Fertility Decline of Sapporo : Design of System Dynamic Model for Fertility Development in the Government-Designated Major Cities in Japan
Project/Area Number |
19530448
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Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
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Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
Section | 一般 |
Research Field |
Sociology
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Research Institution | Sapporo City University |
Principal Investigator |
HARA Toshihiko Sapporo City University, デザイン学部, 教授 (00208654)
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Project Period (FY) |
2007 – 2009
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Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2009)
|
Budget Amount *help |
¥3,380,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥780,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
|
Keywords | 社会学 / 人口 / 少子化 / 地域 / 政令指定都市 / 人口動態 / システム・ダイナミックス / シミュレーション |
Research Abstract |
Using periodical and time-series data on fertility, marriage, education and career promotion, in census, vital statistics and other sources, the determinants and the causalities of recent fertility declines in Sapporo were analyzed in comparison with other government-designated major cities in Japan for the purpose to design its system dynamics model. The results clarified : 1) the different net-migration between male and female population in Sapporo causes the lowest sex ratio and the lowest first marriage rate of women at ages 30-34 ; 2) the net-migration rates of both sex are different by marital status.
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Report
(4 results)
Research Products
(43 results)
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[Journal Article]2009
Author(s)
本沢巳代子, ベルント・フォン・マイデル編
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Journal Title
総合叢書 家族のための総合政策<2>市民社会における家族政策「11. 人口構造と地方都市:札幌市とフライブルグ市のマクロ社会学的比較」(原俊彦)(信山社出版)
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[Presentation] 人口減少と地域人口構造2008
Author(s)
原俊彦
Organizer
人口学研究会【第502回定例会】第2報告
Place of Presentation
明治大学秋葉原サテライトキャンパス
Year and Date
2008-02-02
Related Report
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[Presentation] 人口減少と地域人口構造2008
Author(s)
原俊彦
Organizer
人ロ学研究会【第502回定例会】第2報告
Place of Presentation
明治大学秋葉原サテライトキャンパス
Year and Date
2008-02-02
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