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Development of a Practical Ice Jam Calculation Model and Deployment to a wider area using land surface model

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18K04361
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 22040:Hydroengineering-related
Research InstitutionKitami Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

Yoshikawa Yasuhiro  北見工業大学, 工学部, 准教授 (50414149)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 朴 昊澤  国立研究開発法人海洋研究開発機構, 地球環境部門(北極環境変動総合研究センター), グループリーダー代理 (10647663)
大島 和裕  青森大学, ソフトウェア情報学部, 准教授 (40400006)
横山 洋  国立研究開発法人土木研究所, 土木研究所(寒地土木研究所), 主任研究員 (70442879)
Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2021-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2020)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords寒冷地河川 / アイスジャム / 河氷 / 結氷河川 / 数値計算 / 氷板 / 晶氷 / iRIC / アイスジャムスケール / 現地観測 / 水理実験 / アイスジャム計算モデル / 陸面モデル / 解氷
Outline of Final Research Achievements

For the estimation of Break-up, this study confirmed that thermal Melt-out can be estimated from the calculated value of river ice thickness. It was confirmed that mechanical Break-up can be estimated from the calculated values of water depth variation due to rainfall and snowmelt.
To develop an inundation analysis method considering ice jam floods, we attempted to construct a two-dimensional planar river ice fluctuation model based on "Nays2DH", a river flow and riverbed fluctuation analysis software from iRIC.
The impact of climate change on ice jam flooding was estimated from the data analysis for the Lena River. As a result of the analysis, when the Okhotsk High occurs in May, the warm air advection increases the temperature in the East Siberia region, which accelerates the melting of snow and river ice, resulting in an earlier-than-normal increase in streamflow, which affects ice jam flooding.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究により,融解による解氷と破壊による解氷を考慮した河氷融解破壊式の開発の道筋が明らかになった.アイスジャムを再現可能な平面二次元の河氷変動モデルを開発し,今後,アイスジャムの発生の規模・時期・場所に関する知見が得られる.本研究で扱う寒冷地河川の諸現象の解明は,気候変動が陸域水文過程へ与える影響を評価する上で意義があり,特に春の解氷とアイスジャム洪水に関する地域住民の理解が深まる.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2020 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (35 results)

All 2021 2020 2019 2018

All Journal Article (14 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 9 results,  Open Access: 7 results) Presentation (14 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results) Book (7 results)

  • [Journal Article] 嶮淵川における背水の影響を考慮したアイスジャムの検討2020

    • Author(s)
      伊波友生,吉川泰弘,横山洋,矢部浩規
    • Journal Title

      河川技術論文集

      Volume: 26 Pages: 175-180

    • NAID

      120007174654

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 結氷河川感潮域における河氷衝突現象を踏まえた河川構造物の外力評価手法の検討2020

    • Author(s)
      横山洋,吉川泰弘,上野順基,山田嵩,伊波友生,矢部浩規
    • Journal Title

      河川技術論文集

      Volume: 26 Pages: 545-550

    • NAID

      120007173240

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 2020年3月に発生したアイスジャムの現地調査および発生リスクの評価2020

    • Author(s)
      横山洋,吉川泰弘,伊波友生,矢部浩規
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B1(水工学)

      Volume: Vol.76, No.2

    • NAID

      120007180767

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 2018年3月に常呂川で発生したアイスジャム現象の解明2020

    • Author(s)
      小池太郎,吉川泰弘,横山洋,伊波友生,川邊和人
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B1(水工学)

      Volume: Vol.76,No.2

    • NAID

      130008122623

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 氷板と晶氷が混在した橋脚部におけるアイスジャム氾濫実験2020

    • Author(s)
      山田隆司,吉川泰弘,小池太郎,横山洋
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B1(水工学)

      Volume: Vol.76,No.2

    • NAID

      120007180766

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 橋脚部におけるアイスジャム実験と再現計算2019

    • Author(s)
      吉川泰弘,横山洋,伊波友生
    • Journal Title

      土木学会,河川技術論文集

      Volume: 第25巻 Pages: 109-114

    • NAID

      120007173242

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 結氷河川における解氷期の河氷挙動と解氷の簡易予測手法の検討2019

