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Theoretical and Empirical Research on the Acquisition of Legitimacy during Periods of Regime Change

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19K13590
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 06010:Politics-related
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

Yukawa Taku  東京大学, 大学院総合文化研究科, 准教授 (80728775)

Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Keywordsクーデタ / 選挙監視 / 民主革命 / フレーミング / テキスト分析 / 革命 / 亡命 / 体制変動 / 正統性 / プロテスト
Outline of Research at the Start

体制変動によって生まれた新体制がいかにして正統性を調達するかについて、分析を行う。具体的には、第一に、クーデタや市民革命の際にどのような価値/レトリックを掲げたのかを網羅的にデータ化する。第二に、国際的選挙監視の招致による正統性調達の傾向があることを示す。さらには、それらの「効果」として体制の定着や国際的な制裁/褒賞の有無との因果関係を示す。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

The purpose of this project was to theoretically and empirically elucidate how the actors justify large-scale political power transitions in the form of regime changes. The research outcomes included, firstly, the development of a theoretical framework on how the actors involved frame such political turmoil, and the systematic investigation of related discourses to construct a dataset. Secondly, the project empirically demonstrated the actual impacts of these justifications through quantitative and case analyses. Thirdly, text analysis was conducted on election monitoring reports, revealing temporal changes in the evaluation criteria.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本プロジェクトは制度外の権力の奪取をどのように正当化するか、という重要でありながらもこれまで体系的な研究が欠けてきた問題について、取り組むものであった。このように未開拓な分野において、理論面と実証面で着実に研究を進展させ、それらを複数の査読付き学術雑誌にて報告したことで、同分野における今後の発展の基礎を提供することができたと考えている。
また、どのような形での体制変動であろうと、当事者は「民主主義の追求」という形でその事象をフレーミングしようとするという点は興味深く、観察者としての我々が体制変動を認識する際に一つの注意点として意識すべきことでもある。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2023 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 6 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (1 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results) Book (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Our rule is only temporary: promises of the military after a coup and their influence on domestic and international reactions2023

    • Author(s)
      Yukawa Taku、Fujita Masafumi、Hidaka Kaoru、Kushima Kaori
    • Journal Title

      International Politics

      Volume: 60 Issue: 6 Pages: 1187-1208

    • DOI

      10.1057/s41311-023-00496-y

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Evolution of Monitoring: Evidence from Text Analysis of Election Monitoring Reports2023

    • Author(s)
      Yukawa Taku、Sakamoto Takuto
    • Journal Title

      Foreign Policy Analysis

      Volume: 20 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-12

    • DOI

      10.1093/fpa/orad034

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 伝記的アプローチによる国際機構の研究-個人属性についてのデータセットの構築から-2023

    • Author(s)
      高橋 知子, 湯川 拓, 鈴木 早苗
    • Journal Title

      国際社会科学

      Volume: 72 Pages: 47-63

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] What Do You Call the Political Upheaval?: The Conceptual Linkage between Revolutions and Coups2023

    • Author(s)
      Kaori Kushima, Taku Yukawa, Kaoru Hidaka, and Masanori Kubota
    • Journal Title

      Democratization

      Volume: - Issue: 5 Pages: 1-19

    • DOI

      10.1080/13510347.2023.2190968

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Losing Power Safely2022

    • Author(s)
      Taku Yukawa, Kaoru Hidaka, Masanori Kubota, Kaori Kushima
    • Journal Title

      Politics & Policy

      Volume: forthcoming Issue: 2 Pages: 274-297

    • DOI

      10.1111/polp.12461

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Coup d’etat and a Democratic Signal2022

    • Author(s)
      Taku Yukawa, Kaoru Hidaka, Kaori Kushima, Masafumi Fujita
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Peace Research

      Volume: forthcoming Issue: 6 Pages: 828-843

    • DOI

      10.1177/00223433211053187

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 国家にとってアナーキーとは何か2021

    • Author(s)
      湯川拓
    • Journal Title

      国際関係論研究

      Volume: 35 Pages: 1-18

    • NAID

      120007053688

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Coups and Framing: How Do Militaries Justify the Ilegal Seizure of Power?2020

    • Author(s)
      Taku Yukawa, Kaoru Hidaka, Kaori Kushima
    • Journal Title

      Democratization

      Volume: 27(5) Issue: 5 Pages: 816-835

    • DOI

      10.1080/13510347.2020.1740207

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Life after Exile2022

    • Author(s)
      Kaoru Hidaka, Masanori Kubota and Taku Yukawa
    • Organizer
      International Studies Association 63rd Annual Convention (Nashville)
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] 環境法の開拓線2023

    • Author(s)
      島村 健、大久保 邦彦、清水 晶紀、筑紫 圭一、原島 良成
    • Total Pages
      536
    • Publisher
      第一法規
    • ISBN
      9784474077492
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 習近平政権の国内統治と世界戦略 : コロナ禍で立ち現れた中国を見る2022

    • Author(s)
      川島真、21世紀政策研究所、小嶋華津子、弓野正宏、片山ゆき、丁可、小原凡司、大西康雄、北野尚宏、湯川拓
    • Total Pages
      256
    • Publisher
      勁草書房
    • ISBN
      9784326504954
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Book] これからの東アジアー保護主義の台頭とメガFTA2020

    • Author(s)
      湯川拓
    • Total Pages
      194
    • Publisher
      文眞堂
    • ISBN
      4830950986
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 教養の東南アジア現代史2020

    • Author(s)
      湯川拓
    • Total Pages
      376
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • ISBN
      4623086674
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2025-01-30  

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