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Creation of Computational Theory of Social Change: Renovation of Theories of Social Change by Computational Social Science

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18K18588
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Research (Exploratory)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Medium-sized Section 8:Sociology and related fields
Research InstitutionKyoto University of Advanced Science (2021)
Tohoku University (2018-2020)

Principal Investigator

Sato Yoshimichi  京都先端科学大学, 人文学部, 教授 (90196288)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 中井 豊  芝浦工業大学, システム理工学部, 教授 (00348905)
武藤 正義  芝浦工業大学, システム理工学部, 教授 (00553231)
浜田 宏  東北大学, 文学研究科, 教授 (40388723)
永吉 希久子  東京大学, 社会科学研究所, 准教授 (50609782)
瀧川 裕貴  東北大学, 文学研究科, 准教授 (60456340)
関口 卓也  国立研究開発法人理化学研究所, 革新知能統合研究センター, 研究員 (70780724)
Project Period (FY) 2018-06-29 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥6,370,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,470,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Keywords社会変動 / 計算社会科学 / Twitter / ゲーム理論 / 計算科学 / 自省性 / エージェント・ベースト・モデル / ビッグデータ解析
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The purpose of this research project was to approach social change theory by the method and technique of computational social science, and to shift from trend theories to a new social change theory focusing on the mechanism of social change. For this purpose, on the one hand, we theoretically considered the connection between computational social science and social change theory, and on the other hand, we conducted empirical analyses of social change using Twitter data and other data. Regarding agent-based modeling of social change, we laid a theoretical foundation for understanding the meaning hidden in social change with reference to Goldberg and Stein (2018) and others.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究プロジェクトの学術的意義は、今まで別の領域で研究されてきた社会変動論と計算社会科学を接合することで、趨勢論ではなく社会が変動するメカニズムに焦点を当てた社会変動論を構築できる可能性を明示したことである。このことは社会変動論の進展に貢献するともに、計算社会科学の新たなフロンティアを切り開くことにも貢献している。
本研究プロジェクトの社会的意義は、計算社会科学の手法を用いることで短期的に社会がどの方向に変化するか予測できる可能性を示したことである。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (60 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (16 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 11 results,  Open Access: 11 results) Presentation (41 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 16 results,  Invited: 8 results) Book (2 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] リンショーピン大学分析社会学研究所(スウェーデン)

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Norms to be prejudiced: List experiments on attitudes towards immigrants in Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      五十嵐彰
    • Journal Title

      Social Science Research

      Volume: 2 Pages: 102647-102647

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ssresearch.2021.102647

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Disparity and Dynamics of Social Distancing Behaviors in Japan: An Investigation of Mobile Phone Mobility Data2022

    • Author(s)
      Zeyu Lyu, Hiroki Takikawa
    • Journal Title

      JMIR Medical Informatics

      Volume: 10(3) Issue: 3 Pages: e31557-e31557

    • DOI

      10.2196/31557

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 「外出自粛行動の数理モデル--都道府県別自粛者数の分析」2021

    • Author(s)
      浜田宏 水野貴之
    • Journal Title

      『理論と方法』

      Volume: 36(2) Pages: 191-204

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Analyzing vaccination priority judgments for 132 occupations using word vector models.2021

    • Author(s)
      Ueshima, A., & Takikawa, H.
    • Journal Title

      IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence.

      Volume: 0 Pages: 76-82

    • DOI

      10.1145/3498851.3498933

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 評価・監査・権力―Steven Lukesの権力論の視点から―2020

    • Author(s)
      佐藤嘉倫
    • Journal Title

      社会学年報

      Volume: 49 Pages: 51-55

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] ソーシャル・キャピタル生成メカニズムの理論的分析2019

    • Author(s)
      佐藤嘉倫
    • Journal Title

      社会学年報

      Volume: 48 Pages: 85-93

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] A Bayesian Model of Income Distribution2019

    • Author(s)
      Hamada, Hiroshi
    • Journal Title

      Sociological Theory and Methods

      Volume: 34(1) Pages: 131-144

    • NAID

      130007864256

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 意味世界の計算社会科学的分析に向けて:社会学におけるトピックモデルの意義の検討2019

    • Author(s)
      小田中悠, 中井豊
    • Journal Title

      理論と方法

      Volume: 34 Pages: 68-83

    • NAID

      130007992250

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Effect of voluntary participation on an alternating and a simultaneous prisoner’s dilemma.2019

    • Author(s)
      武藤正義
    • Journal Title

      Physical Review E

      Volume: 100 Issue: 3 Pages: 032304-032304

    • DOI

      10.1103/physreve.100.032304

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The moral-emotional foundations of political discourse: a comparative analysis of the speech records of the US and the Japanese legislatures2019

    • Author(s)
      Takikawa, H. and Sakamoto, T.
    • Journal Title

      Quality & Quantity

      Volume: 54 Pages: 547-566

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 社会学におけるビッグデータ分析の可能性2019

    • Author(s)
      瀧川裕貴
    • Journal Title

      社会と調査

      Volume: 22 Pages: 16-22

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report 2018 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] A Bayesian Model of Income Distribution2019

