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Impacts of inter-individual heterogeneity of epidemic parameters on disease spread and ecosystems

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19H03309
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 45040:Ecology and environment-related
Research InstitutionRyukoku University

Principal Investigator

Miki Takeshi  龍谷大学, 先端理工学部, 教授 (00815508)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 鏡味 麻衣子  横浜国立大学, 大学院環境情報研究院, 教授 (20449250)
松井 一彰  近畿大学, 理工学部, 教授 (40435532)
Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥10,660,000 (Direct Cost: ¥8,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,460,000)
Keywordsツボカビ / 生態系内感染症 / 理論疫学 / 数理モデル / ツボカビ感染症 / 感染パラメータ / 生態系感染症 / スーパースプレッダー / 数理モデリング / 感染症 / 個体間差異 / 非ランダム分布 / 水域生態系 / 菌類 / 基本再生産数
Outline of Research at the Start

感染症の流行を扱う疫学理論では、感染されやすさ等が宿主個体間で異なることが、感染症拡大を決める大きな要因であると言われてきた(=「個体間差異」の重要性)。しかし、ウイルスや寄生性菌類等の寄生者が原因で、生態系全体に影響を及ぼすような「生態系内感染症」については、個体間差異の存在が見過ごされてきた。そこで本研究では、植物プランクトン・寄生性菌類相互作用を代表例として用いて個体間差異を定量化し、その結果に基づく宿主・寄生者動態を含む生態系モデルを新たに構築する。これにより、これまで過小評価されてきた生態系内感染症が生態系全体の物質循環へ与える波及効果の予測をめざす。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

We demonstrated three features of individual-level heterogeneity in phytoplankton-fungal (chytrid) interactions through combining incubation experiments, timelapse observation, and mathematical modeling. 1. Individual-level heterogeneity of the number of infections per host cell emerges from non-random interactions (i.e., local density-dependent interactions) between host cells and chytrid zoospores. 2. The existing infections on each host cell enhances subsequential infections, and the total number of newly-produced fungal zoospores increased with the number of infections. 3. The non-random interactions between host cells and chytrid zoospores make the population dynamics bistable at equilibria and results in the long-term latent period and sudden increases in infections under transient conditions.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

動物や人間に関する感染症においては、スーパースプレッダーの存在など宿主の個体間差異が流行拡大のカギである。しかし、細菌に感染するウイルスや植物プランクトンに寄生するツボカビなど、生態系内での影響が大きい「生態系内感染症」については、個体群内の平均的特性を用いた研究しか進められていなかった。本研究で明らかとなった個体群差異の存在とその機構は、生態系内での感染症・寄生者の役割の理解の深化に貢献する。特に流行拡大の初期において検出可能なレベルまで感染率が上がるまでの期間が個体間差異の存在によって非常に長くなるという発見は、有用藻類の野外培養における感染症リスク管理の面でも意義が大きい。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (18 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 Other

All Journal Article (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results,  Peer Reviewed: 7 results,  Open Access: 4 results) Presentation (8 results) (of which Invited: 4 results) Remarks (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] Disproportionate Changes in Composition and Molecular Size Spectra of Dissolved Organic Matter between Influent and Effluent from a Major Metropolitan Wastewater Treatment Plant.2022

    • Author(s)
      H. Lin, K. Matsui, R.J. Newton, and L. Guo
    • Journal Title

      ACS ES&T Water

      Volume: 2 Issue: 1 Pages: 216-225

    • DOI

      10.1021/acsestwater.1c00391

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Intercomparison of Two Fluorescent Dyes to Visualize Parasitic Fungi (Chytridiomycota) on Phytoplankton2021

    • Author(s)
      Klawonn Isabell、Dunker Susanne、Kagami Maiko、Grossart Hans-Peter、Van den Wyngaert Silke
    • Journal Title

      Microbial Ecology

      Volume: - Issue: 1 Pages: 1-15

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00248-021-01893-7

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Phytoplankton species abundance in Tokyo Bay (Japan) from 1998 to 20192021

