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Empirical Analyses on the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy Considering External Factors

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19K01747
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 07060:Money and finance-related
Research InstitutionRitsumeikan University

Principal Investigator

AONO KOHEI  立命館大学, 経済学部, 教授 (20513146)

Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥520,000 (Direct Cost: ¥400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥120,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥260,000 (Direct Cost: ¥200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥60,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Keywords金融政策 / 株式市場 / 石油価格 / COVID-19 / ESG / Covid-19 / 為替制度 / 非伝統的金融政策 / 外的要因
Outline of Research at the Start

日本銀行が採用してきた「量的緩和政策」・「量的質的緩和政策」・「マイナス金利政策」などの金融政策は,金融論やマクロ経済学の教科書で説明されている金融政策とは異なることから「非伝統的金融政策」と呼ばれている。同じような政策は日本だけでなくアメリカやヨーロッパでも採用されているが,「非伝統的金融政策」が実体経済(GDPや物価,景気など)に効果があるのかについて十分に検証されていない状況である。
本研究課題では,この非伝統的金融政策の効果について,石油価格などの実体経済に影響を与えるであろうほかの要因(外的要因)の影響も考慮した上で,エビデンスを考察していく。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research project examined the impact of external factors such as oil prices, non-financial information, and COVID-19 on the stock market and the impact of new factors such as ETF purchase policy on non-traditional monetary policy.
The results of the analysis on oil prices and exchange rates confirmed the impact on the stock market, but the impact on monetary policy was limited. The analysis focusing on the "Japan Empowering Women Index(WIN)" as non-financial information confirmed that firms that are proactive in promoting women's activities are relatively highly rated. The COVID-19 that occurred during the implementation period of this research project was also analyzed as an "external factor," and it was confirmed that the impact of the COVID-19 on the stock price of firms differs depending on the cash holdings of the firms.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

通常の金融論やファイナンスの教科書では説明されていない非伝統的な金融政策である量的質的金融緩和政策,ゼロ金利政策や,イールドカーブコントロール政策の期間における株式市場と金融政策の関係について,外的な要因の影響も含めて考察することは新しいエビデンスを蓄積できるという意味において非常に重要である。また,近い将来に必ず実施されることになる非伝統的金融政策からの「出口」を考察する際にも,本研究課題が発見した知見が貢献できる可能性がある。これらの意味において社会的意義がある。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2023 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (23 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019

All Journal Article (7 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 5 results) Presentation (16 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Stock price reactions to corporate cash holdings in mitigating predictable and unpredictable negative shocks2023

    • Author(s)
      Kohei AONO and Keiichi HORI
    • Journal Title

      Pacific-Basin Finance Journal

      Volume: 79 Pages: 101997-101997

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.pacfin.2023.101997

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] When does the Japan Empowering Women Index outperform its parent and the ESG Select Leaders Indexes?2023

    • Author(s)
      Kohei AONO, Tatsuyoshi OKIMOTO
    • Journal Title

      International Review of Financial Analysis

      Volume: 85 Pages: 102428-102428

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102428

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Did the Bank of Japan’s Purchases of Exchange-Traded Funds Affect Stock Prices? A Synthetic Control Approach2022

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Aono, Hiroshi Gunji, and Hayato Nakata
    • Journal Title

      Applied Economics Letters

      Volume: - Issue: 20 Pages: 1-5

    • DOI

      10.1080/13504851.2021.1963409

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] When does the Japan Empowering Women Index Outperform its Parent and the ESG Select Leaders Indexes?2021

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Aono and Tatsuyoshi Okimoto
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 21-E-053 Pages: 1-27

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Did the Bank of Japan’s Purchases of Exchange-Traded Funds Affect Stock Prices? A Synthetic Control Approach2021

    • Author(s)
      Aono, Kohei and Gunji, Hiroshi and Nakata, Hayato
    • Journal Title

      Available at SSRN

      Volume: 3786502 Pages: 1-7

    • DOI

      10.2139/ssrn.3786502

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 中国における為替市場改革の効果―実質実効為替レートと株価指数の関係による分析―2020

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平・王浩
    • Journal Title

      立命館経済学

      Volume: 69(1) Pages: 27-45

    • NAID

      120006880006

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Can Cash Be a Ventilator for Firms Suffering from COVID-19? Evidence from Stock Market in Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      Kohei AONO and Keiichi HORI
    • Journal Title

      Discussion Paper Series from School of Economics , Kwansei Gakuin University

      Volume: 214 Pages: 1-33

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] 東京証券取引所改革における適合基準の有効性~Asset Pricing の観点からの検証~2023

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平・堀敬一
    • Organizer
      金融工学・数理計量ファイナンスの諸問題 2023
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Oil price, exchange rate, and Japanese stock returns2021

    • Author(s)
      Hayato Nakata, Tokuo Iwaisako and Kohei Aono
    • Organizer
      1st IAEE Online Conference
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Measuring the Value of Corporate Cash Holdings against Predictable and Unpredictable Negative Shocks2021

    • Author(s)
      Keiichi Hori and Kohei Aono
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2021年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] When does the Japan Empowering Women Index Outperform its Parent and the ESG Select Leaders Indexes?2021

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Aono and Tatsuyoshi Okimoto
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会第29回大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Measuring the Value of Corporate Cash Holdings against Predictable and Unpredictable Negative Shocks2021

    • Author(s)
      Keiichi Hori and Kohei Aono
    • Organizer
      Waseda Organizational and Financial Economics Seminar
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] When does the Japan Empowering Women Index Outperform its Parent and the ESG Select Leaders Indexes?2021

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Aono and Tatsuyoshi Okimoto
    • Organizer
      慶應義塾大学 計量経済学ワークショップ
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Oil Shocks, Exchange Rate Shocks, and Japanese Stock Market2020

    • Author(s)
      中田勇人・青野幸平・祝迫得夫
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会・春季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Oil Shocks, Exchange Rate Shocks, and Japanese Stock Market2020

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平・中田勇人・祝迫得夫
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会・春季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Did the Bank of Japan’s Purchases of Exchange-Traded Funds Affect Stock Prices? A Synthetic Control Approach2020

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平
    • Organizer
      マクロ経済政策研究会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Can Cash Be a Ventilator for Firms Suffering from COVID-19? Evidence from Stock Market in Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平・堀敬一
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会・秋季研究大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Can Cash Be a Ventilator for Firms Suffering from COVID-19? Evidence from Stock Market in Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平・堀敬一
    • Organizer
      資産価格研究会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Did the BOJ’s Purchases of ETFs Affect the Stock Prices? A Synthetic Control Approach2020

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平
    • Organizer
      資産価格研究会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Oil price Exchange Rate and Japanese Stock Returns2020

    • Author(s)
      中田勇人・青野幸平・祝迫得夫
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2020春季大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Oil price Exchange Rate and Japanese Stock Returns2020

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平・祝迫得夫・中田勇人
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Did the BOJ’s Purchases of ETFs Affect the Stock Prices? A Synthetic Control Approach2019

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平
    • Organizer
      Monetary Economic Workshop
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Oil Shocks, Exchange Rate Shocks, and Japanese Stock Market2019

    • Author(s)
      祝迫得夫・中田勇人・青野幸平
    • Organizer
      RIETI-IWEP-CESSA 共催ワークショップ
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2025-01-30  

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