• Search Research Projects
  • Search Researchers
  • How to Use
  1. Back to previous page

Effects of Behavior on Political Trust: What did citizens in greater Tokyo do after 2011 Japan Earthquake and Fukushima nuclear disaster?

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18K01446
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 06010:Politics-related
Research InstitutionTsuda University

Principal Investigator

Nakajo Miwa  津田塾大学, 総合政策学部, 准教授 (90707910)

Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥130,000 (Direct Cost: ¥100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥30,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Keywords政治的信頼 / 日本政治 / 行動選択 / 原子力発電所事故 / 世論 / 投票行動
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This project questions whether people trust the government in order to ensure consistency with their own behavior. The case is taken from people’s behavior after the huge earthquake hit Japan and led to the nuclear disaster in March 2011. In the face of the turmoil, some people left the Tokyo area against the government statement to avoid the alleged radioactive contamination and other Tokyo citizens stayed where they were. The hypothesis is that those who left Tokyo expressed later a sense of distrust in the government and that those who stayed later mentioned trust in the government so that they were able to ensure consistency with their own behavior. To test this, I conduct a mail-in survey asking people in the alleged-radioactively contaminated area about their then behavior. The results bolster the hypothesis that people trust government for consistency with their behavioral choice. This project makes a contribution to the trust literature by bringing another perspective.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究は「人々がまず行動し、結果的にその方針と一致する政府を信頼する傾向がある」という仮説を立て、2011年の原発事故後に移住しなかったと回答した人ほど、当時の与党である民主党への好感度が2020年時点でも高いという結果を得た。厳密な因果関係の証明にはさらなる調査分析が必要であるが、「政府の政策が評価されているから内閣の支持率が上がる」といった従来の見方に対し、別の視点をもたらすと言えるだろう。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (9 results)

All 2021 2019 2018 Other

All Journal Article (1 results) Presentation (6 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 女性知事候補者は投票率をあげるか?2018

    • Author(s)
      中條美和
    • Journal Title

      都市問題

      Volume: 第109巻第5号 Pages: 35-40

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Stay or Leave: Does Behavior Affect Political Trust?2021

    • Author(s)
      Miwa Nakajo
    • Organizer
      International Political Science Association
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report 2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Do People Trust Government to Ensure Consistency with Their Behavioral Choice?2021

    • Author(s)
      Miwa Nakajo
    • Organizer
      American Political Science Association
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Do Voters Punish Government for Natural Disasters? Evidence from the 2015 Kinu River Flood and the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake in Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      Miwa Nakajo, Yoshiharu Kobayashi, Kiichiro Arai
    • Organizer
      Midwest Political Science Association
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Relationships between Trust in National and Local Government and Civic Engagement: 1972-20172018

    • Author(s)
      Miwa Nakajo
    • Organizer
      Midwest Political Science Association
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Do Female Candidates Boost Voter Turnouts?2018

    • Author(s)
      Miwa Nakajo
    • Organizer
      American Political Science Association
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 自然災害がもたらす有権者-政治家関係の変化2018

    • Author(s)
      荒井紀一郎、Yoshiharu Kobayashi、中條美和
    • Organizer
      日本政治学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Book] Japan Decides 2017 The Japanese General Election2018

    • Author(s)
      Robert J. Pekkanen, Steven R. Reed, Ethan Scheiner and Daniel M. Smith (Kiichiro Arai and Miwa Nakajo, Chapter 9, pp.149-163)
    • Total Pages
      376
    • Publisher
      Palgrave Macmillan
    • ISBN
      9783319764740
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 津田塾大学・中條研究室「市民生活と自然災害に関する意識調査」

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/a/tsuda.ac.jp/mnakajo/survey2020

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2023-07-20  

Information User Guide FAQ News Terms of Use Attribution of KAKENHI

Powered by NII kakenhi