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A scenario generation and its simulation for safety and sustainable operation of social systems

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18KT0061
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section特設分野
Research Field Intensification of Artifact Systems
Research InstitutionThe University of Fukuchiyama (2020-2022)
Osaka University (2018-2019)

Principal Investigator

Hatanaka Toshiharu  福知山公立大学, 情報学部, 教授 (10252884)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 内種 岳詞  愛知工業大学, 情報科学部, 准教授 (70710143)
Project Period (FY) 2018-07-18 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywords多因子最適化 / 群知能 / 社会シミュレーション / 避難行動 / 人流計測 / 進化計算 / 避難シミュレーション / 実験計画 / エージェントベースシミュレーション / 減災情報システム / 遺伝的アルゴリズム / 実験計画法 / シミュレーション / 状態推定 / 粒子フィルタ
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Multi-agent type evacuation simulations where assume possible disasters are considered in its environment is useful, for example evaluating evacuation routes. Although conditions corresponding to various damage situations are set there, it may be not able to prepare all combinations of damage situations and to execute simulations under the all conditions. Therefore, in this research project, we investigated a condition setting method from the framework of evolutionary computation with the aim of generating a condition with a greater degree of influence from the output for multiple condition settings, and presented the framework of the method.
In addition, in such evolutionary computation, an algorithm with multiple different factors as the objective function is assumed. Therefore, we verified the evolutionary computation from the framework of multi-factor evolution and proposed an algorithm using hybrid swarm intelligence.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

災害時の行動計画に代表される不測の事態に備えることへ,不測の事態を含む環境下でエージェントモデルが行動し,その結果から計画の評価を行う計算機シミュレーションが利用されている.しかし,不測の事態を網羅的に設定し,評価を行うことには困難さがある.
この問題に対して,複数の用意した事態(状況)を評価し,その評価値に従い,新しい事態(状況)を生成し,評価する手法の枠組みを提案したこと,およびこの枠組みは進化計算の考え方に立脚しており,進化計算における多因子最適化との関連を考察し,ハイブリッド型の多因子最適化法を提案したことが本課題の成果の意義といえる.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (18 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (16 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results,  Invited: 2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Multifactorial Particle Swarm Optimization Enhanced by Hybridization with Firefly Algorithm2022

    • Author(s)
      Heng Xiap, Gen Yokoya, Toshiharu Hatanaka
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Swarm Intelligence Research (IJSIR)

      Volume: 1

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Multifactorial Particle Swarm Optimization Enhanced by Hybridization with Firefly Algorithm2021

    • Author(s)
      Heng Xiao, Gen Yokoya, and Toshiharu Hatanaka
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Swarm Intelligence Research

      Volume: 12 Issue: 3 Pages: 172-187

    • DOI

      10.4018/ijsir.2021070108

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 災害状況下の確率的な経路閉塞状況における適切な復旧パスの探索2020

    • Author(s)
      内種岳詞,畠中利治
    • Organizer
      計測自動制御学会システム・情報部門学術講演会 SSI2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 愛知県全域自動車交通シミュレーションによる事故多発交差点間の背景交通量の関係調査2020

    • Author(s)
      鈴木登斗, 酒井秀輔, 内種岳詞
    • Organizer
      計測自動制御学会システム・情報部門学術講演会 SSI2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 愛知県全域自動車交通シミュレーションによる事故多発交差点の背景交通量の推定2020

    • Author(s)
      酒井秀輔, 鈴木登斗, 内種岳詞
    • Organizer
      計測自動制御学会システム・情報部門学術講演会 SSI2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 事故原因推定に向けた愛知県全域自動車交通シミュレーション結果分析2020

    • Author(s)
      鈴木登斗, 酒井秀輔, 内種岳詞
    • Organizer
      電気学会 システム研究会, ST-20-017
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 都市スケール自動車交通シミュレーションの基盤開発2020

    • Author(s)
      酒井秀輔, 鈴木登斗, 内種岳詞
    • Organizer
      電気学会 システム研究会, ST-20-017
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 事故多発地点に置ける背景交通量推定シミュレーション手法の開発2020

    • Author(s)
      , 内種岳詞,酒井秀輔, 鈴木登斗
    • Organizer
      電気学会システム研究会, ST-20-030
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] WiFiシグナル計測によるエスカ地下街の人の位置分布推定2020

    • Author(s)
      石原優, 服部樹, 中村栄治, 内種岳詞
    • Organizer
      SICE 第22回社会システム部会研究会資料集
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Development of Evolutionary Design of Experiments to Find Significant Effects for Natural Disaster Prevention2019

    • Author(s)
      Takeshi Uchitane and Toshiharu Hatanaka
    • Organizer
      2019 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 自然災害時に発生する確率的道路閉鎖による影響推定手法の開発2019

    • Author(s)
      内種岳詞, 畠中利治
    • Organizer
      計測自動制御学会 システム・情報部門学術講演会2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Multifactorial PSO-FA Hybrid Algorithm for Multiple Car Design Benchmark2019

    • Author(s)
      Heng Xiao, Gen Yokoya, and Toshiharu Hatanaka
    • Organizer
      2019 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Multifactorial optimization using Artificial Bee Colony and its application to Car Structure Design Optimization2019

    • Author(s)
      Gen Yokoya, Heng Xiao, and Toshiharu Hatanaka,
    • Organizer
      2019 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Evolutionary Design of Experiments to Find Significant Factors for Tsunami Evacuation Simulation2019

    • Author(s)
      Takeshi Uchitane
    • Organizer
      Vietnam International Workshop on Probability Theory and Related Fields
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Multifactorial optimization by Task Selective Artificial Bee Colony2018

    • Author(s)
      Gen Yokoya and Toshiahru Hatanaka
    • Organizer
      JPNSEC International Workshop on Evolutionary Computation
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Evolutionary Multitasking for Single Objective Optimization with Hybrid Swarm2018

    • Author(s)
      Heng Xiao and Toshiharu Hatanaka
    • Organizer
      JPNSEC International Workshop on Evolutionary Computation
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 群知能による進化的マルチタスキングに関する検討,2018

    • Author(s)
      横谷元, 畠中利治
    • Organizer
      第28回インテリジェント・システム・シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 都市交通評価のためのマルチエージェントシミュレーションとその大規模結果の評価2018

    • Author(s)
      内種岳詞
    • Organizer
      MMDSワークショップ 工学と数学の接点を求めて
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Invited

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Published: 2018-07-20   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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