Cross-prefectural comparison of expectations on the future burden of public debt

• Project/Area Number: 19530290
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Section: 一般
• Research Field: Public finance/Monetary economics
• Research Institution: Meiji University
• Principal Investigator: HATANO Toshiya Meiji University, 商学部, 教授 (00303040)
• Project Period (FY): 2007 – 2009
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2009)
• Budget Amount: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000); Fiscal Year 2009: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000); Fiscal Year 2008: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000); Fiscal Year 2007: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
• Keywords: 公債の負担 / 状態空間モデル / カルマン・フィルター / 期待形成 / 都道府県 / 財政学 / 経済政策 / 経済統計学 / 経済理論

Research Abstract

I confirmed that the key parameters of household behavior are different seriously between regions. These differences are largely caused by the differences of expectations. Also, the cognition about the burden of public debt varied between regions.

Research Products

• [Journal Article] マクロ経済変動と社会保障財政～状態空間モデルによる予測～ (2010)
  • Author(s): 畑農鋭矢
  • Journal Title: 季刊社会保障研究
• [Journal Article] 主成分分析による地域経済特性の計測 (2009)
  • Author(s): 畑農鋭矢
  • Journal Title: 明大商学論叢 第91巻2号 Pages: 193-212
  • NAID: 120001941312
• [Presentation] マクロ経済環境の予測と公的年金制度・政府財政 (2009)
  • Author(s): 畑農鋭矢
  • Organizer: 社会保障の給付と負担に関する研究会
  • Place of Presentation: 国立社会保障・人口問題研究所
  • Year and Date: 2009-11-27
• [Presentation] 財政運営ルールの不安定性:状態空間モデルによる検証 (2009)
  • Author(s): 畑農鋭矢
  • Organizer: 公共経済学研究会
  • Place of Presentation: 名古屋学院大学
  • Year and Date: 2009-07-02
• [Remarks] ホームページ等
  • URL: http://www22.ocn.ne.jp/~e-miles/