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Bottlenecks and potential of weather index insurance in the agricultural sector

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19H03069
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 41030:Rural environmental engineering and planning-related
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

YOSHIDA KOSHI  東京大学, 大学院新領域創成科学研究科, 教授 (20420226)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 牧 雅康  福島大学, 食農学類, 准教授 (50375391)
本間 香貴  東北大学, 農学研究科, 教授 (60397560)
乃田 啓吾  岐阜大学, 応用生物科学部, 准教授 (60646371)
増冨 祐司  国立研究開発法人国立環境研究所, 気候変動適応センター, 室長 (90442699)
黒田 久雄  茨城大学, 農学部, 教授 (20205256)
Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,960,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥5,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,290,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥6,630,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,530,000)
Keywords農業被害 / 気候変動 / 被害軽減策 / 気象災害 / 農業保険 / 適応計画
Outline of Research at the Start

本研究では,天候インデックス保険における設計手法の精緻化を検討すると共に,ユーザーである農家の生計戦略とリスク回避行動に重点を置いて調査研究を行う.被害乖離が解消し,農家にとって真に有効な保険商品が開発されれば,当該地域において一層の投資が図られ,農業発展に寄与することが期待される.また,より剛健な生産戦略を構築するためには将来の気候変動による不確実性を考慮に入れたリスク推計も重要となるため,それらの情報に基づき,地域ごとの環境許容量に応じた適応策を提案する.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

Climate change impacts on rice production systems in northeastern Thailand were evaluated, and the bottlenecks and feasibility of weather index insurance as an adaptation measure were examined. Multiple regression analysis of seasonal precipitation and rice production showed that the period of insurance index (July-September) was appropriate for most provinces with a positive correlation with production. The expected value of insurance payments received by farmers household was calculated based on the frequency of damage, and the frequency of index setting was also evaluated to be generally appropriate. In recent years, the ratio of damage to farmers household income has been decreasing, and the ratio of agricultural damage has been less than 10% since 1994. Therefore, the needs for weather index insurance for rainy season rice was judged to be low.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究では気候変動適応策としての天候インデックス保険に着目し,タイ東北部における気象要因とコメ生産量との関係および農業被害が農家の世帯生計に及ぼす影響を評価することにより,被害補填効果の見える化と普及阻害要因の特定を行った.また,将来の降水量変動が保険インデックスの設定値に及ぼす影響についても定量化を行っており、このような気象災害に対する被害額の可視化やソフト対策の評価は国や地方行政担当者に対して施策の効果や優先度を評価する重要な判断材料を提供するものと考える.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2022 Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (35 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (4 results) Journal Article (15 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 10 results,  Peer Reviewed: 13 results,  Open Access: 8 results) Presentation (16 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 10 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] コンケン大学/土地開発局(タイ)

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] コンケン大学/カセサート大学/土地開発局(タイ)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] コンケン大学/カセサート大学/土地開発局(タイ)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ラオス国立大学(ラオス)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Yearly change in severely salt-damaged areas in paddy fields in Ban Phai in Northeast Thailand2022

    • Author(s)
      Yang Yi、Maki Masayasu、Ye Rongling、Saito Daiki、Nontasri Thanyaluck、Srisutham Mallika、Sritumboon Supranee、Sukchan Somsak、Yoshida Koshi、Oki Kazuo、Homma Koki
    • Journal Title

      Hydrological Research Letters

      Volume: 16 Issue: 1 Pages: 7-11

    • DOI

      10.3178/hrl.16.7

    • NAID

      130008144838

    • ISSN
      1882-3416
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Impact of changes in the relationship between salinity and soil moisture on remote sensing data usage in northeast Thailand2022

    • Author(s)
      Maki Masayasu、Sritumboon Supranee、Srisutham Mallika、Yoshida Koshi、Homma Koki、Sukchan Somsak
    • Journal Title

      Hydrological Research Letters

      Volume: 16 Issue: 2 Pages: 54-58

    • DOI

      10.3178/hrl.16.54

    • ISSN
      1882-3416
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Systematic global evaluation of accuracy of seasonal climateforecasts for monthly precipitation of JMA/MRI-CPS2 bycomparing with a statistical system using climate indices2021

    • Author(s)
      Masutomi Yuji、Iizumi Toshichika、Oyoshi Key、Kayaba Nobuyuki、Kim Wonsik、Takimoto Takahiro、Masaki Yoshimitsu
    • Journal Title

      Geoscientific Model Development

      Volume: 131 Pages: 131-131

    • DOI

      10.5194/gmd-2021-131

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Climate change impact on soil salt accumulation in Khon Kaen, Northeast Thailand2021

