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Establishment of integrated inundation risk assessment method using fine-resolution wave surge coupled model

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19K15098
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 22040:Hydroengineering-related
Research InstitutionNiigata University

Principal Investigator

NAKAMURA RYOTA  新潟大学, 自然科学系, 准教授 (90805938)

Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywordsコンテナ漂流 / 高潮 / 高波浪 / 根室 / 大阪湾 / 高解像度 / 低気圧 / ダムブレイク / 波浪 / 転倒率 / 高解像度浸水計算 / 構造物 / 高解像度数値計算 / 浸水計算
Outline of Research at the Start

世界各地で都市域における高潮浸水被害が発生している.本研究では,流動・波浪場が構造物群に侵入する様子を数値計算と水理実験で比較・検証して,数値計算の精度を検証する.そして,構造物を1軒ずつ再現した超高解像度高潮・波浪浸水数値計算モデル手法を開発・高度化した後,過去の高潮浸水事例に適用する.最後に,この街区スケールにおける浸水域の流れ・波の場と漂流物の数値計算結果を用いて、浸水域統合リスク評価法を構築する.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study constructed the comprehensive framework of risk assessment of storm surge hazards including the effect of the floating objects. As a real scale simulation, the storm surge simulation was performed to simulate the coastal flood associated with extra-tropical cyclone at Nemuro, Hokkaido on the middle of Dec. 2014. In addition, the storm surge hazards associated with typhoon Jebi (2019) in Osaka Bay were simulated with considering the floating containers in their simulation. The calculated final positions of the containers were in good agreement with the observation. As a experimental scale, the movement of floating objects was simulated by the numerical models, which was in good agreement with the result of previous experiment. As summary, the construction of framework of comprehensive risk assessment including the effect of floating objects in the storm surge hazards were accomplished.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

近年,国内外で発生している高潮災害を超高解像度高潮・波浪数値計算モデルにより再現して,漂流物の影響を考慮した浸水域のリスク評価を行った.この研究では,コンテナ漂流等の影響を考慮することで,より実現象に近い高潮災害を数値計算モデルで評価することを試みた.コンテナ漂流に関する実スケールと実験スケールの数値計算結果は観測結果・計測結果と符合していた.このように,再現が難しい高潮漂流物を含めた超高解像度高潮・波浪数値計算を構築することができた.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (17 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (10 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 10 results) Presentation (6 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] オタワ大学/ケベック大学州立科学研究所(カナダ)

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] SSP585シナリオを用いた2019年台風19号に伴う東京湾の高潮の擬似温暖化実験2022

    • Author(s)
      樺澤柾樹,中村亮太,大泉洸太
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B3(海洋開発)

      Volume: 78

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] LSTM-マルコフ連鎖モデルを用いた日本沿岸域における有義波高予測の検討2022

    • Author(s)
      西田航平,小原裕貴,中村 亮太
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B3(海洋開発)

      Volume: 78

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 令和3年台風9号通過前後の新潟青山海岸の離岸堤付近の海浜変形の現地調査と数値計算2022

    • Author(s)
      伊藤秀,片山大地,大泉洸太,石橋邦彦,中村亮太,加藤茂
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B3(海洋開発)

      Volume: 78

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] DRIFTING ORBIT ANALYSIS OF CONTAINERS ON AN EXPERIMENTAL SCALE USING DUALSPHYSICS2021

    • Author(s)
      矢崎真,中村亮太
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B3 (Ocean Engineering)

      Volume: 77 Issue: 2 Pages: I_25-I_30

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejoe.77.2_I_25

    • NAID

      130008094122

    • ISSN
      2185-4688
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Pseudo Global Warming Sensitivity Experiments of Subtropical Cyclone Anita (2010) Under RCP 8.5 Scenario2021

    • Author(s)
      Nakamura Ryota, Maell Martin
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

      Volume: 126 Issue: 24

    • DOI

      10.1029/2021jd035261

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] QUANTIFICATION OF PROCESSES OF MORPHOLOGICAL CHANGES BY NUMERICAL SIMULATION AND ELUCIDATION OF FLUSHING MECHANISM AT ARAKAWA RIVER MOUTH SANDBAR IN NIIGATA2021

    • Author(s)
      大泉洸太,石橋邦彦,中村亮太,高橋明
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B3 (Ocean Engineering)

      Volume: 77 Issue: 2 Pages: I_355-I_360

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejoe.77.2_I_355

    • NAID

      130008094265

    • ISSN
      2185-4688
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] FIELD SURVEY NEAR DETACHED BREAKWATERS AND NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF MORPHOLOGICAL CHANGES USING XBEACH MODEL2021

    • Author(s)
      伊藤優子,大泉洸太,石橋邦彦,中村亮太,加藤茂
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B3 (Ocean Engineering)

      Volume: 77 Issue: 2 Pages: I_919-I_924

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejoe.77.2_I_919

    • NAID

      130008094311

    • ISSN
      2185-4688
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] HIGH-PRECISION WAVE PREDICTION USING LSTM ON THE SEA OF JAPAN2021

    • Author(s)
      小原裕貴,中村亮太
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B3 (Ocean Engineering)

      Volume: 77 Issue: 2 Pages: I_751-I_756

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejoe.77.2_I_751

    • NAID

      130008094266

    • ISSN
      2185-4688
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] EVALUATION OF TSUNAMI RISK IN NIIGATA URBAN AREA WITH CONSIDERING UNCERTAINTY USING A CASE OF NIIGATA EARTHQUAKE2020

    • Author(s)
      熊倉 僚也, 中村 亮太, 大泉 洸太, 石橋 邦彦
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B3 (Ocean Engineering)

      Volume: 76 Issue: 2 Pages: I_935-I_940

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejoe.76.2_I_935

    • NAID

      130007910377

    • ISSN
      2185-4688
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Street-scale storm surge load impact assessment using fine-resolution numerical modelling: a case study from Nemuro, Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      Ryota Nakamura, Martin Maell, Tomoya Shibayama
    • Journal Title

      Natural Hazards

      Volume: 99 Issue: 1 Pages: 391-422

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11069-019-03746-6

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] SSP585シナリオを用いた2019年台風19号に伴う東京湾の高潮の擬似温暖化実験2022

    • Author(s)
      樺澤柾樹,中村亮太,大泉洸太
    • Organizer
      第47回海洋開発シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] LSTM-マルコフ連鎖モデルを用いた 日本沿岸域における有義波高予測の検討2022

    • Author(s)
      西田航平,小原裕貴,中村 亮太
    • Organizer
      第47回海洋開発シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 令和3年台風9号通過前後の新潟青山海岸の離岸堤付近の海浜変形の現地調査と数値計算2022

    • Author(s)
      伊藤秀,片山大地,大泉洸太,石橋邦彦,中村亮太,加藤茂
    • Organizer
      第47回海洋開発シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] DualSPHysicsを用いた実験スケールにおけるコンテナの漂流軌道解析2021

    • Author(s)
      矢崎真,中村亮太
    • Organizer
      第46回海洋開発シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 新潟県荒川河口砂州における地形変化の変形過程の再現計算の定量化と開口機構の解明2021

    • Author(s)
      大泉洸太,石橋邦彦,中村亮太,高橋明
    • Organizer
      第46回海洋開発シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] LSTMを用いた日本海側の高精度波浪予測2021

    • Author(s)
      小原裕貴,中村亮太
    • Organizer
      第46回海洋開発シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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