    • Author(s)
      Nakata T, Katano T, Hashimoto K, Kagami M
    • Journal Title

      Ecological Research

      Volume: 36 Issue: 5 Pages: 901-906

    • DOI

      10.1111/1440-1703.12254

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Non-random patterns of chytrid infections on phytoplankton host cells: mathematical and chemical ecology approaches.2021

    • Author(s)
      Kinuyo Yoneya, Takeshi Miki, Silke Van den Wyngaert, Hans-Peter Grossart, Maiko Kagami
    • Journal Title

      Aquatic Microbial Ecology

      Volume: - Pages: 1-15

    • DOI

      10.3354/ame01966

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Single dominant diatom can host diverse parasitic fungi with different degree of host specificity2021

    • Author(s)
      Kagami, M., Seto, K., Nozaki, D., Nakamura, T., Wakana, H., & Wurzbacher, C.
    • Journal Title

      Limnology and Oceanography

      Volume: - Issue: 3 Pages: 667-677

    • DOI

      10.1002/lno.11631

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Trophic position, elemental ratios and nitrogen transfer in a planktonic host-parasite-consumer food chain including a fungal parasite.2020

    • Author(s)
      Virginia Sanchez Barranco, Marcel TJ Van der Meer, Maiko Kagami, Silke Van den Wyngaert, Dedmer B Van de Waal, Ellen Van Donk, Alena S Gsel
    • Journal Title

      Oecologia

      Volume: 194 Issue: 4 Pages: 541-554

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00442-020-04721-w

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Morphology, ultrastructure, and molecular phylogeny of Aphelidium collabens sp. nov. (Aphelidia), a parasitoid of a green alga Coccomyxa sp.2020

    • Author(s)
      Kensuke Seto, Toshihiro Matsuzawa, Hitoshi Kuno, Maiko Kagami
    • Journal Title

      Protist

      Volume: 171 Issue: 3 Pages: 125728-125728

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.protis.2020.125728

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Mathematical model for aggregated multiple infections for fungal parasites on phytoplankton host cells.2022

    • Author(s)
      Takeshi MIKI, Kinuyo YONEYA, Kazuaki MATSUI, Maiko KAGAMI
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第69回全国大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Observation and modeling on individual heterogeneity in phytoplankton-fungal interactions2021

    • Author(s)
      Takeshi Miki
    • Organizer
      Toward an integration of fluids, ecology, and evolution in Biofluids
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Empirical Dynamic Modeling (EDM)入門2021

    • Author(s)
      三木健
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会関東地区会シンポジウム(Unraveling the complexity of microbial interactions: Toward predictive understanding of community dynamics and functions)
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Macroscale vertical power-law distribution of bacteria in dark oceans can emerge from microscale bacteria-particle interactions.2021

    • Author(s)
      Takeshi MIKI, Po-Ju KE
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第68回全国大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] みんなのジュニア生態学講座 「見えると楽しい!目に見えない水中の微生物」2021

    • Author(s)
      鏡味麻衣子
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第68回全国大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Major modelling approaches that are useful to environmental microbiology: their applicability and limitations.2020

    • Author(s)
      Takeshi Miki
    • Organizer
      チリ微生物学会シンポジウム (Congreso SoMiCh 2020)
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Ecological models for quantifying the impacts of algal-fungal interactions on aquatic ecosystems2020

    • Author(s)
      Takeshi Miki, Maiko Kagami
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第67回全国大会 (2020年3月、名古屋)
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 水域生態系における感染症拡大要因“スーパー・スプレッダー”特定に向けた微生物感染パラメータの定量化2020

    • Author(s)
      三木健・関淳一朗
    • Organizer
      第31回 龍谷大学新春技術講演会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] ツボカビに狙い撃ちされる植物プランクトン -集中的多重感染- 先端理工学部 三木健教授らの論文

    • URL

      https://www.ryukoku.ac.jp/nc/news/entry-8541.html

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 【プレスリリース】ツボカビに狙い撃ちされる植物プランクトン-集中的多重感染-

    • URL

      https://www.ynu.ac.jp/hus/koho/26425/detail.html

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] ツボカビに狙い撃ちされる植物プランクトン -- 集中的多重感染 --

    • URL

      https://digitalpr.jp/r/48132

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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