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General Equilibrium Analysis of Economic Integration with International Factor Mobility

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19K01622
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 07040:Economic policy-related
Research InstitutionNational Graduate Institute for Policy Studies

Principal Investigator

HOSOE NOBUHIRO  政策研究大学院大学, 政策研究科, 教授 (60313483)

Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords国際要素移動 / 応用一般均衡モデル / 輸出管理 / 経済制裁 / 経済分断 / 貿易政策 / 関税政策 / 紛争の経済学 / 国際労働移動 / ウクライナ侵攻 / 対露制裁 / 労働移動 / 電力 / 自動車産業 / 海外直接投資 / 農業生産性 / 農家の多様性 / 国際貿易 / 生産性 / 防衛の経済学 / 応用一般均衡分析 / 貿易自由化 / 直接投資
Outline of Research at the Start

財・サービス貿易のみを描写する従来型のCGEモデルを拡張して、FDIや国際労働移動もそこに取り込む。すなわち、(1)動学構造を与えることで、FDIを含む投資行動についてミクロ的基礎付けのあるモデルを構築する。また、(2)労働者の教育・訓練を考慮し、短期的なコストと、長期的な賃金プレミアムの獲得というベネフィットの間の動学的なトレードオフ関係を描写できるようにする。これらによって、FDIや国際労働移動を促進・停滞させるような経済統合(TPPの拡大、NAFTA再交渉、Brexitを前提とした欧州統合戦略の再構築)が、たとえば、日本・アジア経済への影響をシミュレーションによって計量的に明らかにする。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

I extended the conventional computable general equilibrium (CGE) model that describes only trade in goods and services by including FDI and international labor migration in the model. (1) A dynamic structure allows us to construct a model with micro-foundations for investment behavior, including FDI. (2) It also takes into account the education and training of workers so that the dynamic trade-offs between short-term investment costs and long-term benefits in terms of wage premiums can be described. These extensions made in my studies allow us to quantify the impact on the Japanese and Asian economies, for example, of economic integration (expansion of TPP, renegotiation of NAFTA, restructuring of European integration strategy based on Brexit) that would promote or stall FDI and international labor migration.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

応用一般均衡モデル等の数量的なマクロ経済モデルを構築することで、日本や世界経済が直面するさまざまな経済問題に対処するための思考実験のためのツールを提供することができる。また、平時の経済問題(たとえば、貿易自由化)に限らず、有事の経済問題(イギリスのEU離脱のような地域・国際経済の分断やロシアによるウクライナ侵攻への経済制裁)についても分析を行って、さまざまな状況に対応したモデル分析を行うことができた。応用一般均衡モデルに関する教科書については、これまで日本語、英語、中国語(簡体字)で出版されてきたが、あらたにトルコ語でも翻訳されて出版され、より広く研究成果を還元できるようになった。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (26 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019

All Journal Article (18 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Open Access: 11 results,  Peer Reviewed: 7 results) Presentation (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] The cost of war: Impact of sanctions on Russia following the invasion of Ukraine2023

    • Author(s)
      Hosoe Nobuhiro
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Policy Modeling

      Volume: - Issue: 2 Pages: 305-319

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.04.001

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Intended and Unintended Impacts of Minimum Wage Change: The Pivotal Role of Migration in the Philippines2022

    • Author(s)
      Sy, D. K., Hosoe, N.
    • Journal Title

      GRIPS Discussion Paper

      Volume: 22-08 Pages: 1-40

    • URL

      https://grips.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/1893

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Economic de-integration in North America and foreign direct investment from Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Hosoe Nobuhiro
    • Journal Title

      Japan and the World Economy

      Volume: 61 Pages: 101114-101114

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.japwor.2021.101114

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ロシアによるウクライナ侵攻に対する経済制裁の計量的評価2022

    • Author(s)
      細江宣裕
    • Journal Title

      GRIPS Discussion Paper

      Volume: 22-03 Pages: 1-47

    • URL

      https://grips.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/1887

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Quantifying the Impacts of Sanctions Following Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine2022

    • Author(s)
      HOSOE Nobuhiro
    • Journal Title

      GRIPS Discussion Paper

      Volume: 22-06 Pages: 1-42

    • URL

      https://grips.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/1890

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Microdata analysis of Japanese farmers’ productivity: Estimating farm heterogeneity and elasticity of substitution among varieties2021

    • Author(s)
      Akune Yuko、Hosoe Nobuhiro
    • Journal Title

      Agricultural Economics

      Volume: 52 Issue: 4 Pages: 633-644

    • DOI

      10.1111/agec.12639

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Corrigendum to “Can the Japanese agri-food producers survive under freer trade? A general equilibrium analysis with farm heterogeneity and product differentiation” [Jpn. World Econ. 55 (2020) 101028]2021

    • Author(s)
      Hosoe Nobuhiro、Akune Yuko
    • Journal Title

      Japan and the World Economy

      Volume: 58 Pages: 101070-101070

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.japwor.2021.101070

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Can the Japanese agri-food producers survive under freer trade? A general equilibrium analysis with farm heterogeneity and product differentiation2020

