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Spontaneous ideological escalation without leaders as a distributed socio-dynamical process

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19K21571
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Research (Exploratory)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section A New Phase of Our Advanced Science and Technology Society
Research InstitutionWaseda University

Principal Investigator

Sayama Hiroki  早稲田大学, 商学学術院, 教授(任期付) (30345425)

Project Period (FY) 2019-06-28 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥6,370,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,470,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Keywords意見の極端化 / 社会ネットワーク / 情報通信技術 / 数理モデル化 / 機械学習 / データサイエンス / 複雑系 / 適応的ネットワーク / ideological escalation / adaptive social networks / communication networks / machine learning / data science
Outline of Research at the Start

The proposed project will develop, and quantitatively validate, a comprehensive adaptive social network model that will include communication intensity and selective attention tendency as the new key variables, and systematically investigate the effects of those variables on ideological dynamics on the social network. The model validation will be conducted by collecting empirical data from social network services and mapping ideological states of users to a metric space using machine learning techniques.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

In today's highly advanced information society, differences in opinions and ideologies are escalating among various members of society with different backgrounds, creating and expanding insurmountable gaps between them. One possible cause for this is the sophistication and acceleration of information communication technology and the improvement of users' ability to select favorite information sources arbitrarily. In this project, we used both a mathematical modeling-based constructive method and a data-driven empirical method to study how advanced information communication technology would affect the extremization of opinions and ideologies in society. As a result, we obtained many useful findings, including the fact that as people's information gathering ability and homophilic tendency increase, social fragmentation and extremization of ideologies and opinions are promoted.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究は,社会ネットワークにおける自然発生的な思想の極端化の機構を数理モデルを用いて理論的に説明し,かつ複数の実データを用いて定量的な実証を行った.プロジェクト全体を通じて,人々の情報収集能力が高度化しかつ同種親和性が強まるにつれ社会分断と思想・意見の極端化が促進されること,極端な意見は関心を集めやすいこと,個人の意見は変遷するが周囲も同様に変遷するので自身の意見の極端化に気づきにくいこと,新規性を指向する挙動や個人間の挙動のばらつきが社会分断を抑制すること,など高度情報化社会における社会の構造・状態の変化を理解するうえで,示唆に富む重要な知見を多数得ることができた.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (46 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (4 results) Journal Article (6 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results,  Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Open Access: 5 results) Presentation (36 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 31 results,  Invited: 16 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] ニューヨーク州立大学ビンガムトン校(米国)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ブリストル大学(英国)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ニューヨーク州立大学ビンガムトン校(米国)

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Binghamton University(米国)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Characterizing controversiality of topics utilizing eccentricity of opinions2023

    • Author(s)
      Sriniwas Pandey and Hiroki Sayama
    • Journal Title

      Northeast Journal of Complex Systems

      Volume: in press

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Generation and influence of eccentric ideas on social networks2023

    • Author(s)
      Sriniwas Pandey, Yiding Cao, Yingjun Dong, Minjun Kim, Neil G. MacLaren, Shelley D. Dionne, Francis J. Yammarino, and Hiroki Sayama
    • Journal Title

      arXiv.org

      Volume: 2304.14459

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 適応的ネットワーク型人工社会モデルによる社会分断の考察2022

    • Author(s)
      佐山 弘樹
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese Society for Artificial Intelligence

      Volume: 37 Issue: 1 Pages: 43-49

    • DOI

      10.11517/jjsai.37.1_43

    • NAID

      130008139388

    • ISSN
      2188-2266, 2435-8614
    • Year and Date
      2022-01-01
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Detecting new phase transition points in large-scale numerical simulations of an adaptive social network model2022

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 2022 Conference on Artificial Life (ALIFE 2022), 2022, MIT Press, in press

      Volume: NA

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Enhanced ability of information gathering may intensify disagreement among groups2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Journal Title

      Physical Review E

      Volume: 102 Issue: 1 Pages: 012303-012303

    • DOI

      10.1103/physreve.102.012303

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report 2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Extreme ideas emerging from social conformity and homophily: An adaptive social network model2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 2020 Conference on Artificial Life (ALIFE 2020)

      Volume: 2020 Pages: 113-120

    • DOI

      10.1162/isal_a_00349

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report 2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Agent heterogeneity mediates extremism in an adaptive social network model2023

    • Author(s)
      Seth Bullock and Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      ALIFE 2023
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Studying social fragmentation using adaptive network-based artificial society models2023

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Data Science program, Christ University, Pune/Lavasa, India
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Mechanistic modeling of complex social systems2023

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Data Science program, Christ University, Pune/Lavasa, India
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Mechanistic modeling of complex social systems2023

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Computer Science and Data Science programs, Christ University, Bengaluru, India
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Mechanistic modeling of complex social systems2023

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Data Science program, Christ University, Yeshwanthpur, India
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Characterizing controversiality of topics utilizing eccentricity of opinions2023

    • Author(s)
      Sriniwas Pandey and Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      NERCCS 2023: Sixth Northeast Regional Conference on Complex Systems, Potsdam, NY
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Social Fragmentation Transitions in Large-Scale Parameter Sweep Simulations of Adaptive Social Networks2022

