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Development of methodology for evaluation supply and demand in community healthcare: Construction of prediction model using NDB

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18K17308
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 58010:Medical management and medical sociology-related
Research InstitutionInstitute for Health Economics and Policy, Association for Health Economics Rsearch and Social Insurance and Welfare

Principal Investigator

Ishikawa Tomoki  一般財団法人医療経済研究・社会保険福祉協会(医療経済研究機構(研究部)), 研究部, 主任研究員 (90802661)

Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Keywords地域医療 / レセプトデータ / 大規模医療データベース / NDB / 二次利用 / 医療政策 / 医療管理学 / 医療情報 / 公的統計 / シミュレーション / 推計 / 病院管理学 / 保健医療政策 / 保健医療行政
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The response of healthcare delivery systems to demographic changes such as aging and declining populations is a challenge for other countries. In Japan, which faces this social challenge ahead of other countries, there is an academic as well as social demand to evaluate the supply and demand of medical care from the perspective of regional medical care. The main objective of this study was to develop an analytical method to provide information to support strategic planning of medical care, and the research was conducted using official statistical information and a receipt database. In particular, as the use of the latter database has become more widespread, this study examined its potential for use. Specific topics addressed included future estimates of the medical supply-demand balance, the relationship between medical resources and accessibility, and cost-effectiveness assessment, and were reported in papers and conference presentations.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究では、医療資源配置の将来的な需給推計による、将来的に需給不均衡となる恐れがある地域を特定する事が可能となった。地域ごとの人口構造や疾患構造の情報に、医療機関の地理的情報や、患者の受療動向に関する情報を加味した推計推計モデルの構築を提案した。
更に、患者の受療動向をより精緻に把握するためのデータソースとして、NDB等レセプトデータベースの利用を検討した。医療施設や画像診断機器、遠隔診療といったその制度設計のあり方が議論されている医療資源を中心に、利用実態について記述的に報告した。
本研究で提案する分析手法は、マクロの医療政策に加え地域の医療計画策定を支援する分析手法として応用可能性がある。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (27 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018

All Journal Article (12 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 12 results,  Open Access: 4 results) Presentation (15 results) (of which Invited: 2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Monthly trends and seasonality of hemodialysis treatment and outcomes of newly initiated patients from the national database (NDB) of Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Tsunoda Ryoya、Mitsutake Naohiro、Ishikawa Tomoki、Sato Jumpei、Goda Kazuo、Nakashima Naoki、Kitsuregawa Masaru、Yamagata Kunihiro
    • Journal Title

      Clinical and Experimental Nephrology

      Volume: - Issue: 7 Pages: 669-677

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10157-022-02202-3

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Trend of Gini coefficient of healthcare resources in China from 1998 to 20162021

    • Author(s)
      Yang Yuchen、Morii Yasuhiro、Fujiwara Kensuke、Ishikawa Tomoki、Yamashina Hiroko、Suzuki Teppei、Nakaya Jun、Ogasawara Katsuhiko
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Hospital Management and Health Policy

      Volume: 5 Pages: 40-40

    • DOI

      10.21037/jhmhp-20-93

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Study on International Statistical Indicators using the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      満武 巨裕、石川 智基、佐藤 淳平、合田 和生、喜連川 優
    • Journal Title

      Japan Journal of Medical Informatics

      Volume: 39 Issue: 4 Pages: 189-194

    • DOI

      10.14948/jami.39.189

    • NAID

      130008030386

    • ISSN
      0289-8055, 2188-8469
    • Year and Date
      2020-04-20
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Projecting supply and demand for pharmacists in pharmacies based on the number of prescriptions and system dynamics modeling2020

    • Author(s)
      Morii Yasuhiro、Furuta Seiichi、Ishikawa Tomoki、Fujiwara Kensuke、Yamashina Hiroko、Ogasawara Katsuhiko
    • Journal Title

      Human Resources for Health

      Volume: 18 Issue: 1

    • DOI

      10.1186/s12960-020-00524-5

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Simulating Cost-effectiveness of Continuous Glucose Monitoring Mobile Application for Patient with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus2020