    • Author(s)
      横山洋,吉川泰弘,伊波友生,矢部浩規
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B1(水工学)

      Volume: Vol.75,No.2

    • NAID

      130007940247

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 橋脚部における実氷を用いたアイスジャム氾濫実験2019

    • Author(s)
      小池太郎,吉川泰弘,横山洋
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B1(水工学)

      Volume: Vol.75,No.2

    • NAID

      130007940143

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 2018年3月北海道アイスジャム洪水による被害の現象解明と今後の課題2018

    • Author(s)
      横山洋,吉川泰弘,伊波友生,前田俊一,矢部浩規
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B1(水工学)

      Volume: 74

    • NAID

      130007757737

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Field Observation of Ice Flow in the Abashiri River2018

    • Author(s)
      Yu INAMI, Hiroshi YOKOYAMA, Hiroki YABE, Shunichi MAEDA and Yasuhiro YOSHIKAWA
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of The 24rd IAHR International Symposium on Ice

      Volume: 24 Pages: 201-208

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Experimental study on ice jam under completely ice-covered river2018

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi YOKOYAMA, Yasuhiro YOSHIKAWA, Hiroki YABE, Kenji TAKAHASHI, Satoshi KONISHI
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of The 24rd IAHR International Symposium on Ice

      Volume: 24 Pages: 231-238

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Proposed Simplified Ice-Jam Numerical Model for Ie-Covered Rivers2018

    • Author(s)
      Yasuhiro YOSHIKAWA, Hotaek Park, Kazuhiro Oshima, Hiroshi Yokoyama
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of The 24rd IAHR International Symposium on Ice

      Volume: 24 Pages: 239-247

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Field Study of Anchor Ice Occurrence and Disappearance and Material Circulation in Cold Regions River2018

    • Author(s)
      Hirotaka SUZUKI, Masahiro HASHIBA, Yasuhiro YOSHIKAWA, Hiroshi YOKOYAMA
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of The 24rd IAHR International Symposium on Ice

      Volume: 24 Pages: 296-303

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Verification of Ice Measurement Data by SWIP and ADCP and Observation of River Ice Time Series Behavior in Teshio River2018

    • Author(s)
      Masahiro HASHIBA, Yasuhiro YOSHIKAWA, Hiroshi YOKOYAMA
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of The 24rd IAHR International Symposium on Ice

      Volume: 24 Pages: 368-375

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Influence of springtime Okhotsk high on rapid discharge increase accompanied by river ice melt in eastern Siberia2021

    • Author(s)
      Kazuhiro Oshima, Hotaek Park, Masatake E. Hori, and Yasuhiro Yoshikawa
    • Organizer
      Arctic Science Summit Week 2021 (Online Science Conference)
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] アイスジャム発生予測プログラムの現地河川への適用性評価と課題について2021

    • Author(s)
      横山洋,伊波友生,吉川泰弘
    • Organizer
      第64回(令和2年度)北海道開発技術研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] アンカーアイス厚の簡易的な計算式の検討2021

    • Author(s)
      奥野翔也,吉川泰弘,横山洋,橋場雅弘
    • Organizer
      土木学会北海道支部,年次技術研究発表会論文報告集,第77号,B-19
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 寒冷地河川における水深上昇に基づいた簡易的な解氷時期予測手法の検討2021

    • Author(s)
      寺崎海斗,吉川泰弘,横山洋
    • Organizer
      土木学会北海道支部,年次技術研究発表会論文報告集,第77号,B-20
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2020年3月に網走川で発生したアイスジャム現象の観測2021

    • Author(s)
      小池太郎,高花清美,吉川泰弘,横山洋,川邊和人
    • Organizer
      土木学会北海道支部,年次技術研究発表会論文報告集,第77号,B-21
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Observation and simplified simulation of ice melting process in ice covered river2020

