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Analysis on Recent Increasing Trend of Heavy Rainfall Frequency

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19510192
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Natural disaster science
Research InstitutionKyushu University

Principal Investigator

NISHIYAMA Koji  Kyushu University, 大学院・工学研究院, 助教 (20264070)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) JINNO Kenji  九州大学, 大学院・工学研究院, 教授 (80038025)
MATSUURA Tomonori  富山大学, 理工学部, 教授 (10414400)
Project Period (FY) 2007 – 2009
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2009)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Keywords気象災害 / 水災害 / 自己組織化マップ / 豪雨 / 台風 / 地球温暖化 / 異常気象 / 熱帯の海面水温分布 / NCEP再解析データ / パターン認識
Research Abstract

In this study, in order to find contributing factor of recent increasing trend of heavy rainfall frequency, pattern recognition of warm-season meteorological field pattern in Kyushu, Japan, was conducted firstly. The next analysis made significant connection between temporal variation (for the last 30 years) in heavy rainfall frequency and meteorological field patterns. Consequently, it could be confirmed that the frequency of heavy rainfall depends on the direction of water vapor fluxes and the locations of typhoon and stationary front. However, these results clearly indicated that the recent increase trend of heavy rainfall frequency is not consistent with that of meteorological field patterns relating to heavy rainfall.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2009 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2008 Annual Research Report
  • 2007 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (17 results)

All 2010 2009 2008 2007

All Journal Article (10 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 10 results) Presentation (7 results)

  • [Journal Article] 豪雨はどのように発生するか, PETROTECH2010

    • Author(s)
      西山浩司
    • Journal Title

      石油学会 第33巻

      Pages: 19-23

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 北部九州の冬季気象条件に基づく人工降雨実験の実施判断基準について2010

    • Author(s)
      西山浩司, 岩井真央, 神野健二, 脇水健次, 遠峰菊郎
    • Journal Title

      水工学論文集 第54巻

      Pages: 373-378

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 種々のパターン抽出手法による日本周辺冬季500hPa日平均温度場のパターン抽出2010

    • Author(s)
      井芹慶彦, 西山浩司, 神野健二, 河村明
    • Journal Title

      水工学論文集 第54巻

      Pages: 439-444

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report 2009 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 自己組織化マップを用いた日本全国月降水量分布の変動特性解析2009

    • Author(s)
      井芹慶彦, 水本真輝, 神野健二, 西山浩司
    • Journal Title

      水文・水資源学会誌 22巻,6号

      Pages: 466-478

    • NAID

      10026220455

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Comparison of Pattern Extraction Capability between Self-Organizing Maps and Principal Component Analysis2009

    • Author(s)
      Yoshihiko ISERI, Tomonori MATSUURA, Satoshi IIZUKA, Koji NISHIYAMA, Kenji JINNO
    • Journal Title

      Memoirs of the Faculty of Engineering, Kyushu University Vol.69,No.2

    • NAID

      130005050760

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 自己組織化マップを用いた日本全国月降水量分布の変動特性解析2009

    • Author(s)
      井芹慶彦, 水本真輝, 神野健二, 西山浩司
    • Journal Title

      水文・水資源学会誌 22巻, 6号

      Pages: 466-478

    • NAID

      10026220455

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Detection of Climate Change Impact on Central South America Using Self-Organizing Map2008

    • Author(s)
      Koji NISHIYAMA, Cintia UVO, Jonas OLSSON, Ronny BERNDTSSON, Kenji JINNO
    • Journal Title

      International Symposium on Earth Science and Technology 2008

      Pages: 481-488

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 自己組織化マップを利用した豪雨時の成層状態の診断2007

    • Author(s)
      西山浩司, 神野健二
    • Journal Title

      水文・水資源学会誌 Vol.20,No.3

      Pages: 156-166

    • NAID

      10020154471

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 自己組織化マップを利用した豪雨時の成層状態の診断2007

    • Author(s)
      西山 浩司, 神野 健二
    • Journal Title

      水文・水資源学会誌 20

      Pages: 156-166

    • NAID

      10020154471

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Evaluation of relationships between precipitation,temperature in Fukuoka and climate patterns2007

    • Author(s)
      井芹 慶彦, 神野 健二, 河村 明, 他3名
    • Journal Title

      International congress on Modeling and simulation(MODSIM)

      Pages: 1533-1539

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] SIGNIFICANT FEATURES OF WARM SEASON WATER VAPOR FLUX RELATED TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND DRAUGHT IN JAPAN2009

    • Author(s)
      Koji NISHIYAMA, Yoshihiko ISERI, Kenji JINNO
    • Organizer
      Earth Observation and Water Cycle Science
    • Place of Presentation
      Rome, ITALY
    • Year and Date
      2009-11-18
    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] SIGNIFICANT FEATURES OF WARM SEASON WATER VAPOR FLUX RELA TED TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND DRAUGHT IN JAPAN2009

    • Author(s)
      Koji Nishiyama, Yoshihiko Iseri, Kenji Jinno
    • Organizer
      Earth Observation and Water Cycle Science
    • Place of Presentation
      イタリア・ローマ
    • Year and Date
      2009-11-18
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 九州地方における近年の豪雨特性2009

    • Author(s)
      速水 和也, 西山 浩司 神野 健二, 他2名
    • Organizer
      平成20年度 土木学会西部支部研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      九州大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-07
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地球温暖化シナリオに基づく将来の海面水温分布パターンの解析2009

    • Author(s)
      小柳 賢史, 西山 浩司 神野 健二, 他2名
    • Organizer
      平成20年度 土木学会西部支部研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      九州大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-07
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Detection of Climate Change Impact on Central South America Using Self-Organizing Map2008

    • Author(s)
      Koji NISHIYAMA, Cintia UVO, Jonas OLSSON, Ronny BERNDTSSON, Kenji JINNO
    • Organizer
      International Symposium on Earth Science and Technology2008
    • Place of Presentation
      Fukuoka, Japan(481-488)
    • Year and Date
      2008-12-01
    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Probabilistic prediction of heavy rainfall using pattern recognition techpique based on Self-Organizing Map(SOM)2007

    • Author(s)
      西山 浩司
    • Organizer
      AGU(American Geophysical Union)Fall meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      サンフランシスコ
    • Year and Date
      2007-12-13
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Heavy rainfall prediction in the rainy season in Japan using pattern recognition technique based on Self-Organizing Map(SOM)2007

    • Author(s)
      西山 浩司
    • Organizer
      Conference of Mesoscale Meteorology and Typhoon in East Asia
    • Place of Presentation
      台北
    • Year and Date
      2007-11-07
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2007-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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