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Hamada
    • Journal Title

      Sociological Theory and Methods

      Volume: 34(1)

    • NAID

      130007864256

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Modelling the emergence of an egalitarian society in the n-player game framework2019

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Tamura,Hiroki Takikawa
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Theoretical Biology

      Volume: 461 Pages: 1-7

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jtbi.2018.10.037

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 様子見は付き合いに何をもたらすか: 行動エラー下での離脱・復帰可能な繰り返し囚人のジレンマ2018

    • Author(s)
      武藤正義、田口拓哉、坂本雄飛
    • Journal Title

      『理論と方法』33(2)

      Volume: 1 Pages: 331-348

    • NAID

      130007719665

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Triadic Social Structure Facilitates Backing for Crowdfunding Projects2018

    • Author(s)
      Yutaka Yutaka, Hiroki Takikawa
    • Journal Title

      IEEE International Conference on Big Data

      Volume: ― Pages: 4346-4351

    • DOI

      10.1109/bigdata.2018.8621987

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Computational Social Science:2018

    • Author(s)
      瀧川裕貴
    • Journal Title

      Sociological Theory and Methods

      Volume: 33 Issue: 1 Pages: 132-148

    • DOI

      10.11218/ojjams.33.132

    • NAID

      130007585981

    • ISSN
      0913-1442, 1881-6495
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] シグナルとしての手続き的選好表明:2人判断集計の場合2022

    • Author(s)
      関口卓也
    • Organizer
      第72回数理社会学会大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ソーシャルメディア上での行動は社会的差異をシグナルするか?2022

    • Author(s)
      瀧川裕貴, 水野誠
    • Organizer
      計算社会科学会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ソーシャルメディア上での?動と社会階層との関連:ツイート・ サーベイ統合データの擬似予測法(fictitious prediction)による分析2022

    • Author(s)
      瀧川裕貴, 水野誠
    • Organizer
      数理社会学会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Cross-Cutting Interaction, Out-Group Hostility, and Partisan Identity: Investigation of Affective Polarization on Social Media2022

    • Author(s)
      Zeyu Lyu
    • Organizer
      計算社会科学会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Mind the Gap between Sociology and Computational Social Science2022

    • Author(s)
      Yoshimichi Sato
    • Organizer
      21st Science Council of Asia Conference
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 全会一致ルールが用いられる場合の情報収集コストを伴う判断の集計2021

    • Author(s)
      関口卓也
    • Organizer
      第71回数理社会学会大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Effects of Family and Social Interaction on Mental Well-being in Populations under Social distancing Restrictions during the COVID-19 pandemic2021

    • Author(s)
      Takikawa, Hiroki
    • Organizer
      INAS
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ディープラーニングによるセンチメント分析の社会科学における応用2021

    • Author(s)
      瀧川裕貴・呂沢宇
    • Organizer
      選挙学会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Anti-China Sentiments during the COVID-19 pandemic: An Analysis Using Deep Learning Methods2021

    • Author(s)
      Zeyu Lyu, Hiroki Takikawa
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Computational Social Science (IC2S2 2021)
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Effects of family and social interaction on mental well-being in populations under social distancing restrictions during the COVID-19 pandemic2021

    • Author(s)
      Zeyu Lyu, Hiroki Takikawa
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Computational Social Science (IC2S2 2021)
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 高齢者の社会参加予測マップの作成2021

    • Author(s)
      中井 豊、山中 宏幸、高田 晃大
    • Organizer
      計測自動制御学会第24回社会システム部会研究会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 在宅勤務就業者数予測マップの作成2021

    • Author(s)
      中井 豊、関 海斗
    • Organizer
      計測自動制御学会第23回社会システム部会研究会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 日本のtwitterにおけるイデオロギーによるオーディエンスフラグメンテーション2021

    • Author(s)
      永吉 希久子、瀧川 裕貴
    • Organizer
      第70回数理社会学会大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 推論的ジレンマが生じ得る議題の集合的決定の精度を最適化する票の重み付け2021

    • Author(s)
      関口 卓也
    • Organizer
      第70回数理社会学会大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The Relationship between within-Country and between-Country Inequality in Globalization2021

    • Author(s)
      Yoshimichi Sato and Hiroko Inoue
    • Organizer
      IV ISA Forum of Sociology
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 行動変容の微分方程式モデルーーベイズ統計による都道府県別自粛率の分析2020

    • Author(s)
      浜田 宏
    • Organizer
      第69回数理社会学会大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] オープンデータを用いた医療機関単位での医療需要のベイズ推計2020

    • Author(s)
      中井 豊、田口 尚樹
    • Organizer
      計測自動制御学会第23回社会システム部会研究会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ベイジアンネットワークを用いた高齢者の社会参加メカニズムの探索2020

    • Author(s)
      中井 豊、田口 尚樹、山中 宏幸
    • Organizer
      第39回社会・経済システム学大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ベイジアンネットワークを用いた高齢者の社会参加の因果関係の探索2020

