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Development of prognostic indicators for end of life patients by integrating scientific technology and practical information

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19K19755
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 58080:Gerontological nursing and community health nursing-related
Research InstitutionTokyo Medical and Dental University (2022)
National Defense Medical College (2019-2021)

Principal Investigator

Takako Ishikawa  東京医科歯科大学, 大学院保健衛生学研究科, 特任准教授 (90779927)

Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥260,000 (Direct Cost: ¥200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥60,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywords看取りケア / 予後予測 / 終末期 / 非がん / 特別養護老人ホーム / 電子ケアカルテ情報 / 電子カルテ情報 / 電子カルテ / 自宅看取り / 予後理解を促す支援 / サンサリング / 予後予測指標
Outline of Research at the Start

超高齢多死社会を迎える日本において、多くの患者が希望する自宅看取りを実現することは、患者のQOL向上、医療費の適正化に寄与する。そのためには、看護師が適切に患者の予後予測をし、患者および家族に予後理解を促すことが求められる。しかし、予後予測が難しく患者に適切な支援を行えないことが指摘されており、客観的予後予測指標の開発が求められる。そこで本研究は、以下3点を実施する。①看護師が捉える死亡前2~3か月の患者に起こる主観的指標を抽出する、②科学技術を用い、死亡前2~3か月の患者に起こる生体の動きに関する客観的指標を収集する、③客観的指標と主観的指標を統合し、終末期患者の予後予測指標を開発する。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

The original plan was to prospectively measure biometric information on patients that occurs 2-3 months prior to death, but in consideration of prevention of COVID-19 infection, the plan was changed to a retrospective study of information from special nursing home for older adults’ electronic care record for whom information had already been obtained and was to be implemented. In addition, interviews were conducted with nurses and caregivers working in the field to obtain additional information about the care stuff's pre-death situation.
By comparing the elements of subjective indicators obtained so far as a basis for judging the prognosis of end of life residents, information obtained at interviews, and information in electronic care records, it became clear that there are four patterns in the decrease in food intake, which is one of the indicators for predicting mid- to long-term prognosis.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

高齢多死社会において、医療介護現場(在宅、施設、病院)で療養する高齢者の死亡にかかわる兆候を早期に予測し対応することは、療養者や家族のQOLおよびQOD向上に繋がるだけでなく、医療介護人材にとっても自信を持った介護の継続に寄与する。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (20 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020

All Journal Article (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 7 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (13 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results)

  • [Journal Article] 高齢者の幸せの構成要素:幸福度・満足度を高める設問に対する自由記述の計量テキスト分析より2023

    • Author(s)
      岩原由香・福井小紀子・藤川あや・石川孝子・藤田淳子
    • Journal Title

      日本看護科学学会誌

      Volume: ー

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Factors related to a sense of security with medical and long-term care services among community-dwelling middle-aged and older adults in Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Junko Fujita, Sakiko Fukui, Aya Fujikawa, Yuka Iwahara, Takako Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      Geriatrics & Gerontology International

      Volume: 22 Issue: 8 Pages: 568-574

    • DOI

      10.1111/ggi.14417

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Factors Related to End-of-Life Care Discussion among Community-Dwelling People in Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Takako Ishikawa, Sakiko Fukui, Junko Fujita, Aya Fujikawa, Yuka Iwahara, Kunihiko Takahashi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Pain and Symptom Management

      Volume: 63 Issue: 4 Pages: 539-547

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jpainsymman.2021.12.011

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Psychological and educational support for cancer patients who return to work: A scoping review2022

    • Author(s)
      Kobayashi Masamitsu、Sezai Izumi、Ishikawa Takako、Masujima Mariko
    • Journal Title

      Work

      Volume: 73 Issue: 1 Pages: 291-300

    • DOI

      10.3233/wor-205326

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Factors Related to End-of-Life Care Discussion among Community-Dwelling People in Japan,2022

    • Author(s)
      Ishikawa T, Fukui S, Fujita J, Fujikawa A, Iwahara Y, Takahashi K
    • Journal Title

      J Pain Symptom Manage

      Volume: 63 Pages: 539-547

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Measuring well-being in older adults: Identifying an appropriate single-item questionnaire2021

    • Author(s)
      Fukui S,Ishikawa T, Iwahara Y, Fujikawa A, Fujita J, Takahashi K
    • Journal Title

