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Evaluating various climate scenarios considering interaction between socioeconomic and climate systems

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18K11754
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 64060:Environmental policy and social systems-related
Research InstitutionNagasaki University

Principal Investigator

MATSUMOTO Ken'ichi  長崎大学, 水産・環境科学総合研究科(環境), 准教授 (00534570)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 松村 悠子  大阪大学, 経営企画オフィス, 特任助教 (80832063)
Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2021-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2020)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Keywords気候変動 / 気候変動影響 / 緩和策 / 応用一般均衡モデル / 社会経済システム / 気候システム / 相互作用 / 気候モデル / 地球システム / 気候変動シナリオ / 経済分析
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this study, a new analytical model that takes into account the interaction between the socioeconomic system and the climate system was developed to evaluate the socioeconomic impacts of future climate change and climate change measures at the global level. First, the study extracted the factors that play an important role in the interaction between the two systems through a literature review. Based on the extracted factors, we constructed a module to link the "computable general equilibrium model" and the "Earth systems model of intermediate complexity," and developed a new model that integrates the two models through the module for linkage. The model was then applied to evaluate the socioeconomic impact of a decline in labor productivity due to heat stress under climate change.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究の成果の1つである応用一般均衡モデルと中程度に複雑な地球システムモデルを連携した新たな分析モデルは、本研究が対象とした気候変動・気候変動緩和策の分析のみならず、気候変動適応策の分析など、広く気候変動および関連分野の研究に応用できるため、大きな学術的波及効果が期待できる。加えて、政策面でも、パリ協定の2℃目標の意義・目標達成に向けた戦略を示し、国際的な気候変動対策の促進に貢献することが可能となる。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2020 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (46 results)

All 2021 2020 2019 2018 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (8 results) Journal Article (20 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Peer Reviewed: 17 results,  Open Access: 9 results) Presentation (12 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 8 results,  Invited: 3 results) Book (4 results) Remarks (1 results) Funded Workshop (1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] ESCP Europe(英国)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Technical University of Crete(ギリシャ)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] King Saud University(サウジアラビア)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ESCP Europe(英国)

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Technical University of Crete(ギリシャ)

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Peking University(中国)

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ESCP Europe(英国)

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Technical University of Crete(ギリシャ)

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Identifying key processes and sectors in the interaction between climate and socio-economic systems: a review toward integrating Earth-human systems2021

    • Author(s)
      Tachiiri Kaoru、Su Xuanming、Matsumoto Ken’ichi
    • Journal Title

      Progress in Earth and Planetary Science

      Volume: 8 Issue: 1 Pages: 24-24

    • DOI

      10.1186/s40645-021-00418-7

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Demographic, Social, Economic, and Regional Factors Affecting the Diffusion of Hybrid Electric Vehicles in Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto Ken’ichi、Nakamine Yui、Eom Sunyong、Kato Hideki
    • Journal Title

      Energies

      Volume: 14 Issue: 8 Pages: 2130-2130

    • DOI

      10.3390/en14082130

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Don't rely too much on trees: Evidence from flood mitigation in China2020

    • Author(s)
      Tembata Kaori、Yamamoto Yuki、Yamamoto Masashi、Matsumoto Ken'ichi
    • Journal Title

      Science of The Total Environment

      Volume: 732 Pages: 138410-138410

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138410

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Quantifying lifestyle based social equity implications for national sustainable development policy2020

    • Author(s)
      Shigetomi Yosuke、Chapman Andrew、Nansai Keisuke、Matsumoto Ken’ichi、Tohno Susumu
    • Journal Title

      Environmental Research Letters

      Volume: 15 Issue: 8 Pages: 084044-084044

    • DOI

      10.1088/1748-9326/ab9142

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Evaluating environmental performance using data envelopment analysis: The case of European countries2020

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto Ken’ichi、Makridou Georgia、Doumpos Michalis
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Cleaner Production

      Volume: 272 Pages: 122637-122637

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.122637

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Effects of socioeconomic and natural factors on air pollution in China: A spatial panel data analysis2020

    • Author(s)
      Ren Lina、Matsumoto Ken'ichi
    • Journal Title

      Science of The Total Environment

      Volume: 740 Pages: 140155-140155

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140155

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Does renewable energy substitute LNG international trade in the energy transition?2020

