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Study of probability models of Bond Pricing

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19530296
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Public finance/Monetary economics
Research InstitutionKinjo Gakuin University

Principal Investigator

NAKAMURA Syouji  Kinjo Gakuin University, 生活環境学部, 教授 (30350953)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) NAKAGAWA Toshio  愛知工業大学, 経営学部, 教授 (60076544)
ARAFUKA Miwako  金城学院大学, 生活環境学部, 教授 (30106231)
Project Period (FY) 2007 – 2008
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2008)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Keywordsファイナンス / 確率過程 / 信頼性理論 / 保有債券売 / 最適政策 / 累積損傷モデル / 確率モデル / FSCM / 金融論 / 教育システム
Research Abstract

企業が資金調達のため, 自己保有債券を市場で資金化する場合に, これらの金融商品の市場性を考慮しなければならない. 特に債券の市場流動性では, 企業が保有債券の資金化を急ぐことで, 大量の債券を市場に放出するために債券価格に影響を与えるという意味での価格下落という商品流動性のリスクが発生する. また, 保有債券を市場で慎重に資金化することにより, 売却タイミングを失う機会損失リスクを受ける.
本研究では, 自己保有債券を市場で資金化する場合に, 自己保有債券の売却が市場に与える影響(マーケット・インパクト)により自己保有債券資金化の価値に影響を受ける. これらのリスクにおいて, 自己保有債券を市場で資金化する場合に、最高の価値を得るための最適方策を確率過程を適用して解析的に求める.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2008 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2007 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (32 results)

All 2009 2008 2007 Other

All Journal Article (9 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 9 results) Presentation (19 results) Book (3 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] A summary of maintenance policies for a finite interval2009

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Nakagawa, Satoshi Mizutani
    • Journal Title

      Reliability Engineering & System Safety Vol.94, No.1

      Pages: 89-96

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimum problems in backward times of reliability models2009

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Nakagawa, Satoshi Mizutani
    • Journal Title

      IIE Transactions Vol.41, No.1

      Pages: 1-7

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimum problems in backward times of reliability models2009

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Nakagawa
    • Journal Title

      IIE Transactions Vol. 41

      Pages: 1-7

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A summary of maintenance policies for a finite interval2009

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Nakagawa
    • Journal Title

      Reliability Engineering & System Safety Vol. 94

      Pages: 89-96

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Periodic and sequential imperfect preventive maintenance policies for cumulative damage models2008

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Nakagawa, Satoshi Mizutani
    • Journal Title

      In H.Pham(Ed.) Recent Advanced in Reliability and Quality in Design(Springer-Verlag, London)

      Pages: 85-99

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal maintenance policies for a system with multiechelon risks2008

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Nakagawa, Kodo Ito
    • Journal Title

      IEEE Trans. on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Vol.38, No.2

      Pages: 461-469

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal maintenance policies for a system withmultiechelon risks2008

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Nakagawa
    • Journal Title

      IEEE Trans. 0n Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Vol. 38

      Pages: 461-469

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Periodic and sequential imperfect preventive maintenance policies for cumulative damage models2008

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Nakagawa
    • Journal Title

      Recent Advanced in Reliability and Quality in Design

      Pages: 85-99

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal Maintenance Policies for a System with Multiechelon Risks2008

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Nakagawa, Kodo Ito
    • Journal Title

      IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Vol.38, No.2,

      Pages: 461-469

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] e-learningにおける学生支援間隔の数理モデル2008

    • Author(s)
      中村正治
    • Organizer
      教育システム情報学会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋
    • Year and Date
      2008-07-26
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2つの累積損傷モデルの応用〜データベースの最適バックアップ間隔〜2008

    • Author(s)
      中村正治
    • Organizer
      電子情報通信学会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道
    • Year and Date
      2008-07-11
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Management Policy for Prepayment of A Monetary Facility2008

    • Author(s)
      Syouji Nakamura
    • Organizer
      14th ISSAT International Conference Reliability and Quality in Design Proceedings, (303-306)
    • Place of Presentation
      U.S.A
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Management Policy for Prepayment of A Monetary Facility2008

