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Assessing sustainability on a 2-degree Celsius scenario by an integrated assessment model interlinking an LCA model and water

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18K11736
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 64050:Sound material-cycle social systems-related
Research InstitutionTokyo Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

Tokimatsu Koji  東京工業大学, 環境・社会理工学院, 准教授 (50415717)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 鼎 信次郎  東京工業大学, 環境・社会理工学院, 教授 (20313108)
Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Keywords水 / 影響評価モデル / 地球温暖化緩和策シナリオ / 持続性指標 / LCA / 統合評価モデル / 2℃目標 / 持続性評価
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We developed a new water model consisting of the demand and supply of water and the consequential impacts by lifecycle basis assessments. The water model is integrated with other resource balance models (for energy, mineral, and land) developed by us in the past. The integrations are made through water demand (i.e., industry use from the energy model and the mineral model, agricultural use from the land-use model, and domestic use from scenarios of demography and GDP) and water supply (from the energy model). The integrated assessment model (IAM) could successfully generate preliminary results of a 2-degree Celcius scenario. Moreover, paper draftings were undergone regarding methodological innovations on integrating a lifecycle impact assessment model and an IAM, and, measuring sustainability indicators by using the models. The written papers were accepted for prestigious international conferences on modelings and environment and resource economics after peer reviews.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究での水モデルの一部は、エネルギーモデルとのリンクを行った既往の水資源需給モデルを参考にはした。しかしながら、エネルギー以外の資源を含む資源需給モデルとのリンクを、水に関わるライフサイクル影響評価を含めた水モデルと行った研究は知る限りにおいて存在しない。経済学的基盤に基づくコンパクトな経済成長モデルとのリンクの拡張を行い、水を含む資源・環境の多くの項目を明示的に扱うシミュレーションモデルとなり、水を含む持続性指標の推計に発展させる基礎となるため、本研究成果の社会的意義は大きい。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2018 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (2 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] APESA(フランス)

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Toward more comprehensive environmental impact assessments: interlinked global models of LCIA and IAM applicable to this century2020

    • Author(s)
      Koji Tokimatsu, Longlong Tang, Rieko Yasuoka, Ryota Ii, Norihiro Itsubo, Masahiro Nishio
    • Journal Title

      The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment

      Volume: - Issue: 9 Pages: 1710-1736

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11367-020-01750-8

    • NAID

      120006936920

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Using Genuine Savings for Climate Policy Evaluation with an Integrated Assessment Model2018

    • Author(s)
      Tokimatsu Koji、Dupuy Louis、Hanley Nick
    • Journal Title

      Environmental and Resource Economics

      Volume: 72 Issue: 1 Pages: 281-307

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10640-018-0292-2

    • NAID

      120006582695

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Multi-channel, climate and non-climate damages in an integrated assessment model2022

    • Author(s)
      K. Tokimatsu
    • Organizer
      The International Energy Workshop (IEW) 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Beyond aggregated damage functions in an integrated assessment model2021

    • Author(s)
      Koji TOKIMATSU
    • Organizer
      Fourteenth IAMC Annual Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Beyond aggregated damage functions in an integrated assessment model2021

    • Author(s)
      Koji TOKIMATSU
    • Organizer
      International Energy Workshop 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Beyond aggregated damage functions in an integrated assessment model2021

    • Author(s)
      Koji TOKIMATSU
    • Organizer
      European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Beyond aggregated damage functions in an integrated assessment model2021

    • Author(s)
      Koji TOKIMATSU
    • Organizer
      The International Association for Energy Economics
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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