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Understanding an Ukrainian Political Regime: Rise and Transformation of a Competing Clans Regime

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18K01444
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 06010:Politics-related
Research InstitutionKeio University

Principal Investigator

Ogushi Atsushi  慶應義塾大学, 法学部(三田), 教授 (20431348)

Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywordsウクライナ / 政治体制 / ロシア・ウクライナ戦争 / 地方政治 / 戦時体制 / ポピュリスト / ロシア / エリート / 政党 / 求心的多頭競合体制 / 政党政治
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research project attempted to understand a changing nature of an Ukrainian political regime. Before the Euromaidan uprising in 2014, the Ukrainian political regime can be characterized as a competing clans regime, in which regional clans competed one another at the central level. Since 2014, this regime has changed into a populist regime without roots in local political machines. This transformation occurred as results of the Euromaidan uprising, demise of the Donetsk clan, and the rise of Volodymyr Zelenskyi.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究は、元来ウクライナの政治体制の変容を分析するものであり、しばしば「民主的」とのみいわれてきたウクライナ政治への見方の修正を求める点で学術的意義があると考えてきたが、2022年2月に開始したロシア・ウクライナ戦争によって純学術的意義を超えて社会的意義を持つに至った。ウクライナの戦時体制の形成をこの研究課題の一部として扱う必要が生じたためである。本研究で提唱した見方はおおむね妥当であったと考えられる。すなわち、ウクライナのローカル・エリートは自律的であり、これを戦時体制に組み込んだことでロシアに当初効果的に対処できたが、中央の統合能力は脆弱なままであり、領土奪還局面では大きな困難に直面した。

Report

(7 results)
  • 2023 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (24 results)

All 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Other

All Journal Article (11 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results) Presentation (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results) Book (5 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 低動員の戦時体制:ロシア・ウクライナ戦争下のプーチン体制2024

    • Author(s)
      大串敦
    • Journal Title

      国際問題

      Volume: 717 Pages: 5-15

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] ウクライナ侵攻:「勝者なき紛争」がなぜ起こったか2022

    • Author(s)
      大串敦
    • Journal Title

      世界

      Volume: 955 Pages: 42-49

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report 2021 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 求心的多頭競合体制から中央・地方遊離型ポピュリスト体制へ:2014年以後のウクライナ政治体制の変容と対露関係2022

    • Author(s)
      大串敦
    • Journal Title

      東亜

      Volume: 661 Pages: 10-17

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] ロシアの政策決定過程とウクライナ侵攻 :ブラックボックスの中2022

    • Author(s)
      大串敦
    • Journal Title

      ロシアNIS調査月報

      Volume: 67 Pages: 20-29

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] プーチン体制の安定性2021

    • Author(s)
      大串敦
    • Journal Title

      修親

      Volume: 741 Pages: 6-11

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] The Opposition Bloc in Ukraine: A Clientelistic Party with Diminished Administrative Resources2020

    • Author(s)
      Ogushi Atsushi
    • Journal Title

      Europe-Asia Studies

      Volume: 72 Issue: 10 Pages: 1639-1656

    • DOI

      10.1080/09668136.2020.1770701

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] プーチン体制長期化が示すもの―個人支配化とその問題点2020

    • Author(s)
      大串敦
    • Journal Title

      外交

      Volume: 63 Pages: 114-119

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Opposition Bloc in Ukraine: a Clientelistic Party with Diminished Administrative Resources2020

    • Author(s)
      Atsushi Ogushi
    • Journal Title

      Europe-Asia Studies

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ウクライナ大統領選 圧勝の背景2019

    • Author(s)
      大串敦
    • Journal Title

      世界

      Volume: 992 Pages: 18-22

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] The Opposition Bloc in Ukraine: a Clientelistic Party with Diminished Administrative Resources2019

    • Author(s)
      Atsushi Ogushi
    • Journal Title

      Europe-Asia Studies

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 全人民の指導者:プーチン政権下のロシア選挙権威主義2018

    • Author(s)
      大串敦
    • Journal Title

      国際問題

      Volume: 676 Pages: 5-14

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The International Origins of the Deeply Personalised Russian Political Regime2023

    • Author(s)
      Atsushi Ogushi
    • Organizer
      Annual Conference of the British Association for Slavonic and East European Studies (BASEES)
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 脆弱な中央・強靭な地方―独立後ウクライナの政治構造―2022

    • Author(s)
      大串敦
    • Organizer
      日本国際政治学会
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Inside the Black Box: How Did the Kremlin Decide the Military Interventions in Crimea, Donbass, and Ukraine?2022

    • Author(s)
      Atsushi Ogushi
    • Organizer
      the 11th East Asian Conference of Slavic Eurasian Studies
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Changing Political Cleavages in Ukraine2021

    • Author(s)
      Atsushi Ogushi
    • Organizer
      10th World Congress, International Council for Central and East European Studies
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] プーチンのグランド・ストラテジー?―ロシアの紛争介入を事例として2019

    • Author(s)
      大串敦
    • Organizer
      日本国際政治学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Russian Deputy Ministers: Patrimonial or Technocratic Elites?2019

    • Author(s)
      Atsushi Ogushi
    • Organizer
      International Symposium, ‘Global Crisis of Democracy? Rise and Evolution of Authoritarianism and Populism’, Slavic-Eurasian Research Center
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Toward a Party System Collapse? Chaotic Elite Realignment in Ukraine2019

    • Author(s)
      Atsushi Ogushi
    • Organizer
      The 10th East Asia Conference on Slavic Eurasian Studies
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] 民主主義は甦るのか?2024

    • Author(s)
      細谷雄一、板橋拓己、水島治郎、山本みずき、高橋義彦、長野晃、五百旗頭薫、村井良太、竹中治堅、藤山一樹、大串敦、ジョン・ニルソン=ライト
    • Total Pages
      304
    • Publisher
      慶應義塾大学出版会
    • ISBN
      9784766429466
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ロシア・ウクライナ戦争 : 歴史・民族・政治から考える2023

    • Author(s)
      塩川伸明、松里公孝、大串敦、浜由樹子、遠藤誠治
    • Total Pages
      376
    • Publisher
      東京堂出版
    • ISBN
      9784490210910
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 法律文化社2023

    • Author(s)
      油本真理、溝口修平、河本和子、松嵜英也、長谷川雄之、立石洋子、大串敦、安達祐子、富樫耕介、長島徹、高橋沙奈美、藤澤潤、加藤美保子、長谷直哉、岡田美保、小泉悠
    • Total Pages
      262
    • Publisher
      現代ロシア政治
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ハンドブックヨーロッパ外交史2022

    • Author(s)
      岩間 陽子、君塚 直隆、細谷 雄一
    • Total Pages
      284
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • ISBN
      9784623092260
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report 2021 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 歴史総合:世界と日本2022

    • Author(s)
      歴史学会編
    • Total Pages
      240
    • Publisher
      戎光祥出版
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] ロシアのポピュリズム的個人支配体制の成立とその問題

    • URL

      https://www.tkfd.or.jp/research/detail.php?id=3679

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2025-01-30  

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