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Measuring Students' Subjective Expectations on Career and Life

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19H01479
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 07040:Economic policy-related
Research InstitutionYokohama National University

Principal Investigator

Okumura Tsunao  横浜国立大学, 大学院国際社会科学研究院, 教授 (90323922)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 松倉 力也  日本大学, 経済学部, 教授 (00409145)
臼井 恵美子  一橋大学, 経済研究所, 教授 (50467263)
菊地 雄太  大阪大学, 社会経済研究所, 特任助教(常勤) (60782117)
菅野 早紀  大東文化大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (70755537)
茨木 貴徳  横浜国立大学, 教育学部, 教授 (90345439)
Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥16,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥12,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,840,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥3,380,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥780,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥5,330,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,230,000)
Keywords経済政策 / 計量経済学 / 労働経済学 / 主観的期待 / 就業選択
Outline of Research at the Start

本研究は、青年の将来への展望、すなわち、彼らの将来の働き方や生活などに対してどのように期待しているかについての社会調査を実施する。特に、政策が、青年の将来への期待にどのような影響を与えるかについて追及する。分析結果を踏まえて、今後の働き方や生活の支援に有効な政策を提言する。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

How do young men and women expect their future employment status, work style, and family life including marriage, childbirth, and childcare?
We conducted a questionnaire survey targeting young men and women and asked questions based on (1) the current situation and (2) hypothetical scenarios in which, “the Act on Promotion of Women's Participation and Advancement in the Workplace”and (3)“the Work Style Reform Laws”, respectively, were implemented.
We conducted empirical analysis of the survey results to find that young people expect that (1) under “the Act on Promotion of Women's Participation and Advancement in the Workplace”, the probability of having children in the future decreases, and (2) under “the Work Style Reform Laws”, the probability of getting married and having children increases.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

女性、男性ともフルタイムでの就業と子育てができる社会の実現を目標に、政府は「女性活躍推進法」や「働き方改革法」の政策を立案し実施しようとしているが、これらの未実現の政策が、将来人々の働き方や育児にどのような効果を与えるかを予測するのは、観測データを用いた従来の調査・計量方法では難しい。本研究の学術的意義は、たとえ個人の行動が未実現で観測できない状況でも、新しい政策が実施された場合の個人の「期待」の変化を直接聞きとることによって、政策の効果を予測できる方法を開発し、上記の2つの政策が青年の将来の就業や子育てに与える効果を予測することである。社会的意義は、その結果を基に、政策を提言することである。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2023 Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2022 Annual Research Report
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (61 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019

All Journal Article (31 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results,  Peer Reviewed: 18 results,  Open Access: 14 results) Presentation (29 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 8 results,  Invited: 10 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Partial Identification in Health Economics and Medical Statistics2023

    • Author(s)
      奥村綱雄
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Health Economics and Policy

      Volume: 34 Issue: 2 Pages: 51-68

    • DOI

      10.24742/jhep.2022.05

    • ISSN
      1340-895X, 2759-4017
    • Year and Date
      2023-03-23
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Female Labor Market Conditions and Gender Gaps in Aspirations2023

    • Author(s)
      Teresa Molina, Emiko Usui
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization

      Volume: 211 Pages: 165-187

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jebo.2023.04.031

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The future of unpaid work: Estimating the effects of automation on time spent on housework and care work in Japan and the UK2023

    • Author(s)
      松倉力也
    • Journal Title

      Open archive of the social sciences

      Volume: 191 Pages: 122443-122443

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] セックスレス・カップルと価値観; 出生力とセクシャリティの観点から2022

    • Author(s)
      森木美恵。松倉力也
    • Journal Title

      『セクシャリティの人口学』、人口学ライブラリ22、原書房

      Volume: 22 Pages: 75-93

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Aging in Northeast Thai Communities: Who are and Will Be Supporting the Aged?2022

    • Author(s)
      Hirofumi Ando, Pennee Kantavong, Rikiya Matsukura, Narong Kiettikunwong
    • Journal Title

      Ageing International

      Volume: - Issue: 2 Pages: 708-727

    • DOI

      10.1007/s12126-022-09484-8

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] A weak convergence theorem for common fixed points of two nonlinear mappings in Hilbert spaces2022

    • Author(s)
      T. Ibaraki, S. Kajiba and Y. Takeuchi
    • Journal Title

      Abstract and Applied Analysis

      Volume: 2022 Pages: 1-9

    • DOI

      10.1155/2022/9568060

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 問題作成課題を用いた学習意欲を高めるための指導法 -- 数列の単元に着目して--2022