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      PPAM 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Detecting New Phase Transition Points in Large-Scale Numerical Simulations of an Adaptive Social Network Model2022

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      ALIFE 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Mechanistic modeling of complex social systems2022

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Monash Prato Dialogue: AI Summit
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Studying social fragmentation using adaptive network-based artificial society models2022

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      7th Computational Collective Dynamics Seminar, Shizuoka University, Hamamatsu, Japan
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Characterizing controversiality of topics utilizing eccentricity of opinions2022

    • Author(s)
      Sriniwas Pandey and Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      2022 Conference on Complex Systems (CCS 2022), Parma de Mallorca, Spain
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Dynamics of toxicity in Parler dataset2022

    • Author(s)
      Sriniwas Pandey and Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      NERCCS 2022: Fifth Northeast Regional Conference on Complex Systems, Buffalo, NY
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Are we fascinated by eccentric ideas?2022

    • Author(s)
      Sriniwas Pandey, Yiding Cao, Yingjun Dong, Minjun Kim, Neil G. MacLaren, Shelley D. Dionne, Francis J. Yammarino, and Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      NetSci 2022: International School and Conference on Network Science, Shanghai, China / online.
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Understanding diversity, innovation and social evolution: Theoretical and experimental approaches2022

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Invited talk at the University of Tsukuba
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Stability of opinion formation PDE model based on expanded non-local perceptual kernels2022

    • Author(s)
      Christian Koertje and Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      NERCCS 2022: Fifth Northeast Regional Conference on Complex Systems, Buffalo, NY
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Dynamics of toxicity in Parler dataset2022

    • Author(s)
      Sriniwas Pandey and Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Presented as a poster at NERCCS 2022: Fifth Northeast Regional Conference on Complex Systems, March 30-April 1, 2022, Buffalo, NY / online
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Detecting transition points in adaptive social networks: Large-scale numerical simulations and neural network-based visualization2021

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Presented as a talk at the 2021 Conference on Complex Systems (CCS 2021), October 25-29, 2021, Lyon, France / online
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Dynamics of user eccentricity on GAB social media2021

    • Author(s)
      Sriniwas Pandey and Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Presented as a talk at the 2021 Conference on Complex Systems (CCS 2021), October 25-29, 2021, Lyon, France / online
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Understanding diversity, innovation and social evolution: Theoretical and experimental approaches2021

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Keynote talk at DB3D 2021: Don Bosco-Binghamton Big Data Online Conference, October 19, 2021, conference held online
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Center or off-center: Eccentric behavior shift of GAB social media users2021

    • Author(s)
      Sriniwas Pandey and Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Presented as a talk at the Don Bosco-Binghamton Big Data Online Conference (DB3D-2021), October 19-21, 2021, held online
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Where and how innovative ideas arise: Insights from collaboration experiments and social media analysis2021

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Invited talk at the Science of Innovation and Success Workshop, August 2-3, 2021, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan + online
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Dynamical networks and systems as a model of social fragmentation2021

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      PSG-Binghamton International Research Webinar Series, held online, May 12, 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Analyzing eccentric behavior of GAB social media users2021

    • Author(s)
      Sriniwas Pandey and Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Presented as a poster (interactive presentation) at NERCCS 2021: Fourth Northeast Regional Conference on Complex Systems, March 31-April 2, 2021, conference held online
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Dynamical networks and systems as a model of social fragmentation2021

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Clarkson Center for Complex Systems Science Seminar Series
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Analyzing eccentric behavior of GAB social media users2021

    • Author(s)
      Sriniwas Pandey and Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      NERCCS 2021: Fourth Northeast Regional Conference on Complex Systems
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Dynamical networks and systems as a model of social fragmentation2021

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      PSG-Binghamton International Research Webinar Series
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Understanding diversity, innovation and social evolution: Theoretical and experimental approaches2021

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      DB3D 2021: Don Bosco-Binghamton Big Data Online Conference
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Enhanced ability of information gathering may intensify disagreement among groups2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      NERCCS 2020: Third Northeast Regional Conference on Complex Systems
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report 2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Enhanced ability of information gathering may intensify disagreement among groups2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Center for Collective Dynamics of Complex Systems (CoCo) Seminar Series
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Diversity and social evolution: Theoretical and experimental approaches2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Socioeconomic Networks and Network Science Workshop
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Enhanced ability of information gathering may intensify disagreement among groups2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Tenth International Conference on Complex Systems (ICCS 2020)
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Self-organization of society: Fragmentation, disagreement, and how to overcome those2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      First IEEE International Conference on Autonomic Computing and Self-Organizing Systems (ACSOS 2020)
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Enhanced ability of information gathering may intensify disagreement among groups2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      2020 Conference on Complex Systems (CCS 2020)
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Enhanced ability of information gathering may intensify disagreement among groups2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      Center for Collective Dynamics of Complex Systems (CoCo) Seminar at Binghamton University
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Enhanced ability of information gathering may intensify disagreement among groups2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      ICCS 2020: Tenth International Conference on Complex Systems
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Extreme ideas emerging from social conformity and homophily: An adaptive social network model2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      ALIFE 2020: Artificial Life Conference
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2019-07-04   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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