Effects of the introduction of robots on economic growth and employment in Japan and Asian countries

• Project/Area Number: 19K01686
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• Allocation Type: Multi-year Fund
• Section: 一般
• Review Section: Basic Section 07040:Economic policy-related
• Research Institution: Osaka Gakuin University
• Principal Investigator: 松木 隆 大阪学院大学, 経済学部, 教授 (60319564)
• Project Period (FY): 2019-04-01 – 2024-03-31
• Project Status: Granted (Fiscal Year 2022)
• Budget Amount: ¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000); Fiscal Year 2021: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000); Fiscal Year 2020: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000); Fiscal Year 2019: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
• Keywords: ロボット / ICT / 経済成長 / 雇用 / 生産性 / 日本経済 / アジア経済

Outline of Research at the Start

日本とアジア諸国について、産業用/サービス用ロボット導入による生産過程の自動化が経済に与える影響について、付加価値額や生産性と雇用の変化に注目しつつ、一国全体と産業別で明らかにする。生産現場におけるロボット台数の増加や導入されるロボットの種類の違い（産業用・サービス用やより詳細な分類）が国全体や産業部門に与える影響を示し、同時に生産性向上による産業間の波及効果も明らかにする。また、経済発展段階や産業構造が異なる経済について考慮し、ロボット導入数やその種類の違いによる影響度合いの相違も一国全体や産業別として明確にする。

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

2022年度においては、これまで作成したデータセットの更新や第１稿として作成した論文「Improving effects of industrial robot adoption on employment, TFP, and real wage in 52 world economies and OECD members」（mimeo）の加筆・修正を行った。また、下記の論文の執筆を行った。
1. Exploring the tourism markets’ convergence hypothesis in South Korea,” Tourism Economics, forthcoming.
2. Global Factors, Regional Factors, and Macro-Financial Linkages, Kanazawa University Discussion Paper Series, 75, 1-35.

Current Status of Research Progress

2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.

Reason

研究計画におおむね沿う形で研究が進行していると考える。COVID-19の感染拡大の影響により、国際学会への参加を１つ中止した。

Strategy for Future Research Activity

2023年度も基本的に研究計画に従い研究を実施する予定である。いくつかの学会参加も予定している。

Research Products

• [Int'l Joint Research] Curtin University(オーストラリア)
• [Journal Article] Global Factors, Regional Factors, and Macro-Financial Linkages (2023)
  • Author(s): Enya, M., Kohsaka, A., Matsuki, T., Shinkai, J. and Sugimoto, K.
  • Journal Title: Kanazawa University Discussion Paper Series Volume: 75 Pages: 1-35
• [Journal Article] Macro-Financial Linkages in East Asia in Global Perspectives (2022)
  • Author(s): Masahiro Enya, Akira Kohsaka, Takashi Matsuki, Junichi Shinkai and Kimiko Sugimoto
  • Journal Title: Kanazawa University Discussion Paper Series Volume: 60 Pages: 1-29
• [Journal Article] House price convergence in the very long run: New evidence from Fourier quantile unit root test (2021)
  • Author(s): Lei Pan and Takashi Matsuki
  • Journal Title: MPRA paper Volume: 110816 Pages: 1-11
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] Per capita carbon emissions convergence in developing Asia: A century of evidence from covariate unit root test with endogenous structural breaks (2021)
  • Author(s): Takashi Matsuki and Lei Pan
  • Journal Title: Energy Economics Volume: 近刊 Pages: 1-24
  • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] Are the impacts of the COVID-19 crisis on financial and commodity markets analogous to the past crisis? A quantile copula spectral analysis (2021)
  • Author(s): Takashi Matsuki and Kimiko Sugimoto
  • Journal Title: Osaka Gakuin University DIscussion Paper Series Volume: 22 Pages: 1-9
• [Journal Article] Does sectoral productivity convergence promote per capita output convergence in the country level across Asian countries? (2020)
  • Author(s): Takashi Matsuki
  • Journal Title: 大阪学院大学経済論集 Volume: 33 Pages: 51-81
  • NAID: 120006864747
  • Open Access
• [Journal Article] Unconventional monetary policies in Japan and the US: Influential policy factors and reactions of the Japanese economy (2019)
  • Author(s): Takashi Matsuki and Kimiko Sugimoto
  • Journal Title: Osaka Gakuin University Discussion Paper Series Volume: 21 Pages: 1-36
• [Presentation] アジアの一人当たりアウトプット収斂とその要因 (2019)
  • Author(s): 松木隆
  • Organizer: ニューパラダイム研究会
• [Presentation] Does sectoral productivity convergence promote per capita output convergence in the country level across East Asian countries? (2019)
  • Author(s): Takashi Matsuki
  • Organizer: The Society for the Study of Emerging Markets (SSEM) Euro Conference (Milano)
  • Int'l Joint Research