• Search Research Projects
  • Search Researchers
  • How to Use
  1. Back to previous page

Developments and applications of statistical prediction method

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18H03211
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 60030:Statistical science-related
Research InstitutionThe Institute of Statistical Mathematics

Principal Investigator

Eguchi Shinto  統計数理研究所, 医療健康データ科学研究センター, 特任教授 (10168776)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 小森 理  成蹊大学, 理工学部, 准教授 (60586379)
林 賢一  慶應義塾大学, 理工学部(矢上), 准教授 (70617274)
Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥16,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥12,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,840,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥2,860,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥660,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥2,860,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥660,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥3,380,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥780,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Keywordsメタアナライシス / 動的治療計画 / 情報幾何 / 種の分布モデル / コピュラ関数 / 混合効果モデル / 生存解析 / メタアナリシス / クラスタリング / パレート分布 / 一般化平均 / 幾何平均・算術平均 / ポアソン点過程 / 混合モデル / メタ解析 / 最適治療 / 準線形モデル / クラスター分析 / 混合化効果モデル / コルモゴロフ / 南雲平均 / マルチモーダル / オミックス データ
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Contributed to new proposals and practical applications from various directions for the development of statistical prediction methods based on generalized averages that integrate different data. Statistical considerations for integrating different data and obtaining a comprehensive understanding and a unified decision while allowing for data heterogeneity. The generalised mean is a generalisation of the mean discovered independently by Kolmogorov and Nagumo in the 1930s. In particular, one can consider very flexible means including arithmetic, geometric, harmonic and log-sum exponents. This generalised mean was actively incorporated into data learning algorithms with new proposals and practical applications in dynamic treatment, meta-analysis, copula functions, mixed effects models, active learning, clustering, survival analysis, species distribution models and information geometry.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

多くの従来モデリングは線形に限定されたものが多い。しかし、この研究は線形モデルを非線形に結合させるモデリングを提供した。これを準線形モデルと呼んだ。ニューラルネットワークと密接な関係があるが、準線形モデルはデータの解釈を明示的に与えることができる。同時にハイパーパラメータを選択すれば従来の線形モデルに帰着させることもできる。
このように、膨大な線形モデルの研究も相対化した新たなモデリングが可能になったことは学術的な意義が高い。現在進行中であるが個人化治療のための動的治療計画の内容で社会実装するプロジェクトが進行中であり将来性の高い方向が見出されている。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • 2018 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (46 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018

All Journal Article (17 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 14 results,  Peer Reviewed: 16 results,  Open Access: 14 results) Presentation (26 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Invited: 12 results) Book (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] Area under the curve‐optimized synthesis of prediction models from a meta‐analytical perspective2023

    • Author(s)
      Daisuke Yoneoka, Katsuhiro Omae, Masayuki Henmi, Shinto Eguchi
    • Journal Title

      Research Synthesis Methods

      Volume: 14 Issue: 2 Pages: 234-246

    • DOI

      10.1002/jrsm.1612

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Mahalanobis-Taguchi Method for Anomaly Detection and Classification2022

    • Author(s)
      Honma Kentaro、Ohkubo Masato、Eguchi Shinto、Nagata Yasushi
    • Journal Title

      Total Quality Science

      Volume: 8 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-13

    • DOI

      10.17929/tqs.8.1

    • ISSN
      2189-3195
    • Year and Date
      2022-12-27
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Robust Self-Tuning Semiparametric PCA for Contaminated Elliptical Distribution2022

    • Author(s)
      Hung Hung, Su-Yun Huang, Shinto Eguchi
    • Journal Title

      IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing

      Volume: 70 Pages: 5885-5897

    • DOI

      10.1109/tsp.2022.3230336

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Minimum information divergence of Q-functions for dynamic treatment resumes2022

    • Author(s)
      Shinto Eguchi
    • Journal Title

      Information Geometry

      Volume: 6 Issue: S1 Pages: 1-21

    • DOI

      10.1007/s41884-022-00084-8

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Active learning by query by committee with robust divergences2022

    • Author(s)
      Hideitsu Hino, Shinto Eguchi
    • Journal Title

      Information Geometry

      Volume: 6 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-29

    • DOI

      10.1007/s41884-022-00081-x

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Copula-based measures of asymmetry between the lower and upper tail probabilities2022

