Studies on Long-term Population Projection for Regions and the Mutual Relationship between Population and Economic Fluctuations
| Project/Area Number |
19730202
|
|---|
| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
|
| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
|---|
| Research Field |
Economic policy
|
|---|
| Research Institution | Osaka Prefecture University |
|---|
Principal Investigator |
YOSHIDA Motonori Osaka Prefecture University, 経済学部, 准教授 (60360046)
|
|---|
| Project Period (FY) |
2007 – 2010
|
| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2010)
|
| Budget Amount *help |
¥2,120,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥520,000 (Direct Cost: ¥400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥120,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥300,000)
|
|---|
| Keywords | 将来人口推計 / Random Scenario Method / 人口流出 / Gravity model / 生産効率性 / 生産要素の余剰 / DEA (Data envelopment analysis) / 製造業 / 生産関数 / DEA (Data Envelopment analysis) / 純移動率 / ランダム・シナリオ法 / SUR / 社会経済環境 / 行財政環境 / 人口移動 / Gravity Model / 公的セクター |
|---|
| Research Abstract |
First, I conducted causal analysis of out-migration from Osaka prefecture to other 46 prefectures. The results indicate that transportation distance and abundance of nature had a negative effect on demographic shift, while substantiality of life safety net and old-age welfare services a positive one. In addition, this tendency is very remarkable for the old-age generation. Next, I investigated the efficiency and the redundancy on production factors on 24 manufacturing industries by prefecture. The results show the following : Western Japan industries perform relatively efficiently, large amounts of redundancy on productive factors exist in key industries, and so do the regions, including Kanto, whose economic scales are large.
|
Report
(6 results)
Research Products
(7 results)