    • Author(s)
      Koshi Yoshida, Supranee Sritumboon, Mallika Srisutham, Koki Homma, Masayasu Maki, Kazuo Oki
    • Journal Title

      Hydrological Research Letters

      Volume: 15 Issue: 4 Pages: 92-97

    • DOI

      10.3178/hrl.15.92

    • NAID

      130008120844

    • ISSN
      1882-3416
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] コメ単収・収穫面積推定モデルを用いたタイ国雨季米生産量の将来予測2021

    • Author(s)
      吉田貢士・本間香貴・牧雅康・前田滋哉・黒田久雄
    • Journal Title

      応用水文

      Volume: 33 Pages: 1-10

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Effect of organic amendments on maize cultivation under agricultural drought conditions in Central Java, Indonesia2020

    • Author(s)
      Khoiru Zaki Muhamad、Noda Keigo、Ito Kengo、Komariah、Priyo Ariyanto Dwi、Senge Masateru
    • Journal Title

      Hydrological Research Letters

      Volume: 14 Issue: 4 Pages: 150-154

    • DOI

      10.3178/hrl.14.150

    • NAID

      130007940935

    • ISSN
      1882-3416
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Adaptation to Extreme Hydrological Events by Javanese Society through Local Knowledge2020

    • Author(s)
      Zaki Muhamad Khoiru、Noda Keigo、Ito Kengo、Komariah Komariah、Sumani Sumani、Senge Masateru
    • Journal Title

      Sustainability

      Volume: 12 Issue: 24 Pages: 10373-10373

    • DOI

      10.3390/su122410373

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Impacts of the continuous maize cultivation on soil properties in Sainyabuli province, Laos2020

    • Author(s)
      Fujisao Kazuhiko、Khanthavong Phanthasin、Oudthachit Saythong、Matsumoto Naruo、Homma Koki、Asai Hidetoshi、Shiraiwa Tatsuhiko
    • Journal Title

      Scientific Reports

      Volume: 10 Issue: 1 Pages: 11231-11231

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41598-020-67830-9

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] リモートセンシングによる農作物生育診断2020

    • Author(s)
      本間香貴・橋本直之・牧 雅康・倉本泰隆・趙 昱・八幡晃一郎・山本知史
    • Journal Title

      電子情報通信学会誌

      Volume: 103 Pages: 883-889

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] タイ東北部の雨季米生産に対する気候変動影響と適応策の検討2020

    • Author(s)
      吉田貢士・本間香貴・牧 雅康・前田滋哉・黒田久雄
    • Journal Title

      応用水文

      Volume: 32 Pages: 80-89

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Potential of land classification by CubeSat in Monsoon Asia2020

    • Author(s)
      Kondo, F., Noda, K., Phompila, C.
    • Journal Title

      Earth and Environmental Science

      Volume: 423 Pages: 012020-012020

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] EVALUATION OF POTENTIAL SUGARCANE YIELD BY USING SHALLOW GROUND WATER FOR COUNTERMEASURE IN DROUGHT PROBLEM2019

    • Author(s)
      吉田貢士・Desell Suanburi・牧雅康・前田滋哉・黒田久雄
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. G (Environmental Research)

      Volume: 75 Issue: 5 Pages: I_411-I_417

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejer.75.I_411

    • NAID

      130007822007

    • ISSN
      2185-6648
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Weather-induced economic damage to upland crops and the impact on farmer household income in Northeast Thailand2019

    • Author(s)
      Koshi Yoshida, Mallika Srisutham, Supranee Sritumboon, Desell Suanburi and Naruekamon Janjirauttikul
    • Journal Title

      Paddy and Water Environment

      Volume: 17(3) Pages: 341-349

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Development of Water Resources and Nitrogen Load Estimation Model in Agriculture Dominant Region, Northeast Thailand2019

    • Author(s)
      寺家谷勇希・吉田貢士・SUPRANEE S.・MALLIKA S.・前田滋哉・黒田久雄
    • Journal Title

      Transactions of The Japanese Society of Irrigation, Drainage and Rural Engineering

      Volume: 87 Issue: 2 Pages: I_261-I_269

    • DOI

      10.11408/jsidre.87.I_261

    • NAID

      130007744576

    • ISSN
      1882-2789, 1884-7242
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Evaluation of Economic Damages on Rice Production under Extreme Climate and Agricultural Insurance for Adaptation Measures in Northeast Thailand2019

    • Author(s)
      Koshi Yoshida, Mallika S., Supranee S., Desell S., Naruekamon J. and Weerakaset S
    • Journal Title

      Engineering Journal

      Volume: 23(6) Issue: 6 Pages: 451-460

    • DOI

      10.4186/ej.2019.23.6.451

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] UAV画像を用いた長期無施肥無農薬水田内の生育・収量変動の評価(第2報)2021