    • Author(s)
      Kato Shogo、Yoshiba Toshinao、Eguchi Shinto
    • Journal Title

      Statistical Papers

      Volume: 未定 Issue: 6 Pages: 1907-1929

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00362-022-01297-w

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Generalized quasi-linear mixed-effects model2022

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Saigusa, Shinto Eguchi, Osamu Komori
    • Journal Title

      Statistical Methods in Medical Research

      Volume: Online Published Issue: 7 Pages: 1280-1291

    • DOI

      10.1177/09622802221085864

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report 2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Pythagoras theorem in information geometry and applications to generalized linear models2021

    • Author(s)
      Shinto Eguchi
    • Journal Title

      Handbook of Statistics

      Volume: 45 Pages: 15-42

    • DOI

      10.1016/bs.host.2021.06.001

    • ISBN
      9780323855679
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] A Unified Formulation of k-Means, Fuzzy c-Means and Gaussian Mixture Model by the Kolmogorov-Nagumo Average2021

    • Author(s)
      Osamu Komori and Shinto Eguchi
    • Journal Title

      Entropy

      Volume: 23 Issue: 5 Pages: 1-21

    • DOI

      10.3390/e23050518

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report 2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Novel robust time series analysis for long-term and short-term prediction2021

    • Author(s)
      H Okamura, Y Osada, S Nishijima, S Eguchi
    • Journal Title

      Scientific reports

      Volume: 11 Issue: 1

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41598-021-91327-8

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Information Geometry Advocated by S. Amari2020

    • Author(s)
      江口 真透
    • Journal Title

      Bulletin of the Japan Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics

      Volume: 30 Issue: 3 Pages: 40-42

    • DOI

      10.11540/bjsiam.30.3_40

    • NAID

      130007961990

    • ISSN
      2432-1982
    • Year and Date
      2020-09-24
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Sampling bias correction in species distribution models by quasi-linear Poisson point process2020

    • Author(s)
      Komori, O., Eguchi, S., Saigusa, Y., Kusumoto, B. and Kubota, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Ecological Informatics

      Volume: 55 Pages: 1-11

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ecoinf.2019.101015

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report 2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Strong model dependence in statistical analysis: goodness of fit is not enough for Model2020

    • Author(s)
      John Copas and Shinto Eguchi
    • Journal Title

      Annals of the Institute of StatisticalMathematics

      Volume: 72 Issue: 2 Pages: 329-352

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10463-018-0691-8

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The power‐integrated discriminant improvement: an accurate measure of the incremental predictive value of additional biomarkers2019

    • Author(s)
      Hayashi, K., Eguchi, S.
    • Journal Title

      Statistics in Medicine

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 14 Pages: 2589-2604

    • DOI

      10.1002/sim.8135

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report 2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Development of novel diagnostic system for pancreatic cancer, including early stages, measuring mRNA of whole blood cells2019

    • Author(s)
      Sakai Yoshio、Honda Masao、Matsui Shigeyuki、Komori Osamu、Murayama Toshinori、Fujiwara Tadami、Mizuno Masaaki、Imai Yasuhito、Yoshimura Kenichi、Nasti Alessandro、Wada Takashi、Iida Noriho、Kitahara Masaaki、Horii Rika、Toshikatsu Tamai、Nishikawa Masashi、Okafuji Hirofumi、Mizukoshi Eishiro、et al
    • Journal Title

      Cancer Science

      Volume: 110 Issue: 4 Pages: 1364-1388

    • DOI

      10.1111/cas.13971

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Strong model dependence in statistical analysis: goodness of fit is not enough for model choice2018

    • Author(s)
      Copas, J. & Eguchi, S.
    • Journal Title

      Ann Inst Stat Math

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 01 Pages: 1-10

    • DOI

      10.1142/s2661335219500023

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report 2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of a concordance probability for doubly censored time-to-event data2018

    • Author(s)
      Kenichi Hayashi, Yasutaka Shimizu
    • Journal Title

      Statistics in Biosciences

      Volume: - Issue: 3 Pages: 546-567

    • DOI

      10.1007/s12561-018-9216-5

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 動的治療計画のためのロバストアンサンブル学習2022

    • Author(s)
      江口 真透, 小阪勇気
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 治療反応異質性に対して頑健な治療方針の推定2022

    • Author(s)
      大前 勝弘,江口 真透
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] コピュラ関数のダイバージェンスとその応用2022

    • Author(s)
      江口 真透,
    • Organizer
      共同研究集会「接合関数(コピュラ)理論の新展開」
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Odds-based predictive improvement index for binary regression models2022