    • Author(s)
      Syouji Nakamura
    • Organizer
      14th ISSAT International Conference Reliability and Quality in Design
    • Place of Presentation
      Orland, Florida, USA
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Maintenance Policy for Parallel System with Cascading Failure and Its Application to The Dual Active system2008

    • Author(s)
      Ding-Zhou
    • Organizer
      Asian International workshop on Advanced Reliability Modeling
    • Place of Presentation
      Taichun, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Optimum Maintenance Policies for Products with Random Life Cycle2008

    • Author(s)
      Won Young
    • Organizer
      Asian International workshop on Advanced Reliability Modeling
    • Place of Presentation
      Taichun, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Comparison of Three Cumulative Damage Models2008

    • Author(s)
      Kodo Ito
    • Organizer
      Asian International workshop on Advanced Reliability Modeling
    • Place of Presentation
      Taichun, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Two Stochastic Models of A Multi-File Database Backup System2008

    • Author(s)
      Syouji Nakamura
    • Organizer
      Asian International workshop on Advanced Reliability Modeling
    • Place of Presentation
      Taichun, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Optimal Software Preventive Rejuvenation Policy Based on Cumulative Damage Process2008

    • Author(s)
      Xu-Feng
    • Organizer
      Asian International workshop on Advanced Reliability Modeling
    • Place of Presentation
      Taichun, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Optimal Backup Policies for A Database System with Full and Differential Backup2008

    • Author(s)
      Cun-Hua Qian
    • Organizer
      Asian International workshop on Advanced Reliability Modeling
    • Place of Presentation
      Taichun, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Random Checkpoint Models for Multiple Modular Systems with Increasing Error Rates2008

    • Author(s)
      Kenichiro Naruse
    • Organizer
      Asian International workshop on Advanced Reliability Modeling
    • Place of Presentation
      Taichun, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Reliability Characteristics of A Server System with Asynchron ous Replication2008

    • Author(s)
      Mitsutaka Kimura
    • Organizer
      Asian International workshop on Advanced Reliability Modeling
    • Place of Presentation
      Taichun, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] e-learningにおける最適学習支援間隔方策2008

    • Author(s)
      中村正治
    • Organizer
      教育システム情報学会
    • Place of Presentation
      熊本
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 累積損傷モデルによる最適学習支援間隔2008

    • Author(s)
      中村正治
    • Organizer
      日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Random and Priodic Replacement with Minimal Repair at Failure2008

    • Author(s)
      中川覃夫
    • Organizer
      日本オベレーションズ・リサーチ学会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 故障数の閾値を考慮した並列システムに対する定期点検方策2008

    • Author(s)
      水谷聡志
    • Organizer
      日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 保全方策におけるエントロピーモデルの応用2008

    • Author(s)
      中村正治
    • Organizer
      不確実性と意思決定の数理RIMS研究集会 京都大学数理解析研究所
    • Place of Presentation
      京都
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Development of tutoring system to understand loan interest rate decision theory,(Vol.22 no.3 39-44)2007

    • Author(s)
      Syouji Nakamura
    • Organizer
      JSiSE Research Report
    • Place of Presentation
      nagoya
    • Year and Date
      2007-10-20
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Optimal Times of Image Copy for a Multi-life Database System2007

    • Author(s)
      Syouji Nakamura Toshio Nakagawa, Keiko Nakayama
    • Organizer
      13th ISSAT International Conference on Reliability and Quality in Design,
    • Place of Presentation
      Seatle, USA
    • Year and Date
      2007-08-03
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Advanced Reliability Models and Maintenance Policies2008

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Nakagawa
    • Publisher
      Springer-Verlag, London
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Book] Advanced Reliability Models and Maintenance Policies2008

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Nakagawa
    • Total Pages
      246
    • Publisher
      Springer-Verlag, London, 2008.
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Optimal Certificate Update Interval Considering Communication Costs in PKI(T.Dohi.S.Osaki,K.Sawaki(ED))2007

    • Author(s)
      Syouji Nakamura, Miwako Arafuka,Toshio Nakagawa
    • Publisher
      Recent Advances Stochastic Operations Research, World Scientific
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.kinjo-u.ac.jp/teacher/11470.html

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2007-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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