    • Author(s)
      Hosoe Nobuhiro、Akune Yuko
    • Journal Title

      Japan and the World Economy

      Volume: 55 Pages: 101028-101028

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.japwor.2020.101028

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Economic De-integration in North America and Foreign Direct Investment from Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      Hosoe, N.
    • Journal Title

      GRIPS Discussion Paper

      Volume: 20-02

    • URL

      https://grips.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/1768

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 北米における経済的分断と日本からの海外直接投資2020

    • Author(s)
      細江宣裕
    • Journal Title

      GRIPS Discussion Paper

      Volume: 20-03

    • URL

      https://grips.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/1769

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Impact of tighter controls on Japanese chemical exports to Korea2020

    • Author(s)
      Hosoe Nobuhiro
    • Journal Title

      Economic Modelling

      Volume: - Pages: 631-648

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.econmod.2020.02.006

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal indirect tax design in an open economy2020

    • Author(s)
      Ogawa, Y., Hosoe, N.
    • Journal Title

      International Tax and Public Finance

      Volume: - Issue: 5 Pages: 1081-1107

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10797-020-09592-8

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Welfare and equity impacts of cross-border factor mobility in Bangladesh: A general equilibrium analysis2020

    • Author(s)
      Hossain Sharif M.、Hosoe Nobuhiro
    • Journal Title

      Economic Modelling

      Volume: 87 Pages: 172-184

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.econmod.2019.07.017

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Microdata Analysis of Japanese Farmers’ Productivity: Estimating Farm Heterogeneity and Elasticity of Substitution among Varieties2019

    • Author(s)
      Akune, Y., Hosoe, N.
    • Journal Title

      GRIPS Discussion Paper

      Volume: DP19-24 Pages: 1-38

    • URL

      https://grips.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/1726

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Impact of Tighter Controls on Japanese Chemical Exports to Korea2019

    • Author(s)
      細江宣裕
    • Journal Title

      GRIPS Discussion Paper

      Volume: DP19-13

    • URL

      https://grips.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/1704

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Impact of Tighter Controls on Japanese Chemical Exports to Korea2019

    • Author(s)
      Hosoe, N.
    • Journal Title

      GRIPS Discussion Paper

      Volume: DP19-17

    • URL

      https://grips.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/1708

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Can the Japanese Agri-food Sectors Survive by Promoting their Exports?: A General Equilibrium Analysis with Farm Heterogeneity and Product Differentiation2019

    • Author(s)
      Hosoe, N., Akune, Y.
    • Journal Title

      GRIPS Discussion Paper

      Volume: DP19-06 Pages: 1-33

    • URL

      https://grips.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/1700

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 個票データによる農家の生産性分析: 農家間の異質性と農産物バラエティ間の代替の弾力性の同時推定2019

    • Author(s)
      阿久根優子, 細江宣裕
    • Journal Title

      GRIPS Discussion Paper

      Volume: DP19-05 Pages: 1-34

    • URL

      https://grips.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/1695

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] ロシアによるウクライナ侵攻に対する経済制裁の計量的評価2022

    • Author(s)
      細江宣裕
    • Organizer
      応用地域学会2022年度研究発表大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Intended and Unintended Impacts of Minimum Wage Change: A Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis with Cross-border Labor Mobility in the Philippines2022

    • Author(s)
      Sy, D. K., Hosoe, N.
    • Organizer
      the 25th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Global Value Chains and Directions of Japanese FDI in the Automobile Industry under the USMCA2020

    • Author(s)
      Hosoe, N.
    • Organizer
      the 23rd Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 日韓貿易における化学製品の輸出管理厳格化の影響2019

    • Author(s)
      細江宣裕
    • Organizer
      第33回応用地域学会研究発表大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 日本の農家の異質性とバラエティ間の代替の弾力性:『農家経営統計調査』の個票データによる分析2019

    • Author(s)
      阿久根優子, 細江宣裕
    • Organizer
      日本地域学会第56回年次大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 貿易自由化の農産物・食品分野への影響: 農家の異質性と製品差別化を考慮した応用一般均衡分析2019

    • Author(s)
      細江宣裕, 阿久根優子
    • Organizer
      日本地域学会第56回年次大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Impact of Trade Liberalization on the Japanese Agri-food Sectors: A General Equilibrium Analysis with Farm Heterogeneity and Product Differentiation2019

    • Author(s)
      Hosoe, N., Akune, Y.
    • Organizer
      The 22nd Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] Hesaplanabilir Genel Denge Modellemesi: GAMS Uygulamasi ve Simulasyonlar2021

    • Author(s)
      Hosoe, N., Gasawa, K., Hashimoto, H. (trans. Tari, R., Pehlivanoglu, F., Ince, M. R., Ekin Publish. (in Turkish))
    • Total Pages
      205
    • Publisher
      Ekin Publish
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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