    • Author(s)
      Yokoyama, H.,Yoshikawa, Y., Inami, Y., Yabe, H.
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of The 25th IAHR International Symposium on Ice, online
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Simple ice jam simulation around bridge piers2020

    • Author(s)
      Yasuhiro YOSHIKAWA, Hiroshi YOKOYAMA, Yu INAMI
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of The 25th IAHR International Symposium on Ice, online
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Ice jam flood experiment using real ice around bridge piers2020

    • Author(s)
      Taro KOIKE, Yasuhiro YOSHIKAWA, Hiroshi YOKOYAMA
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of The 25th IAHR International Symposium on Ice, online
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] EXTRACTION OF HAZARDOUS LOCATIONS IN MARCH, 2018 HOKKAIDO ICE JAM FLOOD2020

    • Author(s)
      TARO KOIKE, YASUHIRO YOSHIKAWA, HIROSHI YOKOYAMA
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of The 25th IAHR International Symposium on Ice, online
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 堰におけるアイスジャム発生条件に関する実験的研究2020

    • Author(s)
      山田隆司,小池太郎,吉川泰弘,横山洋
    • Organizer
      土木学会北海道支部,年次技術研究発表会論文報告集
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 東シベリアの河氷融解に伴う急激な流量増加へ影響を及ぼすオホーツク海高気圧2019

    • Author(s)
      大島和裕,朴昊澤,堀正岳,吉川泰弘
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2019年度東北支部気象研究会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 2018年3月北海道アイスジャム洪水における危険箇所の抽出に関する検討2019

    • Author(s)
      小池太郎,吉川泰弘,横山洋
    • Organizer
      土木学会北海道支部,年次技術研究発表会論文報告集,第75号
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 東シベリアの河氷融解に伴う急激な流量増加へ影響するオホーツク海高気圧2018

    • Author(s)
      大島和裕, 朴昊澤,堀正岳,吉川泰弘
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2018年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Warming water in Arctic terrestrial river under climate change2018

    • Author(s)
      Park Hotaek, Yoshikawa Yasuhiro, Oshima Kazuhiro, Yang Daqing
    • Organizer
      2018 AGU Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Book] Cold Region Hydrologic Models and Applications ( Arctic Hydrology, Permafrost and Ecosystems; eds. Yang, D. and Kane D. )2020

    • Author(s)
      Hotaek Park, Yones Dibike, Fengge Su, John Xiaogang Shi
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] River ice processes and changes across the northern regions ( Arctic Hydrology, Permafrost and Ecosystems; eds. Yang, D. and Kane D. )2020

    • Author(s)
      Daqing Yang, Hotaek Park, Terry Prowse, Alexander Shiklomanov, Ellie McLeod
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] River heat flux into the Arctic Ocean ( Arctic Hydrology, Permafrost and Ecosystems; eds. Yang, D. and Kane D. )2020

    • Author(s)
      Daqing Yang, Shaoqing Ge, Hotaek Park, Richard L. Lammers
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Arctic River Water Temperatures and Thermal Regimes ( Arctic Hydrology, Permafrost and Ecosystems; eds. Yang, D. and Kane D. )2020

    • Author(s)
      Daqing Yang, Hoteak Park, Amber Peterson, Baozhong Liu
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Carbon-water cycle modeling, In Water-Carbon Dynamics in Eastern Siberia (eds Ohta T. et al)2019

    • Author(s)
      Hotaek Park, Takeshi Yamazaki
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • ISBN
      9789811363177
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Book] River Discharge, In Water-Carbon Dynamics in Eastern Siberia (Eds. Ohta et al)2019

    • Author(s)
      Tetsuya Hiyama, Shigemi Hatta, Hotaek Park
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • ISBN
      9789811363177
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Book] Atmospheric water cycle, In Water-Carbon Dynamics in Eastern Siberia (Eds. Ohta et al)2019

    • Author(s)
      Kazuhiro Oshima, Koji Yamazaki
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • ISBN
      9789811363177
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2022-01-27  

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