    • Author(s)
      鈴木孝弥・茨木貴徳
    • Journal Title

      教育デザイン研究

      Volume: 13 Pages: 18-27

    • NAID

      120007186264

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] An Overview of Recent Production Function Estimators2021

    • Author(s)
      菊地 雄太、今井 晋、鈴木 広人
    • Journal Title

      THE JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCE

      Volume: 72 Issue: 2 Pages: 69-89

    • DOI

      10.34607/jssiss.72.2_69

    • NAID

      130008037968

    • ISSN
      0387-3307, 2189-4256
    • Year and Date
      2021-03-31
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Impact of University Reform on Research Performance Aggregated and Disaggregated across Research Fields: A Case Study of the Partial Privatization of Japanese National Universities2021

    • Author(s)
      Yuta Kikuchi
    • Journal Title

      The Japanese Economic Review

      Volume: なし Issue: 1 Pages: 1-27

    • DOI

      10.1007/s42973-021-00074-y

    • NAID

      210000167780

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report 2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] ヒルベルト空間における非線形写像族の共通不動点へ収束定理2021

    • Author(s)
      茨木貴徳
    • Journal Title

      京都大学数理解析研究所講究録

      Volume: 2190 Pages: 8-13

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] λ-ハイブリッド写像の族に関する不動点定理2021

    • Author(s)
      茨木貴徳
    • Journal Title

      京都大学数理解析研究所講究録

      Volume: 2194 Pages: 18-23

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The Effects of Providing Childcare on Grandmothers' Employment and Mental Health in Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Yuko Ueno and Emiko Usui
    • Journal Title

      The Economic Analysis

      Volume: 202 Pages: 125-147

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Chances of pregnancy after dropping out from infertility treatments: evidence from a social survey in Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Marie Hirakawa, Emiko Usui, Nahoko Mitsuyama, Takashi Oshio
    • Journal Title

      Reproductive Medicine and Biology

      Volume: 20 Issue: 2 Pages: 246-252

    • DOI

      10.1002/rmb2.12377

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report 2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Employer learning, job changes, and wage dynamics2021

    • Author(s)
      Kim Seik、Usui Emiko
    • Journal Title

      Economic Inquiry

      Volume: - Issue: 3 Pages: 1286-1307

    • DOI

      10.1111/ecin.12980

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report 2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Pension Expectations and Household Portfolio Choice of the Elderly in Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Emiko Usui and Tsunao Okumura
    • Journal Title

      一橋大学ディスカッションペーパー

      Volume: 694 Pages: 1-28

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 新型コロナウイルス感染症の影響下におけるワーク・ライフ・バランス2021

    • Author(s)
      臼井恵美子・佐藤繭香・松下美帆
    • Journal Title

      一橋大学ディスカッションペーパー

      Volume: 695 Pages: 1-56

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 高校生段階における微分法積分法の概念イメージに関する調査 --学習方略との関連に着目して--2021

    • Author(s)
      小林唯一、茨木貴徳
    • Journal Title

      教育デザイン研究

      Volume: 12 Pages: 104-113

    • NAID

      120006917257

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 医師専門医資格取得の男女差と医療現場の課題2020

    • Author(s)
      臼井恵美子、羽衣杉雄
    • Journal Title

      経済研究

      Volume: 71 Pages: 358-376

    • NAID

      40022390588

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Women’s changing work arrangements, career paths, and marital fertility in Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      Naohiro Ogawa, Rikiya Matsukura, Sang-Hyop Lee
    • Journal Title

      Advances in Life Course Research

      Volume: 46 Pages: 100375-100375

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.alcr.2020.100375

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Social Security Around the World2020

    • Author(s)
      Bernardo L. Queiroz, Rikyia Matsukura, Joze Sambt
    • Journal Title

      Gu, Danan, Dupre, Matthew E (Eds.) Encylopedia of Gerontology and Population Aging, Springer 所収

      Volume: - Pages: 1-8

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-319-69892-2_529-1

    • ISBN
      9783319698922
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] A mean convergence theorem finding a common attractive point of two nonlinear mappings2020

    • Author(s)
      T. Ibaraki and Y. Takeuchi
    • Journal Title

      Yokohama Mathematical Journal

      Volume: 66 Pages: 61-77

    • NAID

      120007145319

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Approximation of a common fixed point of two nonlinear mappings with nonsummable errors in a Banach space2020