    • Author(s)
      Shintaro Tsuji, Hongjian Zhang, Teppei Suzuki, Tomoki Ishikawa, Yasuhiro Morii, Takumi Tanikawa, Jun Nakaya, Katsuhiko Ogasawara.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Medical Internet Research

      Volume: 22 Issue: 9 Pages: e16053-e16053

    • DOI

      10.2196/16053

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Possibility of introducing telemedicine services in Asian and African countries2020

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki Teppei、Hotta Jyuri、Kuwabara Tomomi、Yamashina Hiroko、Ishikawa Tomoki、Tani Yuji、Ogasawara Katsuhiko
    • Journal Title

      Health Policy and Technology

      Volume: 9 Issue: 1 Pages: 13-22

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.hlpt.2020.01.006

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Where Does Telemedicine Achieve a Cost Reduction Effect? Cost Minimization Analysis of Teleradiology Services in Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      Takumi Tanikawa, Reina Suzuki, Teppei Suzuki, Tomoki Ishikawa, Hiroko Yamashina, ShintaroTsuji, Katsuhiko Ogasawara
    • Journal Title

      Telemedicine and e-Health

      Volume: Ahead of Print Issue: 12 Pages: 1174-1182

    • DOI

      10.1089/tmj.2018.0244

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Projecting future supply and demand for physical therapists in Japan using system dynamics2019

    • Author(s)
      Morii Yasuhiro、Ishikawa Tomoki、Suzuki Teppei、Tsuji Shintaro、Yamanaka Masanori、Ogasawara Katsuhiko、Yamashina Hiroko
    • Journal Title

      Health Policy and Technology

      Volume: 8 Issue: 2 Pages: 118-127

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.hlpt.2019.05.003

    • NAID

      120006864493

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Cost Effectiveness of Drive and Retrieve System in Hokkaido for Acute Ischemic Stroke Patient Treatment Using Geographic Information System2019

    • Author(s)
      Morii Yasuhiro、Osanai Toshiya、Ishikawa Tomoki、Fujiwara Kensuke、Tanikawa Takumi、Houkin Kiyohiro、Kobayashi Eiichi、Ogasawara Katsuhiko
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Stroke and Cerebrovascular Diseases

      Volume: 28 Issue: 8 Pages: 2292-2301

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2019.05.020

    • NAID

      120006882077

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Forecasting maldistribution of human resources for healthcare and patients in Japan: a utilization-based approach2019

    • Author(s)
      Ishikawa Tomoki、Nakao Yuji、Fujiwara Kensuke、Suzuki Teppei、Tsuji Shintaro、Ogasawara Katsuhiko
    • Journal Title

      BMC Health Services Research

      Volume: 19 Issue: 1 Pages: 653-653

    • DOI

      10.1186/s12913-019-4470-x

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Relationship between accessibility and resources to treat acute ischemic stroke. Hokkaido, Japan: Analysis of inequality and coverage using geographic information systems2019

    • Author(s)
      Ishikawa Tomoki、Mizuguchi Hiro、Murayama Hiroshi、Fujiwara Kensuke、Tanikawa Takumi、Kobayashi Eiichi、Ogasawara Katsuhiko
    • Journal Title

      Health Policy and Technology

      Volume: 8 Issue: 4 Pages: 337-342

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.hlpt.2019.10.001

    • NAID

      120006891506

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Cost comparison between open radical cystectomy, laparoscopic radical cystectomy, and robot-assisted radical cystectomy for patients with bladder cancer: a systematic review of segmental costs2019

    • Author(s)
      Morii Yasuhiro、Osawa Takahiro、Suzuki Teppei、Shinohara Nobuo、Harabayashi Toru、Ishikawa Tomoki、Tanikawa Takumi、Yamashina Hiroko、Ogasawara Katsuhiko
    • Journal Title

      BMC Urology

      Volume: 19 Issue: 1 Pages: 110-110

    • DOI

      10.1186/s12894-019-0533-x

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] COVID-19流行下における時限的制度介入が遠隔診療利用に与えた影響の評価 ーレセプトデータを用いた分割時系列解析ー2021

