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Development of a mathematical and computational model for long-term plate subduction

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18K18797
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Research (Exploratory)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Medium-sized Section 17:Earth and planetary science and related fields
Research InstitutionJapan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology

Principal Investigator

Hori Takane  国立研究開発法人海洋研究開発機構, 海域地震火山部門(地震津波予測研究開発センター), センター長 (00359176)

Project Period (FY) 2018-06-29 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥6,240,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,440,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Keywords沈み込み / 準拠楕円体 / 粘弾性 / 全球スケール / 粘弾性応答 / 長時間沈み込み / 長時間プレート沈み込み / 沈み込み現象 / 地質学的時間スケール
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The purpose of this research is to construct a method that can appropriately calculate plate subduction phenomena on a geological time scale, and to incorporate the results into initial and boundary conditions for calculations on a geophysical time scale. We propose a basic idea when constructing a digital twin for the solid Earth is to calculate crustal deformation using the reference ellipsoid itself used in GNSS data analysis. Based on this idea, we calculate slip response functions for southwest Japan and northeast Japan, and a viscoelastic structure was introduced. Regarding stress evaluation along the fault plane, modeling of the fault plane and handling of the edges of the model space were found to be future issues in calculating long-term subduction.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

学術的な意義として、GNSSデータ解析で用いられる準拠楕円体そのものをモデル化して地殻変動などを計算することを提案したことは、固体地球を対象としたデジタルツインを構築する際に、観測データと計算モデルに共通のフレームワークを用いるという意味で、基礎となる考え方として重要である。また、長期的な沈み込みのモデル化において、プレート境界断層でのすべり面における応力評価の困難さが改めて浮き彫りになった。

Report

(7 results)
  • 2023 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (1 results)

All 2020

All Presentation (1 results)

  • [Presentation] 沈み込み帯プレート境界に沿った断層帯の構成関係についての検討2020

    • Author(s)
      堀 高峰
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2020年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report

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Published: 2018-07-25   Modified: 2025-01-30  

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