    • Author(s)
      T. Ibaraki, S. Kajiba and Y. Kimura
    • Journal Title

      Differential Geometry, Algebra and Analysis, Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics

      Volume: 327 Pages: 185-196

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-981-15-5455-1_15

    • ISBN
      9789811554544, 9789811554551
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 寡占市場の均衡化における製品の品質の生産費用に対する影響の識別:推定に関するノート2020

    • Author(s)
      今井晋, 菊地雄太, 佐々木潔, 鈴木広人
    • Journal Title

      經濟學研究(北海道大学院経済学研究科)

      Volume: 70 Pages: 3-11

    • NAID

      120006951997

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 3つの人口配当:国民移転勘定(NTA)を応用した人口年齢構造変化と経済の影響2019

    • Author(s)
      松倉力也
    • Journal Title

      社会保障研究

      Volume: 4(2) Pages: 178-196

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 中高年における年齢別認知機能水準と認知疾病患者の将来展望2019

    • Author(s)
      小川直宏、松倉力也
    • Journal Title

      ひょうご震災記念21世紀研究機構 少子高齢化の制度設計 研究報告書

      Volume: - Pages: 50-64

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 出生と家族・仕事の関係2019

    • Author(s)
      小川直宏、松倉力也、伊藤ゆかり
    • Journal Title

      ひょうご震災記念21世紀研究機構 少子高齢化の制度設計 研究報告書

      Volume: - Pages: 65-70

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 介護と家族・仕事の関係2019

    • Author(s)
      小川直宏、松倉力也
    • Journal Title

      ひょうご震災記念21世紀研究機構 少子高齢化の制度設計 研究報告書

      Volume: - Pages: 71-74

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 操作変数を使わない需要関数の推定2019

    • Author(s)
      今井晋、菊地雄太、田中藍子
    • Journal Title

      現代経済学の潮流2019第3章 (東洋経済新報社)

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 遺産の受け取りが中高齢者の消費行動に与える影響について2019

    • Author(s)
      菅野早紀
    • Journal Title

      季刊 個人金融

      Volume: 春号 Pages: 22-33

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 零点問題に関する誤差付きの近似定理2019

    • Author(s)
      茨木貴徳
    • Journal Title

      京都大学数理解析研究所講究録

      Volume: 2112 Pages: 20-26

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 2つの非拡大型非線形写像に関する総和不可能誤差付の共通不動点近似2019

    • Author(s)
      茨木貴徳・梶葉駿介,
    • Journal Title

      京都大学数理解析研究所講究録

      Volume: 2114 Pages: 165-170

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] 新型コロナウィルス感染症の影響下におけるワーク・ライフ・バランス, 労働政策フォーラム「ワーク・ライフ・バランス研究の新局面─データ活用基盤の整備に向けて─」2022

    • Author(s)
      臼井恵美子
    • Organizer
      独立行政法人労働政策研究・研修機構/日本学術会議経済学委員会ワークライフバランス研究分科会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Impact of university reform on research performance aggregated and disaggregated across research fields: a case study of the partial privatization of Japanese national universities2021

    • Author(s)
      菊地雄太
    • Organizer
      一橋大学イノベーション研究センターサマースクール
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Fixed point theorems for a family of λ-hybrid mappings in a Hilbert space, The Third International Workshop on Nonlinear Analysis and Applications2021

    • Author(s)
      T. Ibaraki
    • Organizer
      Faculty of Science and Mathematics, University of Nis, Serbia (Online
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 2つの非線形写像に関する共通吸引点への収束定理2021

    • Author(s)
      茨木貴徳
    • Organizer
      RIMS共同研究、オンライン開催
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高等学校における生徒の学習意欲を高めるための教材開発と分析 --九九表を用いた数列学習の実践を通して2021

    • Author(s)
      鈴木孝弥・茨木貴徳
    • Organizer
      日本数学教育学会 第54回秋期研究大会(オンライン開催)
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] How do Age-related Policy Reforms Promote Elderly Employment in Singapore?2021

    • Author(s)
      Sun, Jessica Ya, and Emiko Usui
    • Organizer
      Society of Labor Economics Conference
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Female Labor Market Conditions, Human Capital Investment, and Aspirations2021

    • Author(s)
      Teresa Molina and Emiko Usui
    • Organizer
      HIAS Lunch Seminar, Hitotsubashi University,
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Female Labor Market Conditions, Human Capital Investment, and Aspirations2021