    • Author(s)
      中井 豊、田口 尚樹、山中 宏幸
    • Organizer
      計測自動制御学会第23回社会システム部会研究会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] テキストマイニングによる接触確認アプリCOCOAの普及課題の検討2020

    • Author(s)
      中井 豊、鈴木 貴洋
    • Organizer
      計測自動制御学会第23回社会システム部会研究会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] デジタル社会調査の可能性2020

    • Author(s)
      瀧川 裕貴
    • Organizer
      人工知能学会全国大会 第34回
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 情報収集コストを伴う判断の集計2020

    • Author(s)
      関口 卓也
    • Organizer
      第69回数理社会学会大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Endogeneity of individual competence in judgment aggregation2020

    • Author(s)
      関口 卓也
    • Organizer
      第30回日本数理生物学会大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 雇用問題とソーシャル・キャピタル2020

    • Author(s)
      佐藤嘉倫
    • Organizer
      日本学術会議 東北地区会議主催公開学術講演会「人生100年時代の雇用問題」
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 人とのつながりが力になる―ソーシャル・キャピタルを蓄えよう―2020

    • Author(s)
      佐藤嘉倫
    • Organizer
      東北大学-RIETI共催オンラインシンポジウム 人生100年時代のサバイバル・ツール-ニューノーマル時代における「ウルトラ高齢社会」のリスクとチャンスとは
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Media Use and Its Ideological Selectivity in Japanese Twitter Sphere2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Takikawa and Kikuko Nagayoshi
    • Organizer
      The 1st International Computational Humanities and Social Sciences Workshop
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Space, Social Stratification, and Social Capital: The Case of Tokyo2019

    • Author(s)
      Yoshimichi Sato
    • Organizer
      Global City and Urban Development: Livability with Social Inclusion, Cohesion and Equality
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Collective decision-making on logically connected issues in dynamic processes2019

    • Author(s)
      関口卓也
    • Organizer
      日本数理生物学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] AIは社会学理論の構築に資するか2019

    • Author(s)
      瀧川裕貴
    • Organizer
      第92回日本社会学会大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 計算社会科学は因果メカニズムの解明に役立ちうるか2019

    • Author(s)
      瀧川裕貴
    • Organizer
      第92回日本社会学会大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Buddy Effect to Facilitate Backings in Crowdfunding2019

    • Author(s)
      Yutaka NAKAI
    • Organizer
      Incentive systems of the moral AI society in SWTs on Deep Learning and Artificial Intelligence of 52nd Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS)
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Network analysis on following relations between supporters in Crowdfunding2019

    • Author(s)
      Toshiki AMEMIYA, Yutaka NAKAI
    • Organizer
      Incentive systems of the moral AI society in SWTs on Deep Learning and Artificial Intelligence of 52nd Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS)
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Structural patterns between two developers contributing to activation of open-source projects2019

    • Author(s)
      Takehiro ARAI, Yutaka NAKAI
    • Organizer
      Incentive systems of the moral AI society in SWTs on Deep Learning and Artificial Intelligence of 52nd Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS)
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 計算社会科学と因果推論2019

    • Author(s)
      瀧川 裕貴
    • Organizer
      第67回数理社会学会大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 人工知能はどのように社会を変えるか―社会学の視点からの検討 人工知能を備えたロボットは家族の一員になれるか?2018

    • Author(s)
      佐藤 嘉倫
    • Organizer
      日本行動計量学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Triadic Social Structure Facilitates Backing for Crowdfunding Projects *査読あり2018

    • Author(s)
      Yutaka NAKAI, Hiroki TAKIKAWA
    • Organizer
      The 3rd International Workshop on Application of Big Data for Computational Social Science (ABCSS2018 @ IEEE BigData 2018)
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Game Theoretical Analysis on Linkage between Groups Relation and Individuals Relation2018

    • Author(s)
      Masayoshi Muto
    • Organizer
      XIX ISA World Congress of Sociology Toronto, Canada
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Triadic Social Structure Facilitates Backing for Crowdfunding Projects2018

    • Author(s)
      Yutaka Nakai ,Hiroki Takikawa
    • Organizer
      2018 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, Seattle, WA, USA
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Do echo chambers exit on Japanese Twitter?2018

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Takikawa , Kikuko Nagayoshi
    • Organizer
      CeDEM Asia 18
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Online randomized experiment for identifying the mechanism of opinion dynamics in web forums2018

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Takikawa, Yusuke Inagaki, Shinya Obayashi
    • Organizer
      11th Annual INAS Conference
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Online Randomized Experiment on Social Influences upon Behaviors in Web Forums2018

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Takikawa, Yusuke Inagaki, Shinya Obayashi
    • Organizer
      XIX ISA world congress of Sociology
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] AIはどのように社会を変えるか-ソーシャル・キャピタルと格差の視点から2022

    • Author(s)
      佐藤嘉倫・稲葉陽二・藤原佳典
    • Total Pages
      269
    • Publisher
      東京大学出版会
    • ISBN
      4130502050
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ソーシャル・キャピタルと社会――社会学における研究のフロンティア2018

    • Author(s)
      佐藤 嘉倫
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report

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Published: 2018-07-25   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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