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Comprehensive scenario formulation and disaster prevention and mitigation strategy for mega-city complex disasters originating from complex disasters

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18KT0012
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section特設分野
Research Field Intensification of Artifact Systems
Research InstitutionYokohama National University

Principal Investigator

Miyake Atsumi  横浜国立大学, 大学院環境情報研究院, 教授 (60174140)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 伊里 友一朗  横浜国立大学, 大学院環境情報研究院, 准教授 (90794016)
塩田 謙人  横浜国立大学, 先端科学高等研究院, 特任教員(助教) (30827837)
Project Period (FY) 2018-07-18 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥18,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥14,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,290,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥6,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,500,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥6,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,500,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥5,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,290,000)
Keywords防災減災戦略 / リスクアセスメント / Natech / コンビナート災害 / リスクマネジメント / クライシスマネジメント / 複合災害 / 防災減災
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We analyzed the current status of risk assessment techniques for overcoming complex crises, and constructed a risk / crisis management method that enables comprehensive scenario assumptions and damage predictions based on them. The results of this research are based on (1) organization of risk assessment elemental technologies from an engineering perspective, (2) construction of a comprehensive scenario assumption scheme for Natech and its damage prediction methodology, and (3) definition of comprehensive social risk, proposal of damage prediction and crisis management system for complex disasters in collaboration with local governments, companies, etc., (4) proposal of management system that enables evacuation guidance of employees and general citizens in the event of a disaster. These results were summarized as a guideline.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

自然災害由来の産業施設災害は国連等国際機関においてもNatechとしてその対応はきわめて大きな課題となっており,都市における総合防災減災計画を検討している例はこれまでなかった。本研究は社会総合リスクという新しい概念に基づいて,これを分析するフレームワークを構築し,防災減災に資する事項をガイドラインとして取りまとめた点に学術的,社会的意義がある。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (17 results)

All 2022 2021 2019 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (8 results) Journal Article (6 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 6 results) Presentation (3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Chulalongkorn University(タイ)

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Danang(ベトナム)

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Bologna(イタリア)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] King Mongkut University of Technology/Chulalongkorn University(タイ)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Danang(ベトナム)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Bologna(イタリア)

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] King Mongkut University of Technology(タイ)

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Danang(ベトナム)

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Determining the minimum ignition energy of toluene vapor containing hydrogen towards a risk assessment for liquid organic hydride storage in hydrogen refueling stations2022

    • Author(s)
      Izato Yu-ichiro、Suzuki Tomoya、Iki Hideshi、Miyake Atsumi
    • Journal Title

      Fuel

      Volume: 310 Pages: 122236-122236

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.fuel.2021.122236

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Lessons learned from the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake: A case study of tsunami risk assessment in a Japanese chemical corporation2021

    • Author(s)
      Ochiai Nobukata、Nakayama Jo、Izato Yu‐ichiro、Miyake Atsumi
    • Journal Title

      Process Safety Progress

      Volume: 41 Issue: 2 Pages: 283-292

    • DOI

      10.1002/prs.12315

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Thermal and evolved gas analyses on Michael addition oligomers of acrylic acid2021

    • Author(s)
      Fujita Michiya、Izato Yu-ichiro、Miyake Atsumi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Thermal Analysis and Calorimetry

      Volume: - Issue: 2 Pages: 1825-1833

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10973-020-10412-8

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report 2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Kinetic analysis of the spontaneous thermal polymerization of acrylic acid2021

    • Author(s)
      Fujita Michiya、Izato Yu-ichiro、Miyake Atsumi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Thermal Analysis and Calorimetry

      Volume: 144 Issue: 2 Pages: 435-442

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10973-020-10534-z

    • NAID

      120007041920

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Autocatalytic reaction mechanism of nitric acid and formic acid mixtures based on thermal and in situ Raman spectroscopic analyses2021

    • Author(s)
      Ando Mahoko、Fujita Michiya、Izato Yu-ichiro、Miyake Atsumi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Thermal Analysis and Calorimetry

      Volume: 144 Issue: 2 Pages: 553-562

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10973-020-10311-y

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Thermal hazard evaluation of runaway polymerization of acrylic acid2019

    • Author(s)
      Fujita Michiya, Izato Yu-ichiro, Iizuka Yoshiaki, Miyake Atsumi
    • Journal Title

      Process Safety and Environmental Protection

      Volume: 129 Pages: 339-347

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.psep.2019.08.003

    • NAID

      120006713341

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 自然災害由来の化学物質流出に関する環境社会リスクシナリオ抽出と事例検討2021

    • Author(s)
      塩田謙人, 中山穣, 稗貫峻一, 伊里友一朗,笠井尚哉, 小林剛, 野口和彦, 澁谷忠弘, 三宅淳巳
    • Organizer
      第29回環境化学討論会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] リアルタイム影響分析システムを用いたダイナミックリスクアセスメント手法の構築2021

    • Author(s)
      中山穣, 塩田謙人, 半井豊明, 伊里友一朗, 三宅淳巳
    • Organizer
      安全工学シンポジウム2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Natechデータベースとリスク分析手法に基づく環境社会リスクシナリオの抽出2021

    • Author(s)
      塩田謙人, 稗貫峻一, 中山穣, 伊里友一朗, 笠井尚哉, 小林剛, 野口和彦, 渋谷忠弘, 三宅淳巳
    • Organizer
      安全工学シンポジウム2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2018-07-20   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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