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Development of the integrated methodology to assess the economic effects of transport project and disaster prevention project

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19H02264
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 22050:Civil engineering plan and transportation engineering-related
Research InstitutionTokyo Metropolitan University

Principal Investigator

Ishikura Tomoki  東京都立大学, 都市環境科学研究科, 准教授 (30356050)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 小池 淳司  神戸大学, 工学研究科, 教授 (60262747)
山崎 雅人  名古屋大学, 減災連携研究センター, 特任准教授 (60628981)
Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,960,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥5,330,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,230,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥5,330,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,230,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥6,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,500,000)
KeywordsSCGEモデル / 経済集積の外部性 / 詳細な地域単位 / 災害 / ストック効果 / 都市交通 / 災害時リダンダンシー効果 / 経済集積の外部生
Outline of Research at the Start

本研究は,社会資本整備政策の効果および空間波及を包括的に評価する方法論として開発・適用が進んでいる空間的応用一般均衡(SCGE)モデルに関して,現代の社会背景に適切に対して適切な方法論が未整備の部分を開拓し,方法論の深化を目指すものである.具体的には,標準的なSCGEモデルでは整理が進んでいない“経済集積の外部性”,“詳細な地域単位への分割”,“都市交通の適切な取扱”,“災害時リダンダンシー効果の適切な評価枠組み”の各キーワードに対応したモデリング技法を拡張し,これらを統合した手法論を確立する.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

Spatial Computable General Equilibrium (SCGE) models have been developed and applied as methodologies to comprehensively evaluate the economic effects and spatial spillovers of infrastructure development policies. This study deepened the SCGE modeling technology by addressing the new development of the spatial characteristics where the existing SCGEs have not established yet. Specifically, we have established a methodology that appropriately handles "economy of agglomeration" and "detailed regional classification", which are not well organized in the existing SCGE models. Furthermore, we verified the usefulness of the methodology by applying it to an actual road transportation improvement project.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

交通政策分析に適用した研究実績が国内外を通じて蓄積しているにも関わらず,輸送・交通を表現する技法が統一的な方法論として確立されておらず,世界的にも様々な技術が乱立している状況にある.特に近年の経済地理学理論発展に伴い重要性が指摘されている,経済集積による外部性(経済集積の進展がさらに集積を誘発させる効果)が十分に考慮されていないこと,都市圏における政策評価では,市町村レベルのような詳細な地域分割単位での分析が求められるが,ほとんどの既存手法ではより大きな地域単位しか扱えていないことが,主な課題である.本研究成果によって,これらの課題を解決する方法論が確立された.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2022 Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (18 results)

All 2022 2020 2019

All Journal Article (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 9 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results)

  • [Journal Article] Regional economic effects of the Ring Road project in the Greater Tokyo Area: A spatial CGE approach2022

    • Author(s)
      Ishikura Tomoki、Yokoyama Fuga
    • Journal Title

      Papers in Regional Science

      Volume: 101 Issue: 4 Pages: 811-837

    • DOI

      10.1111/pirs.12677

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] AN APPLICATION OF A TRADE BARRIER ESTIMATION METHOD BASED ON THE THEORETICAL FOUNDATION OF MULTI-REGIONAL TRADE MODEL FOR JAPANESE INTER-REGIONAL TRADE2022

    • Author(s)
      遠山航輝,川端祐一郎,藤井聡
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 77 Issue: 5 Pages: I_21-I_28

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.77.5_I_21

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] CONSIDERATION OF MODELING FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION COST IN COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM FRAMEWORK2020

    • Author(s)
      瀬木 俊輔, 山崎 雅人, 石倉 智樹, 小池 淳司
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 76 Issue: 2 Pages: 72-90

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.76.2_72

    • NAID

      130007844781

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] A PROBLEM OF SECTORAL CLASSIFICATION IN MULTI-SECTOR SCGE MODEL WITH ICEBERG TRANSPORTATION COST MODEL2020

    • Author(s)
      YAMAZAKI Masato、SEGI Shunsuke、ISHIKURA Tomoki、KOIKE Atsushi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 76 Issue: 2 Pages: 91-99

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.76.2_91

    • NAID

      130007844780

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A SENSITIVE ANALYSIS ON NUMERAIRE PRICE CHOICE IN LOGIT TYPE SPATIAL ECONOMIC MODEL2019

    • Author(s)
      石倉智樹, 佐々木武志
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 75 Issue: 5 Pages: I_763-I_769

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.75.I_763

    • NAID

      130007775754

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Conservation Payments and Technical Efficiency of farm Households Participating in the Grain for Green Program on the Loess Plateau of China2019

    • Author(s)
      Li Li、Tsunekawa Atsushi、Zuo Yangshangyu、Koike Atsushi
    • Journal Title

      Sustainability

      Volume: 11 Issue: 16 Pages: 4426-4426

    • DOI

      10.3390/su11164426

    • NAID

      120006728093

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Conservation payments, off-farm employment and household welfare for farmers participating in the “Grain for Green” program in China2019

    • Author(s)
      Li Li、Tsunekawa Atsushi、MacLachlan Ian、Li Guicai、Koike Atsushi、Guo Yuanyuan
    • Journal Title

      China Agricultural Economic Review

      Volume: 12 Issue: 1 Pages: 71-89

    • DOI

      10.1108/caer-06-2018-0124

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 建設産業におけるTFP変化の要因分析2019

    • Author(s)
      小池淳司,向山潤
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3

      Volume: 75-5

    • NAID

      130007775635

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 詳細地域間産業連関表推定における地域間所得移転の同定2019

    • Author(s)
      小池淳司,伊原一輝
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3

      Volume: 75-5

    • NAID

      130007775644

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] A spatial economic perspective of new high speed rail impact in Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Ishikura, Tomoki.
    • Organizer
      61th Congress of the European Regional Science
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 国内地域間交易における交易障壁推定とその時点間比較2020

    • Author(s)
      山本和樹, 石倉智樹
    • Organizer
      第62回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 港湾選択行動を考慮した多地域開放経済モデルの構築2020

    • Author(s)
      津田渓太郎, 石倉智樹
    • Organizer
      第62回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 国内地域間交易における交易障壁推定とその時点間比較2020

    • Author(s)
      山本和樹, 石倉智樹
    • Organizer
      第34回応用地域学会研究発表大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Regional economic effects of transport infrastructure development featuring trade gateway region -asymmetric spatial CGE model approach-2019

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Ishikura
    • Organizer
      World Conference on Transport Research
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Spatial economic impacts of ring road highway development in Greater Tokyo Area2019

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Ishikura, Hiroshi Yoshikawa and Fuga Yokoyama
    • Organizer
      Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 地域間交易における選好バイアスとその推移2019

    • Author(s)
      石倉智樹
    • Organizer
      土木計画学研究・発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Spatial economic impacts of highway network completion in Greater Tokyo Area2019

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Ishikura, Hiroshi Yoshikawa and Fuga Yokoyama
    • Organizer
      European Congress of the Regional Science Association International
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Assessing disaster economic impact considering transportation network2019

    • Author(s)
      Masato Yamazaki
    • Organizer
      nternational Society for Integrated Disaster Risk Management
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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