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Analyses of negative factors affecting the cut flower productivity of the rose plant community for optimizing the greenhouse environmental conditions by using system dynamics models

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18H02197
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 39030:Horticultural science-related
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

Motoaki DOI  京都大学, 農学研究科, 教授 (40164090)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 後藤 丹十郎  岡山大学, 環境生命科学学域, 教授 (40195938)
稲本 勝彦  国立研究開発法人農業・食品産業技術総合研究機構, 野菜花き研究部門, グループ長補佐 (50223235)
Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥7,800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,800,000)
Keywords園芸技術 / バラ / 成育シミュレーション / 炭素収支 / システムダイナミクスモデル / 高精度化 / 二酸化炭素施用 / 園芸科学 / 生育シミュレーション
Outline of Final Research Achievements

To establish a methodology for optimizing the greenhouse environment control, a system dynamics plant model predicting the flowering date, yield and quality of arching roses was developed and negative factors affecting the cut flower productivity were elucidated by analyzing the errors between the measured value and the predicted value. As the error factors of carbon gain by bending shoots, overestimation of dark respiration during the night hours and photosynthetic rates during the morning hours of fair days and underestimation of photosynthetic rates during summer resulting from the seasonal changes of LAI were elucidated. It was necessary to set both high and low threshold temperatures when the days to flowering were predicted by using real temperatures. The carbon dioxide concentration was a factor affecting the photosynthetic rate but high carbon dioxide acclimatization occurred depending on the sink activities of harvest shoots.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

園芸生産において,施設環境管理などの栽培管理には科学的な最適化の理論が欠落している.本研究ではバラの切り花生産を例として,システムダイナミクスモデルによって開花日・収量・品質を予測する作物モデルを構築し,実測値と予測値との間の誤差を解析することで,モデルの高精度化を図りうることを示した.
具体的には,当初のモデルでは欠落していた光合成誘導反応,高二酸化炭素順化,LAIの季節変動,収穫枝のシンク活性の変化などの要因が誤差の要因として抽出され,その一部をモデルに取り込むことで,より精度の高い作物モデルが構築でき,生産者の意思決定支援ツールとして利用できることを示した.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • 2018 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (7 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2018

All Journal Article (1 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Effects of Harvest Shoot Stage on Partitioning of Photosynthates Originating from Bent Shoots in the Modified Arching Technique of Cut Rose Production2020

    • Author(s)
      Isobe, C., S. Kajihara, Y. Tanaka, K. Yasuba, Y. Yoshida, K. Inamoto, G. Ishioka, M. Doi and T. Goto
    • Journal Title

      The Horticulture Journal

      Volume: 89 Issue: 3 Pages: 278-283

    • DOI

      10.2503/hortj.UTD-116

    • NAID

      130007834021

    • ISSN
      2189-0102, 2189-0110
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] 高CO2順化したバラ個葉のCO2濃度およびO2濃度に対する光合成反応2022

    • Author(s)
      佐橋琴那・林 駿介・田中義行・土井元章
    • Organizer
      (一社)園芸学会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] バラアーチング栽培における開花日・収量・品質を予測するシステムダイナミクスモデルの検証2021

    • Author(s)
      林 駿介・稲本勝彦・後藤丹十郎・土井元章
    • Organizer
      (一社)園芸学会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] アーチング栽培バラにおけるCO2施用に伴う高CO2順化と順化からの回復2021

    • Author(s)
      林 駿介・田中義行・土井元章
    • Organizer
      (一社)園芸学会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Developing a system dynamics model for predicting the flowering time, yield and quality of cut roses trained by a shoot-bending technique2020

    • Author(s)
      Hayashi, S., I. Ono, M. DOI, K. Inamoto, C. Isobe and T. Goto
    • Organizer
      The 3rd Asian Horticultural Congress
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] システムダイナミクスイナミクスモデルの検証から明らかになったバラ生産群落の光合成誘導反応2018

    • Author(s)
      小野伊織 ・稲本勝彦 ・後藤丹十郎 ・土井元章
    • Organizer
      園芸学会平成30年秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 農業技術大系花卉編第7巻 カーネーション(ダイアンサス)・バラ,「切り上げアーチング方式」(p.512-38ーp512-45)2021

    • Author(s)
      土井元章
    • Total Pages
      623
    • Publisher
      農山村文化協会
    • ISBN
      9784540993565
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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