go.jp/jp/publications/act_dp.html

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] ディスカッション・ペーパー(英語)

    • URL

      https://www.rieti.go.jp/jp/publications/act_dp_en.html

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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