    • Author(s)
      Najm Sarah、Matsumoto Ken'ichi
    • Journal Title

      Energy Economics

      Volume: 92 Pages: 104964-104964

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.eneco.2020.104964

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The Impact of Renewable Energy Generation on the Spot Market Price in Germany: Ex-Post Analysis using Boosting Method2020

    • Author(s)
      Ryota Keeley Alexander、Matsumoto Ken’ichi、Tanaka Kenta、Sugiawan Yogi、Managi Shunsuke
    • Journal Title

      The Energy Journal

      Volume: 41 Issue: 1_suppl Pages: 119-139

    • DOI

      10.5547/01956574.41.si1.akee

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Factors Affecting CO2 Emissions from Private Automobiles in Japan: The Impact of Vehicle Occupancy2020

    • Author(s)
      Shiraki, H., Matsumoto, K., Shigetomi, Y., Ehara, T., Ochi, Y., and Ogawa, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Applied Energy

      Volume: 259 Pages: 114196-114196

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114196

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Global Energy System Transformations in Mitigation Scenarios Considering Climate Uncertainties2019

    • Author(s)
      Herran, D.S., Tachiiri, K., and Matsumoto, K.
    • Journal Title

      Applied Energy

      Volume: 243 Pages: 119-131

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.03.069

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Uncovering Household Carbon Footprint Drivers in an Aging, Shrinking Society2019

    • Author(s)
      Huang, Y., Shigetomi, Y., Chapman, A., and Matsumoto, K.
    • Journal Title

      Energies

      Volume: 12 Issue: 19 Pages: 3745-3745

    • DOI

      10.3390/en12193745

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Synergy Potential between Climate Change Mitigation and Forest Conservation Policies in the Indonesian Forest Sector: Implications for Achieving Multiple Sustainable Development Objectives2019

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto, K., Hasegawa, T., Morita, K., and Fujimori, S.
    • Journal Title

      Sustainability Science

      Volume: 14 Issue: 6 Pages: 1657-1672

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11625-018-0650-6

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report 2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Impact of Urbanization on Changes in CO2 Emissions in China: Analysis of 30 Provincial Administrative Units2019

    • Author(s)
      Huang, Y. and Matsumoto, K.
    • Journal Title

      SSRN Working Paper Series

      Volume: - Pages: 3414208-3414208

    • DOI

      10.2139/ssrn.3414208

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Addressing Key Drivers of Regional CO2 Emissions of the Manufacturing Industry in Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto, K., Shigetomi, Y., Shiraki, H., Ochi, Y., Ogawa, Y., and Ehara, T.
    • Journal Title

      The Energy Journal

      Volume: 40 Issue: 1_suppl Pages: 233-258

    • DOI

      10.5547/01956574.40.si1.kmat

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Climate Change Impacts on Socioeconomic Activities through Labor Productivity Changes Considering Interactions between Socioeconomic and Climate Systems2019

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto, K.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Cleaner Production

      Volume: 216 Pages: 528-541

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.12.127

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Driving Forces Underlying Sub-national Carbon Dioxide Emissions within the Household Sector and Implications for the Paris Agreement Targets in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Shigetomi, Y., Matsumoto, K., Ogawa, Y., Shiraki, H., Yamamoto, Y., Ochi, Y., and Ehara, T.
    • Journal Title

      Applied Energy

      Volume: 228 Pages: 2321-2332

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.07.057

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Relative Significance of Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Wind and Solar Energy in Developing Countries - AHP Analysis2018

    • Author(s)
      Keeley, A. and Matsumoto, K.
    • Journal Title

      Energy Policy

      Volume: 123 Pages: 337-348

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.enpol.2018.08.055

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Effect of Subsidies and Tax Deductions on Promoting the construction of Long-life Quality Houses in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto, K., Yamamoto, Y., and Ohya, N.
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health

      Volume: 15 Issue: 11 Pages: 2376-2376

    • DOI

      10.3390/ijerph15112376

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Global Warming and Socioeconomic Activities: Impact of Labor Productivity2018

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto, K.
    • Journal Title

      SSRN Working Paper Series

      Volume: 3219603

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Do Sustainable Forest Managements Affect Forest Conservation?2018

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto, Y. and Matsumoto, K.
    • Journal Title