    • Author(s)
      石川 智基 , 満武 巨裕 , 佐藤 淳平 , 服部 純子 , 合田 和生 , 喜連川 優
    • Organizer
      第41回 医療情報学連合大会・第22回日本医療情報学会学術大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] NDBオープンデータを用いたリハビリテーション従事者需給に関する生態学的研究2021

    • Author(s)
      森井 康博、石川 智基、藤原 健祐、此村 恵子、小笠原 克彦
    • Organizer
      第41回 医療情報学連合大会・第22回日本医療情報学会学術大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Health Workforce Planning and Predictive Models-Sharing the Japanese experience -2020

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Ishikawa, Katsuhiko Ogasawara
    • Organizer
      International Symposium Research Workshop health work management
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists reduce cerebral and cardiovascular events: real world analysis using the National Database of Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      M. Koshizaka, R. Ishibashi, T. Ishikawa, K. Goda, J. Sato, M. Kitsuregawa, K. Yokote, N.Mitsutake
    • Organizer
      N.Mitsutake European Association for the Study of Diabetes 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists decrease cancer incidences in type 2 diabetes: a cohort study using the National Database of Health Insurance Claims of Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      R. Ishibashi, M. Koshizaka, T. Ishikawa, K. Goda, J. Sato, M. Kitsuregawa, K. Yokote, N.Mitsutake
    • Organizer
      European Association for the Study of Diabetes 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Estimating the Number of CT and MRI Patients and the Number of Examinations per a Patient; Using NDB (National Database)2020

    • Author(s)
      石川 智基, 佐藤 淳平, 合田 和生, 満武 巨裕
    • Organizer
      JRC2020/ 第76回日本放射線技術学会総会学術大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] レセプト情報等データベースの利活用により作成した国際統計報告に関する検討2019

    • Author(s)
      石川 智基
    • Organizer
      第23回日本医療情報学会春季学術大会 シンポジウム 2019年6月
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] レセプト情報等データベースを活用した放射線画像診断における利用状況可視化の試み2019

    • Author(s)
      石川 智基
    • Organizer
      第47回日本放射線技術学会秋季学術大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] NDBを活用した大腸がんにおける患者数・医療費推計の試み2019

    • Author(s)
      石川 智基
    • Organizer
      第57回日本医療・病院管理学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 放射線画像検査の利用実態における地域差分析2019

    • Author(s)
      石川 智基
    • Organizer
      第39回医療情報学連合大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] NDBを活用した疾病分類別の将来患者数・医療費予測2018

    • Author(s)
      石川 智基、高塚 伸太朗、山口 徳藏、佐瀬 雄治、森井 康博、小林 永一、小笠原 克彦
    • Organizer
      第38回医療情報学連合大会 (第19回医療情報学会学術大会)
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] NDB を用いた北海道における死亡前1 年間の医療費の二次医療圏間比較2018

    • Author(s)
      小林 永一、高塚 伸太朗、山口 徳藏、佐瀬 雄治、石川 智基、森井 康博、小笠原 克彦
    • Organizer
      第38回医療情報学連合大会 (第19回医療情報学会学術大会)
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 潜在クラス分析を用いた国保レセプト患者の併存疾患別医療費の特徴抽出2018

    • Author(s)
      鈴木哲平、石川智基、榎本尚司、永井亘、小笠原克彦
    • Organizer
      第38回医療情報学連合大会 (第19回医療情報学会学術大会)
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] NDB レセプト情報を用いた北海道における死亡前一年間の1 人当たり医療費の分析2018

    • Author(s)
      森井康博、高塚伸太朗、山口徳藏、佐瀬雄治、石川智基、小林永一、小笠原克彦
    • Organizer
      第38回医療情報学連合大会 (第19回医療情報学会学術大会)
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] NDBレセプト情報における死亡時主傷病名と死因統計における原死因の比較検討2018

    • Author(s)
      佐瀬雄治,高塚伸太朗,山口徳藏,石川智基,森井康博、小林永一、小笠原克彦
    • Organizer
      第38回医療情報学連合大会 (第19回医療情報学会学術大会)
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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