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Optimal level of infrastructure related expenses -theoretical and empirical approach-

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19H02262
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 22050:Civil engineering plan and transportation engineering-related
Research InstitutionKobe University

Principal Investigator

KOIKE Atsushi  神戸大学, 工学研究科, 教授 (60262747)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 瀬谷 創  神戸大学, 工学研究科, 准教授 (20584296)
石倉 智樹  東京都立大学, 都市環境科学研究科, 准教授 (30356050)
織田澤 利守  神戸大学, 工学研究科, 教授 (30374987)
Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥14,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥10,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,240,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥3,380,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥780,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥5,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,290,000)
Keywords公共事業関係費 / マクロ経済モデル / マクロ計量経済モデル / 入札制度 / マクロ経済動学モデル
Outline of Research at the Start

公共事業関係費のGDPに対する水準が適切であるかどうかの判断は,単純な各国比較や時系列比較だけでなく,理論的・実証的・構造的アプローチが不可欠である.そこで,理論的分析では動学マクロ経済学のフレームで最適性を検証する.実証的分析では各国の社会資本ストック額および公共事業関係費と経済成長力に関する因果推論を実施する.さらに,構造的分析では,建設産業および入札制度,地理的要因などに着目し,わが国の公共事業の費用構造に関する特異性を分析する.これら,3つの分析を総合的に判断し,最終的にはわが国の公共事業関係費の最適水準を提案する.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

It is difficult to simply determine whether the level of Japan's public works expenditures relative to GDP is appropriate. This requires not only simple cross-country or time-series comparisons, but also theoretical, empirical, and structural approaches. Theoretical analysis examines optimality in the frame of economics. For the empirical analysis, we will conduct a statistical analysis of each country's social capital stock and public works expenditures and economic growth. The structural analysis focuses on the construction industry, the bidding system, and geographical factors, and analyzes the peculiarities of the cost structure of public works in Japan. Based on a comprehensive evaluation of these three analyses, we finally propose an optimal level of public works expenditures in Japan.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

研究の成果から,当初想定した,「わが国の公共資本ストックが他のOECD諸国と比較してとりわけ大きく,その限界生産性はマイナスであり,ストック額を削減するという提案」は妥当なものであるのか,その理論的根拠とは何か,また,それは実証的に確認されるものであるか,あるいは,日本の地理的文化的条件,あるいは,日本の建設産業特有の問題が存在するのかの疑問対して,3つの違ったアプローチで研究を実施した.その何れも,単純に日本のインフラストラクチャー過剰であるという認識には問題があることが確認できた.また,より詳細な分析が必要であることもわかり,今後の研究課題の明確化につながっている.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2022 Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (47 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Journal Article (30 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 19 results,  Open Access: 4 results) Presentation (14 results) Funded Workshop (1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] FIA(国際自動車連盟)(フランス)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] デルフト工科大学(オランダ)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 交易モデルに基づく交易障壁推定手法のわが国地域間交易への適用2022

    • Author(s)
      石倉智樹,山本和樹
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] MEASURING THE VALUE OF FREIGHT TRAVEL TIME SAVINGS USING A SPATIAL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL2021

    • Author(s)
      KOIKE Atsushi、TAKAMURA Nozomu、YAMAZAKI Masato、OTAZAWA Toshimori
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 76 Issue: 5 Pages: I_507-I_514

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.76.5_I_507

    • NAID

      130008027983

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] BASIC SURVEY OF ATTITUDES AND BEHAVIORS UNDER STATE OF EMERGENCY BY COVID-19 IN JAPAN2021

    • Author(s)
      TANAKA Kosuke、INAGAKI Tomoyuki、IWATA Keisuke、ONISHI Masamitsu、KANDA Yusuke、KII Masanobu、KURIHARA Takeshi、KOIKE Atsushi、SASAKI Kuniaki、SASAKI Yoh、SCHMOECKER Jan-Dirk、SHIROMIZU Yasuo、TOMARI Naoyuki、HYODO Tetsuro、FUJII Satoshi、FUJIWARA Akimasa、MATSUDA Yoko、MATSUNAGA Chiak
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 77 Issue: 2 Pages: 129-140

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.77.2_129

    • NAID

      130008054573

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] THE IMPACT OF HIGHWAYS ON REGIONAL EMPLOYMENT AND ESTABLISHMENTS’ LOCATION: EVIDENCE FROM JAPAN2021

    • Author(s)
      OTAZAWA Toshimori、MOROHASHI Katsuhiko、YOKOYAMA Shodai
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 77 Issue: 2 Pages: 52-61

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.77.2_52

    • NAID

      130008028098

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Verification of Zone-30-policy effect on accident reduction using propensity score matching method for multiple treatments2021

    • Author(s)
      Hajime Seya, Kazuki Yoshida, and Satoru Inoue
    • Journal Title

      Case Studies on Transport Policy

      Volume: - Issue: 2 Pages: 693-702

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.cstp.2021.03.007

    • NAID

      120007097079

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Identification of the geographical extent of an area benefiting from a transportation project: A generalized synthetic control2021

