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Social effects on epidemics: A temporal network approach

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18H01655
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 25010:Social systems engineering-related
Research InstitutionTokyo Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

Holme Petter  東京工業大学, 科学技術創成研究院, 特任教授 (50802352)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 村田 剛志  東京工業大学, 情報理工学院, 教授 (90242289)
Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,990,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥5,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,290,000)
KeywordsNetwork science / Theoretical epidemioogy / Social simulation / network science / computational epidemio. / game theory / vaccination / information theory / epidemic outbreak / behavior change / temporal network / network epidemiology / theoretical epidemiology / ネットワーク疫学 / 社会システム / ネットワークセオリー / 複雑ネットワーク / 計算疫学 / 計算社会科学
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This project has resulted in many advances in network-based simulation methods of epidemics. We have designed new algorithms that can handle time-resolved data efficiently. We have created models to generate surrogate networks based on empirical contact data. Furthermore, we have analyzed vaccination on networks by game theory, and made several other applied and theoretical advances.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

Many of the ideas of this project have already diffused in the academic community. For society, Covid-19 has proved the need for accurate epidemic simulations. The distance from academic results to societal benefits is very short, and possibly our output has already benefitted decision-makers.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2021 Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • 2018 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (34 results)

All 2021 2020 2019 2018 Other

All Journal Article (19 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 18 results,  Peer Reviewed: 19 results,  Open Access: 14 results) Presentation (12 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 9 results,  Invited: 11 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (1 results) Funded Workshop (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Fast and principled simulations of the SIR model on temporal networks2021

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      PLOS One

      Volume: - Issue: 2 Pages: e0246961-e0246961

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0246961

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Multistage onset of epidemics in heterogeneous networks2021

    • Author(s)
      C-R Cai, Z-X Wu and Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      Phys. Rev. E

      Volume: - Issue: 3

    • DOI

      10.1103/physreve.103.032313

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Exit rights open complex pathways to cooperation.2021

    • Author(s)
      C Shen, M Jusup, L Shi, Z Wang, M Perc and Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      J. Roy. Soc. Interface

      Volume: 18 Issue: 174 Pages: 20200777-20200777

    • DOI

      10.1098/rsif.2020.0777

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Susceptible- infected-spreading-based network embedding in static and temporal networks.2020

    • Author(s)
      X-X Zhan, Z Li, N Masuda, Petter Holme and H Wang
    • Journal Title

      EPJ Data Sci.

      Volume: 30

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Freedom of choice adds value to public goods2020

    • Author(s)
      L Shi, I Romic;, Y Ma, Z Wang, B Podobnik, HE Stanley, Petter Holme and M Jusup
    • Journal Title

      Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA

      Volume: - Issue: 30 Pages: 17516-17521

    • DOI

      10.1073/pnas.1921806117

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Beyond ranking nodes: Predicting epidemic outbreak sizes by network centralities2020

    • Author(s)
      D Bucur and Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      PLOS Comp. Biol.

      Volume: - Issue: 7 Pages: e1008052-e1008052

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008052

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] β-cells operate collectively to help maintain glucose homeostasis2020

    • Author(s)
      B Podobnik, D Korosak, M Skelin Klemen, A Stozer, J Dolensek, M Slak Rupnik, PCh Ivanov, Petter Holme and M Jusup
    • Journal Title

      Biophys. J.

      Volume: - Issue: 10 Pages: 2588-2595

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.bpj.2020.04.005

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Coupling the circadian rhythms of population movement and the immune system in infectious disease modeling2020

    • Author(s)
      Z Du and Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      PLOS One

      Volume: - Issue: 6 Pages: e0234619-e0234619

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0234619

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Universal evolution patterns of degree assortativity in social networks.2020

    • Author(s)
      B Zhou, X Lu and Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      Soc. Netw.

