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Cointegration Analysis of I(2) Non-Stationary Time Series Data

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19830111
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (Start-up)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionFukuoka University

Principal Investigator

KURITA Takamitsu  Fukuoka University, 経済学部, 准教授 (20454928)

Project Period (FY) 2007 – 2008
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2008)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,687,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,510,000、Indirect Cost: ¥177,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥767,000 (Direct Cost: ¥590,000、Indirect Cost: ¥177,000)
Fiscal Year 2007: ¥920,000 (Direct Cost: ¥920,000)
Keywords経済時系列分析 / 共和分分析 / I(2)変数 / I(1)変数 / 構造変化 / 漸近理論 / モンテカルロ・シミュレーション / モンテカルロ実験 / 経済時系列 / 漸近分布
Research Abstract

本研究の主題は、計量経済学の手法である「共和分分析」である。次数が2である経済時系列変数(データを定常とするのに2階の差分を取る必要のある変数,variables integrated of order 2,以下I(2)変数と略記)の共和分分析について、理論及び実証の双方の観点から研究を行った。I(2)変数を含む経済データに構造変化が生じている場合の共和分検定など、I(2)変数の共和分分析を行う上で有用な研究成果を得ることがえきた。

Report

(3 results)
  • 2008 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2007 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (32 results)

All 2009 2008 2007 Other

All Journal Article (11 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (16 results) Remarks (5 results)

  • [Journal Article] A Note on Testing Parameter Constancy in Cointegrated Vector Autoregression : the Case of Near I(2) Processes2009

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Journal Title

      Economics Bulletin 29

      Pages: 589-601

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report 2008 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An Empirical Linkage between Monetary Base and Broad Money : I(2) and I(1) Cointegration Analysis of Monetary Aggregates2009

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Journal Title

      CAES Working Paper Series 2009-002

      Pages: 1-18

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The Fisher Open Equation and Long-Run Real Exchange Behavior : A Cointegration Analysis of Korea-US Economic Linkages2009

    • Author(s)
      Han Gwang Choo 栗田高光
    • Journal Title

      CAES Working Paper Series 2009-001

      Pages: 1-15

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The Fisher Open Equation and Long-Run Real Exchange Behavior : A Cointegration Analysis of Korea-US Economic Linkages2009

    • Author(s)
      Han Gwang Choo, 栗田高光
    • Journal Title

      CAES Working Paper Series, Fukuoka University 2009-0001

      Pages: 1-15

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] An Empirical Linkage between Monetary Base and Broad Money : I(2) and I(1) Cointegration Analysis of Monetary Aggregates2009

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Journal Title

      CAES Working Paper Series, Fukuoka University 2009-0002

      Pages: 1-18

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Common Stochastic Trends and Long-Run Price Leadership in the US Gasoline Market2008

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Journal Title

      CAES Working Paper Series 2008-003

      Pages: 1-10

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Common Stochastic Trends and Long-Run Price Leadership in the US Gasoline Market2008

    • Author(s)
      栗田 高光
    • Journal Title

      CAES Working Paper Series, Fukuoka University 2008-003

      Pages: 1-10

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Cointegration and Weak Exogeneity : Modelling Aggregate Consumption in Japan2007

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Journal Title

      CAES Working Paper Series 2007-002

      Pages: 1-18

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] I(2) Cointegration Analysis in the Presence of Deterministic Shifts2007

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Journal Title

      CAES Working Paper Series 2007-0001

      Pages: 1-24

    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] I(2)Cointegration Analysis in the Presence of Deterministic Shifts2007

    • Author(s)
      栗田 高光
    • Journal Title

      CAES Working Paper Series, Fukuoka University 2007-0001

      Pages: 1-24

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Cointegration and Weak Exogeneity:Modelling Aggregate Consumption in Japan2007

    • Author(s)
      栗田 高光
    • Journal Title

      CAES Working Paper Series, Fukuoka University 2007-002

      Pages: 1-18

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Impacts of Multivariate GARCH Innovations on Hypothesis Testing for Cointegrating Vectors2009

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Econometrics and the World Economy
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-23
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report 2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Co-breaking, Cointegration and Weak Exogeneity : Modelling Aggregate Consumption in Japan2008

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Organizer
      計量経済学研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島経済大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-12-28
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] I(2) Cointegration Analysis in the Presence of Deterministic Shifts2008

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Organizer
      日本応用経済学会2008年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      金沢大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-11-23
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report 2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] I(2) Cointegration Analysis in the Presence of Deterministic Shifts2008

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Organizer
      計量経済学セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学経済研究所
    • Year and Date
      2008-11-12
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report 2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Co-breaking, Cointegration and Weak Exogeneity : Modelling Aggregate Consumption in Japan2008

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Organizer
      6th OxMetrics User Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Cass Business Schoool, London
    • Year and Date
      2008-09-17
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] I(2) Cointegration Analysis in the Presence of Deterministic Shifts2008

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Organizer
      2008 Far Eastern and South Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapopre Management University, Singapore
    • Year and Date
      2008-07-18
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Cointegration and Weak Exogeneity : Modelling Aggregate Consumption in Japan2008

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2008年度春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-05-31
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] I(2) Cointegration Analysis in the Presence of Deterministic Shifts2008

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Organizer
      Econometrics Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam
    • Year and Date
      2008-03-21
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] I(2)Cointegration Analysis in the Presence of Deterministic Shifts2008

    • Author(s)
      栗田 高光
    • Organizer
      Econometrics Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Tinbergen Institute,Amsterdam
    • Year and Date
      2008-03-21
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] I(2) Cointegration Analysis in the Presence of Deterministic Shifts2008

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Organizer
      2008 Far Eastern and South AsianMeeting of the Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore Management University, Singapore
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Co-breaking, Cointegration, and Weak Exogeneity : Modelling Aggregate Consumption in Japan2008

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Organizer
      6th OxMetrics User Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Cass Business School, London.
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Co-breaking, Cointegration, and Weak Exogeneity : Modelling Aggregate Consumption in Japan2008

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Organizer
      計量経済学研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島経済大学
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] I(2) Cointegration Analysis in the Presence of Deterministic Shifts2007

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Organizer
      計量経済学研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-12-04
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] I(2)Cointegration Analysis in the Presence of Deterministic Shifts2007

    • Author(s)
      栗田 高光
    • Organizer
      計量経済学研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸大学
    • Year and Date
      2007-12-04
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] I(2) Cointegration Analysis in the Presence of Deterministic Shifts2007

    • Author(s)
      栗田高光
    • Organizer
      5th Oxmetrics User Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Cass Business School, London
    • Year and Date
      2007-09-20
    • Related Report
      2008 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] I(2)Cointegration Analysis in the Presence of Deterministic Shifts2007

    • Author(s)
      栗田 高光
    • Organizer
      5th OxMetrics User Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Cass Business School,London
    • Year and Date
      2007-09-20
    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.econ.fukuoka-u.ac.jp/researchcenter/workingpapers.html

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.econ.fukuoka-u.ac.jp/researchcenter/paper23/3-1_Kurita.pdf

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.economics.smu.edu.sg/femes/2008/CS_Info/CS7_4.htm

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.econ.fukuoka-u.ac.jp/researchcenter/workingpapers07.html

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.econ.fukuoka-u.ac.jp/researchcenter/workingpapers.html

    • Related Report
      2007 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2007-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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