    • Author(s)
      Kunimi Takara、Seya Hajime
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Transport and Land Use

      Volume: 14 Issue: 1 Pages: 25-45

    • DOI

      10.5198/jtlu.2021.1784

    • NAID

      120007162586

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 医療の均霑化のための地域別将来患者数予測モデルの構築2021

    • Author(s)
      氏家 魁斗, 小池 淳司, 瀬谷 創
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究発表会・講演集

      Volume: 64

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 空間的応用一般均衡分析による高規格幹線道路整備の長期ストック効果の年代別考察2021

    • Author(s)
      小俣 元美,原野 崇, 佐藤 啓輔, 横山 楓, 片山 慎太朗, 定金 乾一郎, 小池 淳司
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究発表会・講演集

      Volume: 64

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 公共財としてではない社会基盤の価値2021

    • Author(s)
      小池 淳司
    • Journal Title

      土木学会年次学術講演会講演概要集

      Volume: 76

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 欧州連合の農業政策に見る権利としての国土政策2021

    • Author(s)
      山田順之, 小池淳司
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究発表会・講演集

      Volume: 63

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 高速道路ネットワーク整備が都市雇用圏の地価に及ぼす因果効果の推定2021

    • Author(s)
      織田澤利守,足立理子,佐藤啓輔,小池淳司
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究発表会・講演集

      Volume: 63

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 収益性を指標とした J リーグクラブ支持要因の分析2021

    • Author(s)
      植木瞭,石倉智樹
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究発表会・講演集

      Volume: 64

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 地域間交易モデルに基づく国内地域間交易障壁推定2021

    • Author(s)
      山本和樹,石倉智樹
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究発表会・講演集

      Volume: 64

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 市区町村単位の道路交通ネットワークにおける火山噴火降灰による道路交通と部門別物流への影響評価2021

    • Author(s)
      磯尚吾,石倉智樹
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究発表会・講演集

      Volume: 64

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A MEASUREMENT OF CROWDING-IN AND CROWDING-OUT EFFECTS BY REGIONAL PUBLIC INVESTMENT2020

    • Author(s)
      KOIKE Atsushi、MORI Shintaro
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 75 Issue: 6 Pages: I_29-I_36

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.75.6_I_29

    • NAID

      130007829511

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] MAXIMIZATION POLICY OF STOCK EFFECT FOR ROAD NETWORK DEVELOPMENT BY USING SCGE MODEL2020

    • Author(s)
      SATO Keisuke、KOIKE Atsushi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 76 Issue: 2 Pages: 114-127

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.76.2_114

    • NAID

      130007844786

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] CONSIDERATION OF MODELING FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION COST IN COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM FRAMEWORK2020

    • Author(s)
      瀬木 俊輔, 山崎 雅人, 石倉 智樹, 小池 淳司
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 76 Issue: 2 Pages: 72-90

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.76.2_72

    • NAID

      130007844781

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] A PROBLEM OF SECTORAL CLASSIFICATION IN MULTI-SECTOR SCGE MODEL WITH ICEBERG TRANSPORTATION COST MODEL2020

    • Author(s)
      YAMAZAKI Masato、SEGI Shunsuke、ISHIKURA Tomoki、KOIKE Atsushi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 76 Issue: 2 Pages: 91-99

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.76.2_91

    • NAID

      130007844780

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Regional economic effects of transport infrastructure development featuring trade gateway region-asymmetric spatial CGE model approach2020

    • Author(s)
      ISHIKURA Tomoki
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Procedia

      Volume: 48 Pages: 1750-1765

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.trpro.2020.08.211

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] INFLUENCE OF SAMPLING DESIGN ON THE COMPOSED OPINIONS OF RESIDENTS OBTAINED THROUGH DECOMPOSITION SURVEY METHOD2020

    • Author(s)
      AOKI Shunta, OZAKI Rizumu、OTAZAWA Toshimori、KITA Hideyuki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 75 Issue: 6 Pages: I_57-I_68

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.75.6_I_57

    • NAID

      130007829531

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report 2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS ON DECOMPOSITION SURVEY METHOD FOR SOCIAL CHOICE BASED ON PUBLIC JUDGMENT2020

    • Author(s)
      OZAKI Rizumu、OTAZAWA Toshimori、KITA Hideyuki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 75 Issue: 6 Pages: I_69-I_82

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.75.6_I_69

    • NAID

      130007829540

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report 2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] PRICE RISKS AND THE LEAD-LAG RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE FUTURES AND SPOT PRICES OF SOYBEAN, WHEAT AND CORN2020

    • Author(s)
      Kai Liu,Atsushi Koike,Yueying Mu
    • Journal Title

      Asian Journal of Economic Modelling

      Volume: 8, No.1 Issue: 1 Pages: 76-88

    • DOI

      10.18488/journal.8.2020.81.76.88

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Conservation Payments and Technical Efficiency of farm Households Participating in the Grain for Green Program on the Loess Plateau of China2019

    • Author(s)
      Li Li、Tsunekawa Atsushi、Zuo Yangshangyu、Koike Atsushi
    • Journal Title

