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On the Existence of the non-Keynesian Effects in Japan

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19730234
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Public finance/Monetary economics
Research InstitutionKwansei Gakuin University

Principal Investigator

KAMEDA Keigo  Kwansei Gakuin University, 総合政策学部, 准教授 (80286608)

Project Period (FY) 2007 – 2009
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2009)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000)
Keywords公共経済学 / 非ケインズ効果 / 財政再建 / 財政赤字 / 政府債務 / 90年代の景気対策 / 財政政策の有効性 / 長期金利 / 歳入歳出一体改革 / 90年代の影気対策
Research Abstract

In this study, we tested whether the non-Keynesian effects existed in Japan applying Hjelm (2002)'s methodology, which was based on the solved-out consumption function in turn. All of the previous studies on this topic in Japan were based on the Euler equation ; therefore, it was new at lease in the methodological points of view. The most important results of this study was to detect the existence of the non-Keynesian effects in Japanese economy, and to find that we could obtain 1% increase in private consumption if the ratio of structural primary deficit to GDP decreased by 1% or the cumulative decrease in this ratio for two years amounted to 1.5%.
In addition to this analysis, we studied the following three relevant points : (1)the existence of the non-Keynesian effects using Threshold VAR, (2)empirical analyses on the association of budget deficit/government debt with long-term interest rates, and (3)the productivity of public capital, which would be related to the non-Keynesian effects through changes in expected future income of households. These complements would be useful to understand the main topic of this study and for future studies.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2009 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2008 Annual Research Report
  • 2007 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (27 results)

All 2010 2009 2008 2007

All Journal Article (16 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (7 results) Book (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] 財政支出の需要創出効果:閾値多変量自己相関モデル(Threshold VAR)を用いた分析2010

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series (関西学院大学総合政策学部) No.42,No.44

      Pages: 1-34

    • NAID

      120003798954

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 財政支出の需要創出効果:閾値多変量自己相関モデル(Threshold VAR)を用いた分析2010

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series(関西学院大学総合政策学部) No.44

      Pages: 1-34

    • NAID

      120003798954

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 財政赤字・政府債務は長期金利に影響するのか-先行研究のサーベイと研究課題の探求-2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Journal Title

      総合政策研究(関西学院大学総合政策学部) 第28巻

      Pages: 1-10

    • NAID

      110007151073

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 財政赤字・政府債務と長期金利-Published Forecastsを利用した実証分析-2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series(関西学院大学総合政策学部) No.37

      Pages: 1-35

    • NAID

      110007149555

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] わが国の民間消費に対する非ケインズ効果の実証分析2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series(関西学院大学総合政策学部) No.38

      Pages: 1-24

    • NAID

      110007149556

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Budget Deficits, Government Debt and Interest Rates in Japan: An Analysis using Published Budgetary Forecasts2008

    • Author(s)
      Kameda, K
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series(関西学院大学総合政策学部) No.39

      Pages: 1-31

    • NAID

      110007149557

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 財政赤字と長期金利に関するイベントスタディ2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series(関西学院大学総合政策学部) No.40

      Pages: 1-19

    • NAID

      110007149554

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 事業別社会資本の生産性分析-国直轄事業・国庫補助事業・地方単独事業別の推計-2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟、李紅梅
    • Journal Title

      財政研究 第4巻

      Pages: 148-164

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 非ケインズ効果はGDPにも作用するのか?-閾値多変量自己相関モデル(Threshold VAR)を用いた分析-2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series (関西学院大学総合政策学部) No.42

      Pages: 1-15

    • NAID

      120003798952

    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 事業別社会資本の生産性分析-国直轄事業・国庫補助事業・地方単独事業別の推計-2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Journal Title

      財政研究 4

      Pages: 148-164

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 非ケインズ効果はGDPにも作用するのか? -閾値多変量自己相関モデル(Threshold VAR)を用いた分析-2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series(関西学院大学総合政策学部) No.42

      Pages: 1-15

    • NAID

      120003798952

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 財政赤字・政府債務は長期金利に影響するのか-先行研究のサーベイと研究課題の探求-2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田 啓悟
    • Journal Title

      総合政策研究(関西学院大学総合政策学部研究会) 第28巻

      Pages: 1-10

    • NAID

      110007151073

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] わが国の民間消費に対する非ケインズ効果の実証分析2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田 啓悟
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series(関西学院大学総合政策学部) No.38

      Pages: 1-24

    • NAID

      110007149556

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 財政赤字・政府債務と長期金利-Published Forecastsを利用した実証分析-2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田 啓悟
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series(関西学院大学総合政策学部) No.37

      Pages: 1-35

    • NAID

      110007149555

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Budget Deficits, Government Debt and Interest Rates in Japan: An Analysis using Published Budgetary Forecasts2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田 啓悟
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series(関西学院大学総合政策学部) No.39

      Pages: 1-31

    • NAID

      110007149557

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 財政赤字と長期金利に関するイベントスタディ2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田 啓悟
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series(関西学院大学総合政策学部) No.40

      Pages: 1-19

    • NAID

      110007149554

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] What changes the effects of fiscal policy2010

    • Author(s)
      Kameda, K
    • Organizer
      The case study of Japan. Japan-Irvine Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      University of California, Irvine, United States
    • Year and Date
      2010-02-12
    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 財政赤字と長期金利に関するイベントスタディー2009

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Organizer
      日本財政学会
    • Place of Presentation
      明治学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-17
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report 2009 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Budget Deficits, Government Debt and Interest Rates in Japan: An Analysis using Published Budgetary Forecasts2008

    • Author(s)
      Kameda, K
    • Organizer
      International Institute of Public Finance Annual Congress
    • Place of Presentation
      Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands
    • Year and Date
      2008-08-23
    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Budget Deficits, Government Debt and Interest Rates in Japan : An Analysis using Published Budgetary Forecasts2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Organizer
      International Institute of Public Finance Annual Congress (Maastricht)
    • Place of Presentation
      Maastricht University, ドイツ
    • Year and Date
      2008-08-23
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 社会資本の生産性の再検討-90年代後半の公共投資は「無駄」だったのか-2008

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟、中東雅樹
    • Organizer
      公共選択学会
    • Place of Presentation
      関西大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-07-05
    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report 2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 政府債務・財政赤字と長期金利2007

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Organizer
      日本財政学会
    • Place of Presentation
      明治大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-10-27
    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report 2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 事業別社会資本の生産性分析-国直轄事業・国庫補助事業・地方単独事業別の推計-2007

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟、李紅梅
    • Organizer
      日本財政学会
    • Place of Presentation
      明治大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-10-27
    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report 2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 日本における非ケインズ効果の発生可能性、バブル/デフレ期の日本経済と経済政策5財政政策と社会保障第3章2009

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Publisher
      慶應義塾大学出版会
    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Book] 公共事業評価の再検討、市民と行政の経済分析第2章2009

    • Author(s)
      佐藤良一、亀田啓悟
    • Publisher
      新潟日報事業社
    • Related Report
      2009 Final Research Report
  • [Book] バブル/デフレ期の日本経済と経済政策5 財政政策と社会保障2009

    • Author(s)
      亀田啓悟
    • Publisher
      慶應義塾大学出版会
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 市民と行政の経済分析2009

    • Author(s)
      長谷川雪子
    • Publisher
      新潟日報事業社
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2007-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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