    • Author(s)
      岩橋優,小林正幸,森誠,本間香貴
    • Organizer
      NPO無施肥無農薬栽培調査研究会2021年度研究報告会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Climate Change Impact on Salt Affected Soil in Northeast Thailand2021

    • Author(s)
      Koshi YOSHIDA, Supranee SRITUMBOON, Mallika SRISUTHAM, Koki HOMMA, Masayasu MAKI, Kazuo OKI
    • Organizer
      JpGU meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Sentinel-1/2の時系列衛星データを用いた仙台沿岸部農家圃場における水稲の生育評価に関する研究2021

    • Author(s)
      細沼航平,石橋多郎,伊藤塁人,齊藤裕樹,橋本直之,山本修平,牧雅康,本間香貴
    • Organizer
      第251回日本作物学会講演会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 熱赤外カメラ搭載ドローンによる水稲いもち病の早期発見の可能性の検討2021

    • Author(s)
      牧 雅康、宮野法近、佐々木次郎、本間香貴、本郷千春
    • Organizer
      第23回CEReS環境リモートセンシングシンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 6ヶ月アンサンブル数値予報モデルGPVの耕地における月降水量予報精度評価2021

    • Author(s)
      増冨祐司,飯泉仁之直,大吉慶,萱場亙起,金元植,滝本貴弘,眞崎良光
    • Organizer
      日本農業気象学会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Good Practices for Climate Change Adaptation in Agricultural Sector, Thailand2020

    • Author(s)
      Koshi Yoshida, Kazuo Oki, Koki Homma, Masayasu Maki, Mallika Srisutham, Supranee Sritumboon, Mongkol Raksapatcharawong, Desell Suanburi, Naruekamon Janjirauttikul, Weerakaset Suanpaga, Sudsaisin Kaewrueng, Patchareeya Boonkorkaew
    • Organizer
      JpGU - AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Calibration of cultivar parameters of SIMRIW-RS (rice simulation model for remote sensing) for the rice growth monitoring in Thailand.2020

    • Author(s)
      Koki Homma, Mongkol Raksapatcharawong, Watcharee Veerakachen, Peerapon Prompitakporn, Chinnapoj Wongsripisant, Masayasu Maki, Kazuo Oki
    • Organizer
      JpGU - AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Evaluation of salinity condition and its effect on rice production in rainfed farmers’ fields in Northeast Thailand2020

    • Author(s)
      Yi Yang, Rongling Ye, Thanyaluck Nontasri, Mallika Srisutham, Supranee Sritumboon, Masayasu Maki, Koshi Yoshida, Kazuo Oki, Koki Homma
    • Organizer
      JpGU - AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Evaluation of rice production in farmer’s fields by integration of simulation model with remote sensing. International Symposium on Crop production in semiarid areas2020

    • Author(s)
      Koki Homma
    • Organizer
      tropicalizing the northern region of Gaza/ Mozambique
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Farmers' perception of climate change induced drought in the Northeast Thailand2020

    • Author(s)
      Miki Nodera, Keigo Noda, Koshi Yoshida, Mallika Srisutham
    • Organizer
      JpGU - AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Revaluation of local knowledge as a sustainable drought adaptation strategy2019

    • Author(s)
      Muhamad Khoiru Zaki, Keigo Noda, Kengo Ito, Komariah
    • Organizer
      ICID
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Farmers’ perception of drought and its validation in Khon Kaen Province2019

    • Author(s)
      Miki Nodera, Keigo Noda, Mallika Srisutham, Koshi Yoshida
    • Organizer
      PAWEES
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Estimation of unit load of total nitrogen from domestic wastewater of urban areas in Vientiane, Lao PDR2019

    • Author(s)
      Takuya Okada, Keigo Noda, Masaomi Kimura, Ken Hiramatsu, Hiromasa Hamada, Keoduangchai Keokhamphui, Somphasith Douangsavanh
    • Organizer
      PAWEES
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 東北タイにおける渇水に対する農家の認識とその検証2019

    • Author(s)
      野寺美輝、乃田啓吾、吉田貢士、Mallika Srisutham
    • Organizer
      農業農村工学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] キューブサット衛星画像を用いた湿地・水田域の氾濫域解析モデルの開発2019

    • Author(s)
      近藤福之,乃田啓吾
    • Organizer
      農業農村工学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Simple Seasonal Forecast on Monthly Precipitation for Southeast Asia Using Climate Indices2019

    • Author(s)
      Masutomi, Y., Takimoto T., Iizumi, T., Oyoshi, K.
    • Organizer
      American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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