      Sustainability

      Volume: 11 Issue: 16 Pages: 4426-4426

    • DOI

      10.3390/su11164426

    • NAID

      120006728093

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Conservation payments, off-farm employment and household welfare for farmers participating in the “Grain for Green” program in China2019

    • Author(s)
      Li Li、Tsunekawa Atsushi、MacLachlan Ian、Li Guicai、Koike Atsushi、Guo Yuanyuan
    • Journal Title

      China Agricultural Economic Review

      Volume: 12 Issue: 1 Pages: 71-89

    • DOI

      10.1108/caer-06-2018-0124

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] FACTORS ANALYSIS OF TFP CHANGES IN JAPANESE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR2019

    • Author(s)
      KOIKE Atsushi、MUKAIYAMA Jun
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 75 Issue: 5 Pages: I_17-I_24

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.75.I_17

    • NAID

      130007775635

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ESTIMATION INCOME TRANSFER METHOD FOR DETAILED INTER-REGIONAL I-O2019

    • Author(s)
      KOIKE Atsushi、IHARA Kazuki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 75 Issue: 5 Pages: I_25-I_32

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.75.I_25

    • NAID

      130007775644

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A SENSITIVE ANALYSIS ON NUMERAIRE PRICE CHOICE IN LOGIT TYPE SPATIAL ECONOMIC MODEL2019

    • Author(s)
      石倉智樹, 佐々木武志
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 75 Issue: 5 Pages: I_763-I_769

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.75.I_763

    • NAID

      130007775754

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 地域間交易における選好バイアスとその推移2019

    • Author(s)
      石倉智樹
    • Journal Title

      土木計画学研究・講演集

      Volume: 59

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Spatial economic impacts of ring road highway development in Greater Tokyo Area2019

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Ishikura, Hiroshi Yoshikawa and Fuga Yokoyama
    • Journal Title

      GTAP Resource

      Volume: 5703

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] CAUSAL INFERENCE FOR TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE APPRISAL: REVIEW AND PERSPECTIVE2019

    • Author(s)
      織田澤利守, 大平悠季
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 75 Issue: 5 Pages: I_1-I_15

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.75.I_1

    • NAID

      130007775679

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] Self-driving cars, agglomeration economies and urban spatial structure2021

    • Author(s)
      Toshimori Otazawa
    • Organizer
      The 1st Conference on Asian Inclusive Smart Cities in the Post Covid 19 Arena (Online)
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Impact Assessment on Transportation Network and Sectoral Freight Flow Caused by Volcanic Ash Fall2020

    • Author(s)
      Iso, Shogo, Tomoki ISHIKURA
    • Organizer
      Infrastructure Planning 62
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 国内地域間交易における交易障壁推定とその時点間比較2020

    • Author(s)
      山本和樹, 石倉智樹
    • Organizer
      第62回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 港湾選択行動を考慮した多地域開放経済モデルの構築2020

    • Author(s)
      津田渓太郎, 石倉智樹
    • Organizer
      第62回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 企業データを用いた地域高規格道路整備の因果効果推定2020

    • Author(s)
      中村温樹・田上貴士・織田澤利守
    • Organizer
      第62回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 鉄道の相互直通運転が沿線地価に及ぼす影響の分析2020

    • Author(s)
      中野佑亮・織田澤利守
    • Organizer
      第61回土木計画学研究発表会講演集
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地域別公共投資によるクラウディングイン・アウト効果の計量2019

    • Author(s)
      小池淳司,森真太朗
    • Organizer
      第59回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Regional economic effects of transport infrastructure development featuring trade gateway region -asymmetric spatial CGE model approach-2019

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Ishikura
    • Organizer
      World Conference on Transport Research
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Spatial economic impacts of ring road highway development in Greater Tokyo Area2019

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Ishikura, Hiroshi Yoshikawa and Fuga Yokoyama
    • Organizer
      the 22nd Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Economic Impacts of ASEAN Open Sky Agreement to National Economy of the Member Countries2019

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Ishikura, Shinya Hanaoka and Mikio Takebayashi
    • Organizer
      23rd Air Transport Research Society World Conference
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Spatial economic impacts of highway network completion in Greater Tokyo Area2019

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Ishikura, Hiroshi Yoshikawa and Fuga Yokoyama
    • Organizer
      58th European Congress of the Regional Science Association International
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 傾向スコアマッチング・差の差分法を用いた高速道路整備による雇用促進効果の推定2019

    • Author(s)
      横山将大,諸橋克彦,織田澤利守
    • Organizer
      第59回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高速道路へのアクセス向上がもたらすストック効果の計測ー操作変数アプローチー2019

    • Author(s)
      柚木洸,織田澤利守
    • Organizer
      第60回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 密集市街地の路地が街路のネットワーク特性に与える影響2019

    • Author(s)
      大平悠季・岡檀・織田澤利守・福山敬・谷口亮・石川剛・坂本圭
    • Organizer
      第60回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Funded Workshop] THE 9th INTERNATIONAL SEMINAR ON INTEGRATION OF SPATIAL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM AND TRANSPORT MODELLING2020

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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