    • Author(s)
      Teresa Molina and Emiko Usui
    • Organizer
      UH Manoa Applied Micro Seminar,
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 女性医師のキャリア選択と医療現場の課題2021

    • Author(s)
      臼井恵美子
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会 2021年度春季大会、関西学院大学、オンライン
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 特別講演「女性医師のキャリア選択と医療現場の課題」2021

    • Author(s)
      臼井恵美子
    • Organizer
      第46回日本外科系連合学会学術集会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] The Effects of Providing Childcare on Grandmothers' Employment and Mental Health in Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Emiko Usui
    • Organizer
      内閣府ESRI国際共同研究
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] λ-ハイブリッド写像族に関する存在定理および収束定理2021

    • Author(s)
      茨木貴徳
    • Organizer
      RIMS共同研究(公開型)"非線形解析学と凸解析学の研究",
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 部分識別の基礎について2020

    • Author(s)
      奥村綱雄
    • Organizer
      横浜市立大学 ワークショップ経済
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Career Development of Female Physicians in Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      Emiko Usui
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Science and Technology for Sustainability, Science Council of Japan
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Sexual desire among people in the reproductive ages: Sexual activity with/without a partner2020

    • Author(s)
      松倉力也
    • Organizer
      日本人口学会第72回大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 開発途上国における少子化の進展とその要因:男性生殖機能低下の観点から2020

    • Author(s)
      松倉力也
    • Organizer
      JICA 緒方研究所 セミナー
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大学初年次生における微分積分法のイメージに関する調査 --学習方略との関連に着目して--2020

    • Author(s)
      小林唯一・中神一総・茨木貴徳
    • Organizer
      日本数学教育学会 第54回秋期研究大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Joint Identification and Estimation of Firm-Level Markup and Production Function2020

    • Author(s)
      菊地雄太
    • Organizer
      Summer Workshop on Economic Theory (SWET)
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 部分識別入門2019

    • Author(s)
      奥村綱雄
    • Organizer
      日本大学大学院経済学研究科特別講義
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Changing Cognitive Performance and the Untapped Work Capacity of Old Persons in Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      Taiyo Fukai, Hidehiko Ichimura, Rikiya Matsukura, Naohiro Ogawa
    • Organizer
      Stanford-Hallym Asia-Pacific Innovation Conference
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 夫婦間の性交渉の実態と第二子不妊について:「全国調査仕事と家族 2007&2010」より2019

    • Author(s)
      森本美恵、松倉力也
    • Organizer
      日本人口学会第71回大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 訪問・通所リハビリテーションを受ける介護保険認定者に関する分析2019

    • Author(s)
      松倉力也、小川直宏、佐藤謙
    • Organizer
      日本人口学会第71回大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] セックスレス人口の頻度と関連要因2019

    • Author(s)
      森本美恵、松倉力也
    • Organizer
      人口学研究会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 3つの人口配当2019

    • Author(s)
      松倉力也
    • Organizer
      国立社会保障人口問題研究所NTA/NTTAプロジェクト会議
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Elderly's Employment Situation in China, Japan, and Singapore: Evidence from the Longitudinal Panel Surveys2019

    • Author(s)
      Emiko Usui
    • Organizer
      Singapore-Japan Academic Forum on Aging
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Estimating Demand without Instruments: A Progress Report2019

    • Author(s)
      Susumu Imai, Yuta Kikuchi, Akiko Tanaka
    • Organizer
      日本銀行調査統計局 行内セミナー
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Weak and Strong convergence theorems for common fixed points of a family of nonlinear mappings2019

    • Author(s)
      Takanori Ibaraki
    • Organizer
      The 13th International Conference on Fixed Point Theory and Its Applications,HeNan Normal University, HeNan, China
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Weak and strong convergence theorems for common fixed points of nonlinear mappings in a Hilbert space2019

    • Author(s)
      Takanori Ibaraki
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Mathematical Analysis and Its Applications South Asian University, New Delhi, India
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] ヒルベルト空間における非線形写像族に関する弱および強収束定理2019

    • Author(s)
      茨木貴徳
    • Organizer
      RIMS共同研究(公開型) "非線形解析学と凸解析学の研究"京都大学数理解析研究所
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] マンスキー データ分析と意思決定理論 不確実な世界で政策の未来を予測する2020

    • Author(s)
      チャールズ・マンスキー、奥村 綱雄、高遠 裕子
    • Total Pages
      348
    • Publisher
      ダイヤモンド社
    • ISBN
      9784478105740
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2025-01-30  

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