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Perception Evolution of Military Leadership in the Democratic Transition: Focusing on Myanmar's Democratization

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19K01470
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 06010:Politics-related
Research InstitutionNiigata University

Principal Investigator

ZHANG YUN  新潟大学, 教育基盤機構, 准教授 (70447613)

Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords民主化 / 認知 / 政権中枢 / 軍事政権 / ミャンマー / 認知変化 / NGO / 軍政 / 権威主義 / 国際労働機関ILO / 政策決定 / 認知転換 / 権威体制 / 軍政中枢 / 内政外交連動 / 政策転換
Outline of Research at the Start

本研究は認知転換と民主化の理論をベースに、内政・外交連動の視点を持ち、ミャンマー民主化における政権内部の認知転換の分析枠組みを構築し、1990年以降のミャンマー軍政の民主化への認知変遷を追跡する。その上で、3つの事例を用いて軍事政権中枢の中心人物を含む重要な当事者への直接聞き取り調査を通じ、民主化における政権中枢の認知転換のメカニズムを解明する。
本研究の具体的な目的は以下の通りである。①ミャンマー民主化における政権内の認知転換の仮説と分析枠組みの構築、②政権中枢の民主化と内外情勢の認知の変遷を追跡、③3つの典型的な事例を、認知の転換を軸に、系統的に調査・解明、④民主化の理論の充実を図る。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

Why did the Myanmar military junta relinquish its power voluntarily in 2010? The existing literature mainly focuses on the structural elements and employs power-based approach. This research, based on the perception change and democratization theories, has been conducted with the nexus of domestic politics and diplomacy. It establishes a theoretical of perception change and investigated the perception evolution of the military junta since 1990.The qualitative fieldwork includes direct interviews with former top military government leaders, who provide valuable insights into the decision-making logic at the highest level. It clarified the mechanism of the leadership’s perception change.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究は今までの民主化に関する研究の構造的な要因、power-basedアプローチの視点から一線を画し、政権内部の認知変化を焦点に当てるidea-basedアプローチへを転換した。実証研究部分では、ミャンマー民主化における当時の政権中枢の当事者への直接聞き取り調査によって、内的なロジックを真正面から探り、民主化における政権中枢の認知転換のメカニズムを解明した。民主化における政権中枢の認知の転換のメカニズムの解明は、今後ミャンマー再民主化において、国内要因と国際要因の相互作用及び認知の転換への理解について実務的・社会的な意義がある。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2023 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (6 results) (of which Invited: 5 results)

  • [Journal Article] From Confrontation to Cooperation: the ILO-Myanmar Case and International Organizations in an Authoritarian Setting2021

    • Author(s)
      Yun Zhang and Yimeng Jia
    • Journal Title

      Asian Survey

      Volume: 61 (4) Issue: 4 Pages: 615-640

    • DOI

      10.1525/as.2021.61.4.615

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] From Confrontation to Cooperation: the ILO-Myanmar Case and International Organizations in an Authoritarian Setting2021

    • Author(s)
      Yun Zhang, Yimeng Jia
    • Journal Title

      Asian Survey

      Volume: July/August

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] International Actors and Mediation Diplomacy2023

    • Author(s)
      Zhang Yun
    • Organizer
      The International Organization for Mediation Preparatory Office
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Foreign Foundations in Myanmar's Democratic Transformation2022

    • Author(s)
      ZHANG Yun
    • Organizer
      FES (online)
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] The Role of the International Actors in Myanmar's Democratic Transformation2022

    • Author(s)
      ZHANG Yun
    • Organizer
      Nankai University (online)
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 権威主義体制における国際機関の運営メカニズム ―世界労働機関とミャンマー軍政中枢の認知変化の事例を中心に2020

    • Author(s)
      張雲
    • Organizer
      日本国際政治学会2020年度研究大会の国連分科会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Perception Change and Myanmar's Democratic Transition2019

    • Author(s)
      Yun Zhang
    • Organizer
      Yangon University
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] ILO Case and Perception Change2019

    • Author(s)
      Yun Zhang
    • Organizer
      Myanmar Institute of Strategic and International Studies (MISIS)
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Invited

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2025-01-30  

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