      SSRN Working Paper Series

      Volume: 3192199

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] Will the Pandemic of COVID-19 Change Climate?: Tests Using MIROC-ES2L Earth System Model.2020

    • Author(s)
      Ohgaito, R., Kawamiya, M., Hajima, T. and Matsumoto, K.
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Impact of Urbanization on CO2 emissions in China: Analysis of 30 Provincial Administrative Units2019

    • Author(s)
      Huang, Y. and Matsumoto, K.
    • Organizer
      環境科学会2019年会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Visualizing Subjectively Weighted Lifecycle-based Social Equity2019

    • Author(s)
      Shigetomi, Y., Chapman, A., Nansai, K. Matsumoto, K., and Tohno, S.
    • Organizer
      27th International Input-Output Association Conference
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] AHP Analysis to Explore Relative Significance of Foreign Direct Investment in Renewable Energy Sectors in Developing Countries2019

    • Author(s)
      Keeley, A. and Matsumoto, K.
    • Organizer
      42nd IAEE International Conference
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Global Warming Impact on Future Socioeconomic Activities through Labor Productivity2018

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto, K.
    • Organizer
      3rd HAEE International Conference
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Impact of Climate Change on Human Activities: Review2018

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto, K. and Tachiiri, K.
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2018年大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 輸送効率を考慮した地域別自動車CO2 排出量の要因分解2018

    • Author(s)
      白木裕斗・松本健一・重富陽介・榎原友樹・越智雄輝・小川祐貴
    • Organizer
      第37回エネルギー・資源学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Influence of Regional Socio-economic Drivers on Residential CO2 Emissions in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Shigetomi, Y., Matsumoto, K. Shiraki, H., Ochi, Y., Ogawa, Y., Ehara, T., and Yamamoto, Y.
    • Organizer
      41st IAEE International Conference
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Regional-scale Decomposition Analysis of CO2 Emissions of the Manufacturing Industry in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto, K. Shigetomi, Y., Shiraki, H., Ochi, Y., Ogawa, Y., and Ehara, T.
    • Organizer
      41st IAEE International Conference
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 経済モデルによる環境・エネルギー政策の分析に関する研究2018

    • Author(s)
      松本健一
    • Organizer
      環境科学会2018年会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Carbon Market Developments in Northeast Asia - 2018 and Beyond2018

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto, K.
    • Organizer
      The Future of Carbon Markets in Northeast Asia and Pathways for Cooperation
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Global Warming Impact on Future Socioeconomic Activities through Labor Productivity2018

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto, K.
    • Organizer
      NU WISE Programme Kick-off Symposium
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Book] CGE Models in Energy Economics (in: Routledge Handbook of Energy Economics)2019

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto, K., and Fujimori, S. (Soytas, U. and Sari, R. eds.)
    • Publisher
      Routledge
    • ISBN
      9781138208254
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Book] The Impacts of Combined Policies to Promote Sustainable Low-carbon Power Generation in East Asia (Energy, Environmental and Economic Sustainability in East Asia)2019

    • Author(s)
      Lee, T., Chewpreecha, U., Na, S., He, Y., Chen, L., Matsumoto, K., and Lee, S. (Lee, S., Pollitt, H., and Fujikawa, K. eds.)
    • Publisher
      Routledge
    • ISBN
      9781351013475
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Book] Regulatory Policies to Reduce the Amount of Nuclear and Coal-fired Power Generation in East Asia (Energy, Environmental and Economic Sustainability in East Asia)2019

    • Author(s)
      Azuma, A., Chewpreecha, U., Na, S., Chen, L., He, Y., Matsumoto, K., and Lee, S. (Lee, S., Pollitt, H., and Fujikawa, K. eds.)
    • Publisher
      Routledge
    • ISBN
      9781351013475
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Book] Energy Security Performance in Japan: Historical and Scenario Analysis (in: Routledge Handbook of Sustainable Development in Asia)2018

    • Author(s)
      Matsumoto, K. (Hsu, S. ed.)
    • Publisher
      Routledge
    • ISBN
      9781138182189
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 松本健一研究室ウェブサイト

    • URL

      https://www.matsumoto-lab.net/

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report 2019 Research-status Report 2018 Research-status Report
  • [Funded Workshop] Join Seminar between Nagasaki University and Chung-Ang University2019

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2022-01-27  

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