Empirical Analysis of Earthquake and Crime Risks in the Real Estate Market

• Project/Area Number: 19730183
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Research Field: Applied economics
• Research Institution: Keio University
• Principal Investigator: NAOI Michio Keio University, 商学部, 講師 (70365477)
• Project Period (FY): 2007 – 2008
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2008)
• Budget Amount: ¥2,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000); Fiscal Year 2008: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000); Fiscal Year 2007: ¥1,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000)
• Keywords: 地震発生リスク / 犯罪発生リスク / 不動産市場 / ヘドニック分析 / 防災政策 / 地震保険市場

Research Abstract

本研究課題では、(1)自然災害リスクとしての地震発生確率が、不動産価格へ与える影響の検討、(2)地域における持ち家率の高さが、住人の周辺環境改善に対するインセンティブを高め、犯罪リスクを引き下げるという仮説の検証、という2点に焦点を当てて分析を行った。(1)の研究課題については、地震発生リスクの社会的コストの定量的な分析を行い、その地域間格差を議論した。(2)の研究課題については、地域の持ち家率と犯罪発生率の間に一定の関係があることが、暫定的な結果として得られている。

Research Products

• [Journal Article] Earthquakes and the Quality of Life in Japan (2007)
  • Author(s): Naoi,M., K. Sumita, and M. Seko
  • Journal Title: Journal of Property Research 24(4) Pages: 313-334
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Earthquakes and the Quality of Life in Japan (2007)
  • Author(s): Michio Naoi
  • Journal Title: Journal of Property Research 24(4) Pages: 313-334
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Effects of Earthquake Occurrence Probability on Housing Prices in Japan: Estimation of the Earthquake Risk Premium (2007)
  • Author(s): Michio Naoi
  • Journal Title: KUMQRP Discussion Paper Series No.2007一004
• [Journal Article] 地震発生リスクを反映した生活質指数による地域間格差 (2007)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Journal Title: 『日本の家計行動のダイナミズムIII』(慶恵義塾大学出版会, 第11章) (所収) Pages: 285-305
• [Presentation] Earthquake Risk and Housing Prices in Japan : Evidence Before and After Massive Earthquakes (2009)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Organizer: Western Economic Association International 8th Biennial Pacific Rim Conference
  • Place of Presentation: 龍谷大学
  • Year and Date: 2009-03-26
• [Presentation] Community Rating, Cross Subsidies and Underinsurance : Why So Many Households in Japan Do Not Purchase Earthquake Insurance (2008)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Organizer: 応用地域学会2008年研究発表大会、
  • Place of Presentation: 釧路公立大学
  • Year and Date: 2008-11-16
• [Presentation] Community Rating, Cross Subsidies and Underinsurance : Why So Many Households in Japan Do Not Purchase Earthquake Insurance (2008)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Organizer: 応用地域学会2008年研究発表大会
  • Place of Presentation: 釧路公立大学
  • Year and Date: 2008-11-16
• [Presentation] Community Rating, Cross Subsidies and Underinsurance : Why So Many Households in Japan Do Not Purchase Earthquake Insurance (2008)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Organizer: qAPRU Real Estate Research Symposium、
  • Place of Presentation: 清華大学(中国)
  • Year and Date: 2008-07-11
• [Presentation] Community Rating, Cross Subsidies and Underinsurance : Why So Many Households in Japan Do Not Purchase Earthquake Insurance (2008)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Organizer: APRU Real Estate Research Symposium
  • Place of Presentation: 清華大学(中国)
  • Year and Date: 2008-07-11
• [Presentation] Community Rating, Cross Subsidies and Underinsurance : Why So Many Households in Japan Do Not Purchase Earthquake Insurance (2008)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Organizer: 17th American Real Estate and Urban Economic Association International Conference
  • Place of Presentation: イスタンブール(トルコ)
  • Year and Date: 2008-07-05
• [Presentation] Earthquake Risk and Housing Prices in Japan : Evidence Before and After Massive Earthquakes (2008)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Organizer: Macroeconomics, Real Estate, and Public Policy Workshop
  • Place of Presentation: Koc University(トルコ)
  • Year and Date: 2008-07-02
• [Presentation] Earthquake Risk and Housing Prices in Japan : Evidence Before and After Massive Earthauakes (2008)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Organizer: Macroeconomics, Real Estate, and Public Policy Workshop
  • Place of Presentation: Koc University(トルコ)
  • Year and Date: 2008-07-02
• [Presentation] Earthquake Risk and Housing Prices in Japan : Evidence Before and After Massive Earthquakes (2007)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Organizer: International Conference on Economic Analysis and Policy Evaluation Using Panel Data
  • Place of Presentation: 慶應義塾大学
  • Year and Date: 2007-11-24
• [Presentation] Earthquake Risk and Housing Prices in Japan: Evidence Before and After Massive Earthquake Attacks (2007)
  • Author(s): 直井 道生
  • Organizer: International Conference on Economic Analysisand Policy Evaluation Using Panel Data
  • Place of Presentation: 慶應義塾大学
  • Year and Date: 2007-11-24
• [Presentation] Effects of Earthquake Occurrence Probability on Housing Prices in Japan : Estimation of the Earthquake Risk Premium (2007)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Organizer: 日本経済学会2007年度秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 日本大学
  • Year and Date: 2007-09-24
• [Presentation] Effects of Earthquake Occurrence Probability on Housing Prices in Japan: Estiinatioii of the Earthquake Risk Premium (2007)
  • Author(s): 直井 道生
  • Organizer: 日本経済学会2007年度秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 日本大学
  • Year and Date: 2007-09-24
• [Presentation] Effects of Earthquake Occurrence Probability on Housing Prices in Japan : Estimation of the Earthquake Risk Premium (2007)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Organizer: 12th Asian Real Estate Society International Conference
  • Place of Presentation: University of Macau(マカオ、中国)
  • Year and Date: 2007-07-12
• [Presentation] Effects of Earthquake Occurrence Probability on Housing Prices 1n Japan: Estimatioii of the Earthquake Risk Premium (2007)
  • Author(s): 直井 道生
  • Organizer: 12th Asian Real Estate Society InternationalConference
  • Place of Presentation: University of Macau (マカオ、中国)
  • Year and Date: 2007-07-12
• [Presentation] Earthquakes and the Quality of Life in Japan (2007)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Organizer: 14th Annual European Real Estate Society Conference
  • Place of Presentation: City University of London(ロンドン、英国)
  • Year and Date: 2007-06-29
• [Presentation] Earthquakes and the Quality of Life in Japan (2007)
  • Author(s): 直井 道生
  • Organizer: 14th Annual European Real Estate SocietyConference
  • Place of Presentation: Cass Business Schoo1(ロンドン、英国)
  • Year and Date: 2007-06-29
• [Book] Socioeconomic, Availability, and Development Issues (2009)
  • Author(s): Naoi, M, K. Sumita, and M. Seko, Nova
  • Publisher: Science Publishers, Housing
• [Book] Housing : Socioeconomic, Availability, and Development Issues (2009)
  • Author(s): Michio Naoi
  • Publisher: Nova Science Publishers(近刊)(印刷中)
• [Book] 日本の家計行動のダイナミズムIII (2007)
  • Author(s): 直井道生
  • Publisher: 慶應義塾大学出版会
• [Remarks]
  • URL: http://www.keio.acjp/ja/contents/research/2008/1.html