      Volume: - Pages: 47-55

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.socnet.2020.04.004

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Small inter-event times govern epidemic spreading on networks2020

    • Author(s)
      Naoki Masuda, Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      Phys. Rev. Research 2

      Volume: 023163 Issue: 2

    • DOI

      10.1103/physrevresearch.2.023163

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report 2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Free and freer XY models2020

    • Author(s)
      Holme Petter、Gandica Yrali
    • Journal Title

      Physical Review E

      Volume: 101 Issue: 3

    • DOI

      10.1103/physreve.101.032311

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Efficient sentinel surveillance strategies for preventing epidemics on networks2019

    • Author(s)
      Colman Ewan、Holme Petter、Sayama Hiroki、Gershenson Carlos
    • Journal Title

      PLOS Computational Biology

      Volume: 15 Issue: 11 Pages: e1007517-e1007517

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007517

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Rare and everywhere: Perspectives on scale-free networks2019

    • Author(s)
      Holme Petter
    • Journal Title

      Nature Communications

      Volume: 10 Issue: 1

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41467-019-09038-8

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Impact of misinformation in temporal network epidemiology2019

    • Author(s)
      Holme Petter、Rocha Luis E. C.
    • Journal Title

      Network Science

      Volume: 7 Issue: 1 Pages: 52-69

    • DOI

      10.1017/nws.2018.28

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report 2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Impact of perception models on friendship paradox and opinion formation2019

    • Author(s)
      Lee Eun、Lee Sungmin、Eom Young-Ho、Holme Petter、Jo Hang-Hyun
    • Journal Title

      Physical Review E

      Volume: 99 Issue: 5

    • DOI

      10.1103/physreve.99.052302

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report 2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Navigating temporal networks2019

    • Author(s)
      Lee Sang Hoon、Holme Petter
    • Journal Title

      Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications

      Volume: 513 Pages: 288-296

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.physa.2018.09.036

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Detecting sequences of system states in temporal networks2019

    • Author(s)
      Masuda Naoki、Holme Petter
    • Journal Title

      Scientific Reports

      Volume: 9 Issue: 1

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41598-018-37534-2

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report 2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Heterogeneous cooperative leadership structure emerging from random regular graphs2019

    • Author(s)
      Rong Zhihai、Wu Zhi-Xi、Li Xiang、Holme Petter、Chen Guanrong
    • Journal Title

      Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science

      Volume: 29 Issue: 10 Pages: 103103-103103

    • DOI

      10.1063/1.5120349

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Epidemic extinction in networks: insights from the 12 110 smallest graphs2018

    • Author(s)
      Holme Petter、Tupikina Liubov
    • Journal Title

      New Journal of Physics

      Volume: 20 Issue: 11 Pages: 113042-113042

    • DOI

      10.1088/1367-2630/aaf016

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Freedom of choice adds value to public goods2020

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Socioeconomic Networks
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Temporal networks & the humanities2020

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      Historical Network Research
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] The big science of small networks2020

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      NetSci-X (Tokyo, Japan)
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Temporal networks of human interaction2019

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      International conference on complexity management science
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Spin systems on networks, revisited2019

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      CCS Satellite on Criticality in Networks and Socio-Economic Systems
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Temporal networks of human interaction2019

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      Workshop on the Frontiers of Network Science
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Temporal networks of human interactions2019

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      YEP XV Information diffusion on random networks
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] emporal networks2019

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      American Physical Society March Meeting
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Social simulation and human mobility2018

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      Center for Computational Social Science Kick-off
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Network epidemiology without random numbers2018

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      Complex Networks Workshop
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Social networks of social dilemmas: Experiments and simulations2018

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      IAS Research Symposium
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Objective measures in sentinel surveillance in network epidemiology2018

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      NetSci Satellite Workshop "Contagion & Networks"
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Temporal network theory2019

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme, Jari Saramaki
    • Total Pages
      375
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • ISBN
      9783030234959
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 情報・人工知能研究 Petter Holme 特任教授 - WRHI - 東京工業大学

    • URL

      https://www.wrhi.iir.titech.ac.jp/people/holme-petter/

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Funded Workshop] Mini workshop on network science2020

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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