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An Empirical Analysis of the Propagation of Corporate Bankruptcy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18K12788
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 07040:Economic policy-related
Research InstitutionResearch Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry

Principal Investigator

Arata Yoshiyuki  独立行政法人経済産業研究所, 研究グループ, 研究員 (40756764)

Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,380,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥780,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Keywords取引ネットワーク / 倒産 / ショックの伝播 / 景気変動 / 企業間ネットワーク / グラニュラー仮説 / ネットワーク / 連鎖倒産
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this research project, I utilized large-scale data such as firm-level transaction networks and computing resources to analyze the propagation of shocks in transaction networks, the characteristics of firm-level shocks, and the quantitative evaluation of aggregate fluctuations caused by firm-level shocks.
The findings of these studies were presented at conferences and universities, including international conferences such as Asian Meeting of Econometric Society.
Furthermore, one of the papers in this project was published in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究では、詳細な企業情報や取引関係を観察することができる大規模データを活用することによって、近年、盛んに理論研究が進んでいる、取引ネットワーク上のショックの伝播やマクロ経済への影響について、その理論研究の実証的な妥当性を検証した。特に、企業レベルの大規模データの活用はまだまだ途上であり、スパコンやワークステーションのような豊富な計算資源を活用することによって、伝播の現象を直接観察することには学術的意義がある。また確率論を用いて、企業レベルの引き起こす景気変動の規模を理論的に導出することは、今後日本以外のデータを使う場合においても応用することが出来るという点で意義がある。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018

All Journal Article (5 results) (of which Open Access: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results)

  • [Journal Article] Demand Shock Propagation Through an Input-output Network in Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyuki Arata, Daisuke Miyakawa
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper

      Volume: 22-E-027

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The Size of Micro-originated Aggregate Fluctuations: An analysis of firm-level input-output linkages in Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyuki Arata, Daisuke Miyakawa
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper

      Volume: 21-E-066

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The Role of Granularity in the Variance and Tail Probability of Aggregate Output2020

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyuki Arata
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussin Paper

      Volume: 20-E-027

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Firm growth and Laplace distribution: The importance of large jumps2019

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyuki Arata
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control

      Volume: 103 Pages: 63-82

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jedc.2019.01.009

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Bankruptcy Propagation on a Customer-supplier Network: An empirical analysis in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyuki Arata
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper

      Volume: 18-E-040

    • NAID

      40021974412

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Demand Shock Propagation Through an Input-output Network in Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      荒田禎之
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society, Asian Meeting
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The Size of Micro-originated Aggregate Fluctuations: An analysis of firm-level input-output linkages in Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyuki Arata
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The role of the granular hypothesis in the variance and tail probability of aggregate output2021

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyuki Arata
    • Organizer
      WEHIA
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Firm growth and Laplace distribution: The importance of large jumps2019

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyuki Arata
    • Organizer
      UC San Diego, Seminar
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] An Empirical Analysis of the Propagation of Corporate Bankruptcy2018

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyuki Arata
    • Organizer
      Computing in Economics and Finance
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] An Empirical Analysis of the Propagation of Corporate Bankruptcy2018

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyuki Arata
    • Organizer
      European Association for Research in Industrial Economics
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] An Empirical Analysis of the Propagation of Corporate Bankruptcy2018

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyuki Arata
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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