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Construction of health forecast system using an aerosol forecast model.

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19K19468
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 58030:Hygiene and public health-related: excluding laboratory approach
Research InstitutionSt. Luke's International University

Principal Investigator

ONISHI Kazunari  聖路加国際大学, 専門職大学院公衆衛生学研究科(公衆衛生大学院), 准教授 (50596278)

Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywords大気汚染 / 黄砂 / 健康予報 / 越境大気汚染 / アレルギー症状 / 健康予測 / 大気汚染物質 / 数値シミュレーション / 健康影響 / 予防医学 / 環境疫学 / モデルシミュレーション / 曝露評価
Outline of Research at the Start

本研究では、地元、越境の大気汚染の発生源のイベントの特定を行い、健康影響を評価する。さらに、健康影響MASINGARの予報データとの関係を明らかにし、行政がサービスとして使用しやすい指数化までを検討する。イベントごと個人ごとに感受性のある因子を特定しリスクのあると予想される日に適切な予防行動を取ることで健康リスクが低減されることを明らかにする。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study assessed the relationship between aerosol prediction model data in the global atmosphere acquired from the Japan Meteorological Agency and scores of subjective symptom investigation of inhabitants and evaluated its usefulness as an index for predicting short-term effects of Asan dust on health. In this study, firstly, it was shown from observation data that Asan dust, sulfuric acid, and nitric acid components were affected by cross-border air pollution. Next, it was suggested from the prediction data that the day of respiratory symptoms, throat symptoms, and nose symptoms caused by short-term exposure to Asian dust and other cross-border air pollution could be predicted 48 hours in advance. It was suggested that the modeled numerical data helped predict the health risk of cross-border air pollutants such as Asian dust and that MASINGAR could be applied and contribute to health prediction not only in Japan but also in the world because of the global model.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

これまで、環境研究として飛来予測がされていたが、そのデータと健康豚関係が本研究で明らかになった。大気汚染がひどい時に、体調の不具合や重篤なアレルギー症状を訴えることがあったが、48時間前の予測データを活用することで、前もって予防行動をとることができ、健康の悪化を防ぐことができる可能性が示唆された。
さらに、飛来した成分を調べることで、地元由来の汚染化越境由来の汚染かの区別ができ、自身の健康を左右する原因を特定し、大陸のイベントを鑑みながら効率よく対策と症状の評価が可能になった。また、マスクは、着用者次第で防御効果が左右されており、マスクの適切な選び方と使用方法に関する啓発の重要性が示された。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (37 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (4 results) Journal Article (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Peer Reviewed: 7 results,  Open Access: 3 results) Presentation (21 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results,  Invited: 8 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (4 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] パンジャブ農業大学/インド国際稲研究所/ポスト・グラデュエイト・インスティテュート・オブ・メディカル(インド)

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] オトゴンバヤル大学(モンゴル)

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] 総合地球環境学研究所/京都大学/愛知医科大学(インド)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] 鳥取大学乾燥地研究センター/モンゴル医科大学(モンゴル)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Desert Dust2022

    • Author(s)
      Onishi, K.
    • Journal Title

      Encyclopedia of Respiratory Medicine

      Volume: Vol.6 Pages: 450-457

    • DOI

      10.1016/b978-0-08-102723-3.00226-2

    • ISBN
      9780081027240
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Simulation of the transition metal based cumulative oxidative potential in East Asia and its emission sources in Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Mizuo Kajino, Hiroyuki Hagino, Yuji Fujitani, Tazuko Morikawa, Tetsuo Fukui, Kazunari Onishi, Tomoaki Okuda & Yasuhito Igarashi
    • Journal Title

      Scientific reports

      Volume: 11 Issue: 1 Pages: 6550-6550

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41598-021-85894-z

    • NAID

      120007017209

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Modeling Transition Metals in East Asia and Japan and Its Emission Sources.2020

    • Author(s)
      Mizuo Kajino, Hiroyuki Hagino, Yuji Fujitani, Tazuko Morikawa, Tetsuo Fukui, Kazunari Onishi, Tomoaki Okuda, Tomoki Kajikawa, Yasuhito Igarashi.
    • Journal Title

      GeoHealth

      Volume: 4-9 Issue: 9 Pages: 1-1

    • DOI

      10.1029/2020gh000259

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Clinical Acadenmic Topic;Association between cross-border air pollution / pollen and Allergic symptom, and application of prediction simulation model.2020

    • Author(s)
      Kazunari Onishi
    • Journal Title

      The allergy in Practice

      Volume: 538, 40(2) Pages: 80-83

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report 2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The impact of exposure to desert dust on infants’ symptoms and countermeasures to reduce the effects in Allergy2019

    • Author(s)
      Itazawa T, Kanatani KT, Hamazaki K, Inadera H, Tsuchida A, Tanaka T, Nakayama T, Go T, Onishi K, Kurozawa Y, Adachi Y; Japan Environment and Children’s Study Group.
    • Journal Title

      Allergy.