    • Author(s)
      Kenichi Hayashi, Shinto Eguchi
    • Organizer
      The 11th Conference of the IASC-ARS
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] A new integrated discriminant improvement index via odds2021

    • Author(s)
      林 賢一,江口 真透
    • Organizer
      計量生物学会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] オッズに基づく二値回帰モデルの予測力改善指標2021

    • Author(s)
      林 賢一,江口 真透
    • Organizer
      計算機統計学会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 予測のための最大エントロピーと最小ダイバージェンス2021

    • Author(s)
      江口 真透
    • Organizer
      予測モデリングの理論と応用(科研費シンポジウム)
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 強化学習のための統計モデルと情報幾何2020

    • Author(s)
      江口真透
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 動的治療方針の推定における異質性の問題2020

    • Author(s)
      大前勝弘, 江口真透
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Robust outcome weighted learning2020

    • Author(s)
      小島 将裕, 江口 真透, 野間 久史
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 準線形予測関数をもつ一般化混合効果モデルについて2020

    • Author(s)
      三枝 祐輔, 小森 理, 江口真透
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Power-IDI:IDIに基づく予測能改善の定量化2019

    • Author(s)
      林賢一, 江口真透
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 動的治療計画の最近の進展と今後の展望2019

    • Author(s)
      江口真透
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] さまざまな研究パラダイムをつなぐ情報幾何2019

    • Author(s)
      江口真透
    • Organizer
      横幹連合コンファレンス
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 一般化平均を用いた非正規な混合効果モデル2019

    • Author(s)
      三枝 祐輔, 小森 理, 江口真透
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 一般化平均を使ったモデル,ダイバージェンス,ロス関数2019

    • Author(s)
      江口 真透
    • Organizer
      九州大学統計科学セミナー
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] A Generalized Mean for Positive Definite Matrices - Human Color Perception Problem -2019

    • Author(s)
      江口真透
    • Organizer
      Information Geometry and Affine Differential Geometry III Nagoya University, Nagoya
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 混合ハザードモデル2018

    • Author(s)
      大前勝弘, 江口真透
    • Organizer
      2018年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 異なるモデルの尤度関数の結合2018

    • Author(s)
      江口真透,竹之内高志
    • Organizer
      2018年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 一般化エネルギー関数に基づくクラスター分析2018

    • Author(s)
      小森理,江口真透
    • Organizer
      2018年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 一般化混合モデルの提案とその統計的性質2018

    • Author(s)
      江口真透
    • Organizer
      応用統計ワークショップ, 東京大学院経済研究科,東京都
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 最小ダイバージェンス幾何2018

    • Author(s)
      江口真透
    • Organizer
      ミニワークショップ 統計多様体の幾何学とその周辺(10).北海道大学,札幌市
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 統計モデリングのための一般化平均2018

    • Author(s)
      江口真透
    • Organizer
      ミニワークショップ 統計多様体の幾何学とその周辺(10).北海道大学,札幌市
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 一般化平均を使った統計方法2018

    • Author(s)
      江口真透
    • Organizer
      予測モデリングとその周辺 -機械学習・統計科学・情報理論からのアプローチ-.成蹊大学,武蔵野市
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 統計的機械学習法とデータの異質性に注目した解析法2018

    • Author(s)
      小森理
    • Organizer
      SICE制御部門 データ科学とリンクした次世代の適応学習制御調査研究会、統計数理研究所
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] A new composite estimand for regulatory clinical trials with dropouts2018

    • Author(s)
      Taguri, M., Hayashi, K.
    • Organizer
      The 29th International Biometric Conference, Barcelona
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Minimum Divergence Methods in Statistical Machine Learning: From an Information Geometric Viewpoint2022

    • Author(s)
      Shinto Eguchi, Osamu Komori
    • Total Pages
      221
    • Publisher
      Springer Nature
    • ISBN
      9784431569220
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Statistical Methods for Imbalanced Data in Ecological and Biological Studies2019

    • Author(s)
      Komori, O., & Eguchi, S.
    • Total Pages
      55
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • ISBN
      9784431555698
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] On the launch of the journal Information Geometry”, Information Geometry 1.1.2018

    • Author(s)
      Shinto Eguchi
    • Total Pages
      135
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2024-01-30  

Information User Guide FAQ News Terms of Use Attribution of KAKENHI

Powered by NII kakenhi