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Analysis of Proficiency in Investment Behavior and Its Application to Investor Education

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19300085
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field 情報図書館学・人文社会情報学
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

UEDA Kazuhiro  The University of Tokyo, 大学院・総合文化研究科, 准教授 (60262101)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) IZUMI Kiyoshi  独立行政法人産業技術研究所, デジタルヒューマン研究センター, 主任研究員 (10356454)
Project Period (FY) 2007 – 2009
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2009)
Budget Amount *help
¥19,370,000 (Direct Cost: ¥14,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,470,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥5,460,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,260,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥12,090,000 (Direct Cost: ¥9,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,790,000)
Keywords情報経済学 / 行動経済学 / 実験経済学 / 神経経済学 / リスク選好 / 経頭蓋直流刺激 / 生理指標 / テキストマイニング / 債券市場 / 模擬市場実験 / 行動バイアス / 人工市場モデル / シミュレーション / 相場付き / 投資行動
Research Abstract

We made an experiment, using the method of simulated stock market, to analyze the investor's characteristics in investment behavior. As a result, we clarified as follows : It was affected by their risk attitude whether investors followed market trends or not ; disposition effect was affected only by degree of proficiency, which meant that professional traders could avoid disposition effect. On the other hand, it was also clarified that investors' risk attitude had no influence on their physiological states which could be measured by aspiration, pulse, skin conductance response (SCR). In addition, we could suggest a possibility, by analyzing actual price data in the Japanese and US stock markets and by making simulations based on an artificial market model, that investors' trend-chasing behavior affected inefficient price formation in the markets.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2009 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2008 Annual Research Report
  • 2007 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (16 results)

All 2010 2009 2008 2007 Other

All Journal Article (10 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results) Presentation (5 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 現実の金融市場へ近づく人工市場2010

    • Author(s)
      和泉潔, 鳥海不二夫, 松井宏樹
    • Journal Title

      人工知能学会誌 24巻3号

      Pages: 408-415

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 株価モメンタムと出来高の関係―投資家の株価トレンド追随行為からの解明2010

    • Author(s)
      三輪宏太郎, 植田一博
    • Journal Title

      行動経済学 3巻6号

      Pages: 1-6

    • NAID

      130004959894

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 株価モメンタムと出来高の関係-投資家の株価トレンド追随行為からの解明2010

    • Author(s)
      三輪宏太郎・植田一博
    • Journal Title

      行動経済学 3(6)

      Pages: 1-8

    • NAID

      130004959894

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Acquiring a government bond trading strategy using reinforcement learning2009

    • Author(s)
      Matsui, T., Goto, T., Izumi, K.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Advanced Computational Intelligence and Intelligent Informatics, refereed vol.13, no.6

      Pages: 691-696

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 現実の金融市場へ近づく人工市場2009

    • Author(s)
      和泉潔・鳥海不二夫・松井宏樹
    • Journal Title

      人工知能学会誌 24(3)

      Pages: 408-415

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Acquiring a government bond trading strategy using reinforcement learning2009

    • Author(s)
      松井宏樹, Goto, T., 和泉潔
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Advaced Computational Intelligence and Intelligent Informatics 13(6)

      Pages: 691-696

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 人工市場とエージェントの取引戦略2008

    • Author(s)
      和泉潔・鳥海不二夫・松井藤五郎
    • Journal Title

      情報と知能 20巻4号

      Pages: 609-615

    • NAID

      110006862958

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 相場付きとリスク選好が投資行動に与える影響の分析2008

    • Author(s)
      岩崎雄斗, 植田一博, 伊藤祐輔, 和泉潔
    • Journal Title

      情報処理学会研究報告 ICI-151

      Pages: 79-84

    • NAID

      130004654334

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 人工市場とエージェントの取引戦略2008

    • Author(s)
      和泉潔・鳥海不二夫・松井藤五郎
    • Journal Title

      知能と情報 20(4)

      Pages: 609-615

    • NAID

      110006862958

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 相場付きとリスク選好が投資行動に与える影響の分析2008

    • Author(s)
      岩崎 雄斗・植田 一博・伊藤 祐輔・和泉 潔
    • Journal Title

      情報処理学会研究報告 ICI-151

      Pages: 79-84

    • NAID

      130004654334

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 株価モメンタムと出来高の関係と投資家の株価トレンド追随行為2009

    • Author(s)
      三輪宏太郎, 植田一博
    • Organizer
      人工知能学会「ファイナンスにおける人工知能応用研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-12
    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 株価モメンタムと出来高の関係と投資家の株価トレンド追随行為2009

    • Author(s)
      三輪宏太郎・植田一博
    • Organizer
      人工知能学会・ファイナンスにおける人工知能応用研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-12
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 相場付きとリスク選好が投資行動に与える影響の分析2008

    • Author(s)
      岩崎雄斗・植田一博・伊藤祐輔・和泉潔
    • Organizer
      第22回人工知能学会全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      旭川
    • Year and Date
      2008-06-11
    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report 2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Relation between Investors' Behavioral Biases and the Usefulness of Trading Volume2007

    • Author(s)
      Miwa, K., Ueda, K.
    • Organizer
      The 6th International Conference of Computational Intelligence on Economics and Finance
    • Place of Presentation
      USA
    • Year and Date
      2007-07-20
    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Relation between Investors'Behavioral Biases and the Usefulness of Trading Volume2007

    • Author(s)
      Miwa, K & Ueda, K
    • Organizer
      The 6th International Conference of Computational Intekkigence on Economics and Finance
    • Place of Presentation
      アメリカ合衆国・ソルトレイクシティ
    • Year and Date
      2007-07-20
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.cs.c.u-tokyo.ac.jp/r_kodo.html

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2007-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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