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Synergistic ground holding algorithm based on real-time air traffic pattern classification and off-line buffer optimization

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19K21092
Project/Area Number (Other) 18H05925 (2018)
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund (2019)
Single-year Grants (2018)
Review Section 0303:Civil engineering, social systems engineering, safety engineering, disaster prevention engineering, and related fields
Research InstitutionJapan Aerospace EXploration Agency

Principal Investigator

Andreeva-Mori Adriana  国立研究開発法人宇宙航空研究開発機構, 航空技術部門, 研究開発員 (30747499)

Project Period (FY) 2018-08-24 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywordsground holding / air traffic management / synergistic algorithm / airborne delay / capacity loss / traffic pattern / machine learning / ground delay / traffic classification / airspace congestion
Outline of Research at the Start

The purpose of this research is to develop a novel synergistic ground holding algorithm based on real-time air traffic pattern classification and off-line buffer optimization.Our synergistic approach introduces optimal buffers varying with traffic pattern to achieve both practicality and optimality.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

To address the issue of increased air traffic and congestions at hub airports, this research developed a novel synergistic ground holding algorithm based on real-time air traffic pattern classification and off-line buffer optimization. When the expected airborne holding time is expected to exceed a certain constant buffer value, this excess waiting is set as ground holding,i.e. aircraft are kept on the ground before departure, experiencing ground holding. In our research, we considered various real-world uncertainties to determine the optimal buffer applied by the ground holding program. We then built a simulated database and developed a machine-learning-based traffic pattern classifier which, based on traffic features, predicts the optimal ground holding control parameters and potential savings within mean absolute percentage error of 17.96% of the potential optimal ones.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

A concept of a traffic pattern classifier applied to optimal ground holding was proposed.The combination of static and dynamic optimization approaches allowed near-optimal solutions easily implemented in real-world. The potential of machine learning for air traffic management was also demonstrated.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (3 results)

All 2020 2019

All Journal Article (1 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (2 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Departure Time Control Considering Airborne and Ground Delay Costs2020

    • Author(s)
      アンドレエバ森 アドリアナ, 松野 賀宣, 又吉 直樹
    • Journal Title

      JOURNAL OF THE JAPAN SOCIETY FOR AERONAUTICAL AND SPACE SCIENCES

      Volume: 68 Issue: 1 Pages: 31-37

    • DOI

      10.2322/jjsass.68.31

    • NAID

      130007795331

    • ISSN
      1344-6460, 2432-3691
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Operational Concept of Traffic Pattern Classifier for Optimal Ground Holding2019

    • Author(s)
      Adriana Andreeva-Mori, Naoki Matayoshi
    • Organizer
      Thirteenth USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar (ATM2019)
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 効果的な出発時刻制御のための航空交通流パターン認識2019

    • Author(s)
      アンドレエバ森 アドリアナ、松野 賀宣、又吉 直樹
    • Organizer
      日本航空宇宙学会年会講演
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2018-08-27   Modified: 2024-03-26  

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