      Volume: 1 Issue: 6 Pages: 1-1

    • DOI

      10.1111/all.14166

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Association between cross-border air pollution and contact dermatitis,and application of prediction simulation model2019

    • Author(s)
      Kazunari Onishi
    • Journal Title

      The allergy in Practice

      Volume: 530,39(8) Pages: 48-51

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Aeolian dispersal of bacteria associated with desert dust and anthropogenic particles over continental and oceanic surfaces2019

    • Author(s)
      T. Maki, K.C. Lee, K. Kawai, K. Onishi, C.S. Hong, Y. Kurosaki, M. Shinoda, K. Kai, Y. Iwasaka, S.D.J. Archer, D.C. Lacap-Bugler, H. Hasegawa and S.B. Pointing
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research

      Volume: - Issue: 10 Pages: 5579-5588

    • DOI

      10.1029/2018jd029597

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 黄砂飛来予測数値モデルを用いた健康影響評価2022

    • Author(s)
      大西一成, 野島正寛, 関山剛, 黒崎泰典, 山縣然太朗, 黒沢洋一
    • Organizer
      第32回日本疫学会学術総会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] サージカルマスク着用方法によるマスク内への飛沫侵入率の違い2022

    • Author(s)
      大西一成 、豊崎佳奈子 、松井晴菜、西尾春奈、遠藤文、野島正寛
    • Organizer
      第92回 日本衛生学会学術総会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Prediction of health effects of Asian dust using the MASINGAR in Japan.2021

    • Author(s)
      Kazunari Onishi, Yasunori Kurosaki, Thomas Sekiyama, Youichi Kurozawa, Masanori Nojima.
    • Organizer
      International Epidemiological Association, World Congress Of Epideniology (WCE 2021)
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 浮遊飛沫のマスク内へのもれ率に基づいた顔貌の分類2021

    • Author(s)
      大西一成
    • Organizer
      2021年度日本分類学会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 新型コロナウイルスとマスク科学2021

    • Author(s)
      大西一成
    • Organizer
      日本化学会 第14回環境教育講演会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Exposure assessment by the measuring inward leak rate for airborne ambient particles into the mask.2021

    • Author(s)
      Kazunari Onishi, Masanori Nojima, Zentaro Ymagata.
    • Organizer
      International Society for Environmental Epidemiology (ISEE2021)
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Prediction of health effects of Asian dust using aerosol forecast model in Japan.2021

    • Author(s)
      Kazunari Onishi, Zentaro Ymagata, Youichi Kurozawa.
    • Organizer
      第80回日本公衆衛生学会学術総会 English session
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Assessing health risks of exposure to Asian dust among healthy individuals.2020

    • Author(s)
      Kazunari Onishi, Masanori Nojima, Tsuyoshi Thomas Sekiyama, Masato Shinoda, Youichi Kurozawa, Yasunori Kurosaki
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Health impact of environmental pollution and protective effect of masks in Japan.2020

    • Author(s)
      Kazunari Onishi, Masanori Nojima
    • Organizer
      The 32th Annual Scientific Conference of the International Society of Environmental Epidemiology (ISEE)
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 越境大気汚染と感染症推移の考察とマスク着用による個人防護効果2020

    • Author(s)
      大西一成
    • Organizer
      第61回年会大気環境学会(健康影響分科会 テーマ「大気環境と感染症」)
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Contribution of research on the health effects of air pollution to COVID -19 measures2020

    • Author(s)
      Kazunari Onishi
    • Organizer
      日中韓合同国際大気環境学会 (KOSAE)
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 健康ミニ講座 あなたに最適なマスク ~命を守るマスクの話~2020

    • Author(s)
      大西一成
    • Organizer
      第25回聖路加看護学会学術大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 一般向け衛生マスク着用時における微小粒子状物質のマスク内侵入率2020

    • Author(s)
      大西一成、野島正寛、大山裕冬、山縣然太朗
    • Organizer
      第31回日本疫学会学術総会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 感染症から身を守る防護具としてのマスクの効果2020

    • Author(s)
      大西一成、野島正寛、山縣然太朗
    • Organizer
      第90回日本衛生学会学術総会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 越境大気汚染物質の粗大粒子及びPM2.5の成人と子どもへの健康影響2020

    • Author(s)
      大西一成、野島正寛、金谷久美子、大谷眞二 、黒沢洋一、中山健夫 、山縣然太朗
    • Organizer
      日本疫学会(京都)
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] モンゴルにおける黄砂・大気汚染物質濃度上昇における健康影響評価2020

    • Author(s)
      大西一成、黒崎泰典 、林 邦好、寺崎寛章、イシドルジ ウンダルマ 、清水厚、野島正寛 、梅村朋弘、大谷眞二 、黒沢洋一
    • Organizer
      日本衛生学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] モンゴルにおける黄砂・大気汚染物質濃度上昇における健康影響評価2019

    • Author(s)
      大西一成、寺崎寛章、Ishdorj Undarmaa、 梅村朋弘 、大谷眞二、黒沢洋一
    • Organizer
      第78回 日本公衆衛生学会(高知)
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Health impact of Asian dust and protective effect of masks2019

    • Author(s)
      Kazunari Onishi, Masanori Nojima
    • Organizer
      ISEE2019 (Utrecht)
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 気象庁エアロゾルモデル(MASINGAR)を用いた越境大気汚染物質による健康影響予測2019

    • Author(s)
      大西一成、関山剛、黒崎泰典、篠田雅人
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union (JpGU) meeting 2019 (幕張)
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 健康影響分科会 「越境大気汚染物質の粒径別成分による健康影響と健康予報」2019

    • Author(s)
      大西一成,野島正寛,金谷久美子,奥田知明,弓本桂也,関山剛
    • Organizer
      大気環境学会(東京)
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 特別集会 「越境大気汚染物質の発生源および粒径別成分による健康影響」2019

    • Author(s)
      大西一成,野島正寛,金谷久美子,弓本桂也,福池晃,奥田知明,中山健夫
    • Organizer
      大気環境学会(東京)
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Book] マスクの品格2019

    • Author(s)
      大西一成
    • Total Pages
      223
    • Publisher
      幻冬舎
    • ISBN
      9784344925397
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] Kazunari ONISHI WEB SITE

    • URL

      http://issey.work

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Aakash Project

    • URL

      https://aakash-rihn.org

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Kazunari Onishi WEB site

    • URL

      http://issey.work

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] Kazunari Onishi WEB site

    • URL

      http://www.med.tottori-u.ac.jp/issey/

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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