      Geriatr Gerontol Int

      Volume: 21 Pages: 1131-1137

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Predictors of home being the preferred place of death among Japanese older people: JAGES cross‐sectional study2021

    • Author(s)
      Ishikawa Takako, Haseda Maho, Kondo Naoki, Kondo Katsunori, Fukui Sakiko
    • Journal Title

      Geriatrics & Gerontology International

      Volume: 21 Issue: 4 Pages: 345-352

    • DOI

      10.1111/ggi.14135

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Predictors of 6-month declines in activities of daily living among nursing home residents using Long-term care Information system For Evidence items2023

    • Author(s)
      Noguchi-Watanabe M, Nonaka S, Ishikawa T, Aishima M, Ikuta K, Asaumi K, Fukui S
    • Organizer
      The 12th IAGG-Asia Oceania Regional Congress in Yokohama, Japan
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Progress to end-of-life care of nursing home residents by food intake at admission2023

    • Author(s)
      Ikuta K, Ishikawa T, Fukui S.
    • Organizer
      The 26th East Asian Forum of Nursing Scholars (EAFONS) in Tokyo, Japan
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Prescribed medications and dementia behavioral symptoms of people with dementia in Japanese nursing homes2023

    • Author(s)
      Nonaka S, Noguchi-Watanabe M, Ishikawa T, Aishima M, Ikuta K, Asaumi K, Fukui S
    • Organizer
      3.The 26th East Asian Forum of Nursing Scholars (EAFONS) in Tokyo, Japan
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ケア現場のDX推進を目指した工学技術とケア情報融合の産学連携―TMDU×NJI×ALSOK介護―2022

    • Author(s)
      福井小紀子・野口麻衣子・石川孝子・相島美彌・野中さゆり・生田佳澄・浅海くるみ
    • Organizer
      第42回日本看護科学学会 交流集会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ケア記録を活用した施設入居者の死亡前半年間の食事摂取量の変化の軌跡(第1報)2022

    • Author(s)
      石川孝子・生田花澄・福井小紀子
    • Organizer
      第42回日本看護科学学会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ケア記録を活用した施設入居者の入居開始3か月間の食事摂取量減少率と死亡との関連2022

    • Author(s)
      生田花澄・石川孝子・福井小紀子
    • Organizer
      第42回日本看護科学学会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ケア記録を活用した施設入居者の入居開始3か月間の体重減少率と死亡との関連(第3報)2022

    • Author(s)
      福井小紀子・生田花澄・石川孝子
    • Organizer
      第42回日本看護科学学会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 住民の幸福度・満足度の実態把握とその要因(第1報): 在宅医療・介護連携を評価するアウトカムの検討2021

    • Author(s)
      藤川 あや,藤田 淳子,岩原 由香,石川 孝子,福井 小紀子
    • Organizer
      日本看護科学学会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 住民の幸福度・満足度の実態把握とその要因(第2報):住民による自由記述のテキストマイニング分析2021

    • Author(s)
      岩原 由香,藤田 淳子,藤川 あや,石川 孝子,福井 小紀子
    • Organizer
      日本看護科学学会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 住民の幸福度・満足度の実態把握とその要因(第3報): 医療に対する安心感と関連要因2021

    • Author(s)
      藤田 淳子,藤川 あや,岩原 由香,石川 孝子,福井 小紀子
    • Organizer
      日本看護科学学会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 住民の幸福度・満足度の実態把握とその要因(第4報):終末期の意向についての話合いをすることの関連要因2021

    • Author(s)
      石川 孝子,藤田 淳子,藤川 あや,岩原 由香,福井 小紀子
    • Organizer
      日本看護科学学会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Psychological and educational support for return to work in cancer patients: a systematic review2020

    • Author(s)
      Masamitsu Kobayashi, Izumi Sezai, Takako Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      The 23nd East Asian Forum of Nursing Scholars (EAFONS) in Chiang Mai, Thailand
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 在宅医療・介護連携の質の評価に向けた住民のアウトカム指標の適切性の検討2020

    • Author(s)
      藤川あや、福井小紀子、藤田淳子、石川孝子、岩原由香
    • Organizer
      第2回日本在宅医療連合学会大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2024-12-25  

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