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Mongolian herding vision 2050 for adaptation to climate and social changes

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19KK0022
Research Category

Fund for the Promotion of Joint International Research (Fostering Joint International Research (B))

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Medium-sized Section 4:Geography, cultural anthropology, folklore, and related fields
Research InstitutionNagoya University

Principal Investigator

Shinoda Masato  名古屋大学, 環境学研究科, 教授 (30211957)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 小宮山 博  日本大学, 生物資源科学部, 教授 (40442719)
宮坂 隆文  名古屋大学, 環境学研究科, 講師 (80635483)
Project Period (FY) 2019-10-07 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥18,460,000 (Direct Cost: ¥14,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,260,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥5,330,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,230,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥5,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Keywords遊牧 / モンゴル / 気候変動
Outline of Research at the Start

モンゴル国では、草原を広く薄く利用する土地利用形態である遊牧が極限環境(乾燥寒冷)で数千年間維持され、世界で唯一基幹産業として残っているが、市場経済のなかで家畜数が急増、草原の収容力を超え、危機的状況にある。本研究は、①遊牧社会-生態系モデルを開発し、これを用いて遊牧の生態的・経済的持続性を予測する。②政策提言・実装のプロ集団として、生態系・経済の維持を両立できる2050年の遊牧形態のビジョンを提示し、その危機的状況から救済する。
本研究は、名古屋大学を中心として、モンゴル国立大学、同生命科学大学と人畜地ネットワークを形成し、これを基盤に、現地での資料・データ収集、試料分析、成果普及を行う。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

In recent decades, drylands in the Eurasian inland have been experiencing dramatic changes in climate and society; climatic changes include marked continental-scale warming and drying trends, while social include a regime shift from planned to market economy in the early 1990s, following the collapse of the Soviet Union. In Mongolia, nomadic pastoralism, which uses lands dispersedly and extensively under extreme environments with arid, cold climate, has been sustained for thousands of years, still being one of the main industries. However, it faces a threat that rapidly increased animals under the market economy may exceed the pasture capacity.
With this background, this study aimed to make an assessment of ecological and economic sustainability of herding in Mongolia towards 2050 by using a newly developed coupled herding society-ecosystem model and to propose a vision of healthy herding to enable the society to realize both the sustainability and food security.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

乾燥地は世界の陸地の約4 割を占め、そこに世界人口の3 分の1 の人々が暮らしているが、その多くは健康・福利の面で困難に直面している。さらに、乾燥地のなかで最も乾燥した、モンゴルを含む移動牧畜地域は、世界でも最も貧しい辺境地である。このような社会経済状況の下、ユーラシア乾燥地では近年、温暖化・乾燥化が著しく、本研究は、乾燥地の気候変動適応研究として大きな意義があり、数千年間維持されてきた遊牧を救済することにつながる。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (32 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (19 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 17 results,  Peer Reviewed: 19 results,  Open Access: 13 results) Presentation (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 5 results) Book (4 results) Funded Workshop (1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] モンゴル国立大学/モンゴル生命科学大学(モンゴル)

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Grazing behavior of Mongolian sheep under different climatic conditions2023

    • Author(s)
      Horie Rentaro、Miyasaka Takafumi、Yoshihara Yu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Arid Environments

      Volume: 209 Pages: 104890-104890

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jaridenv.2022.104890

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Social Causes of <i>Dzuds</i> in Mongolia Since the 1990s2022

    • Author(s)
      Chadraabal Ariunaa、Odkhuu Urjin、Shinoda Masato、Suzuki Yasuhiro、National Emergency Management Agency Partizan’s Street, Ulaanbaatar 14250, Mongolia、Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan、Defense Research Institute, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Disaster Research

      Volume: 17 Issue: 7 Pages: 1183-1191

    • DOI

      10.20965/jdr.2022.p1183

    • ISSN
      1881-2473, 1883-8030
    • Year and Date
      2022-12-01
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Composition, distribution and environmental drivers of Mongolian rangeland plant communities2022

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki Kohei、Tungalag Radnaakhand、Narantsetseg Amartuvshin、Tsendeekhuu Tsagaanbandi、Shinoda Masato、Yamanaka Norikazu、Kamijo Takashi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Plant Ecology

      Volume: 16 Issue: 1 Pages: 190-190

    • DOI

      10.3390/rs15010190

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Effects of Livestock Trampling Pressure on Rainfall Infiltration Rate in Mongolian Rangelands2021

    • Author(s)
      宮坂加理、馬場涼太、宮坂隆文、ウンダルマ ジャムスラン
    • Journal Title

      Papers on Environmental Information Science

      Volume: ceis35 Issue: 0 Pages: 256-261

    • DOI

      10.11492/ceispapers.ceis35.0_256

    • NAID

      130008121905

    • Year and Date
      2021-11-30
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Human and Desertification2021

    • Author(s)
      篠田 雅人
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Arid Land Studies

      Volume: 31 Issue: 2 Pages: 45-61

    • DOI

      10.14976/jals.31.2_45

    • NAID

      130008101208

    • ISSN
      0917-6985, 2189-1761
    • Year and Date
      2021-09-30
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Effects of Wheat and Rapeseed Production on Soil Water Storage in Mongolian Rangeland2021

    • Author(s)
      Miyasaka, K., T. Miyasaka, J. Ota, S. Batsukh, and U. Jamsran
    • Journal Title

      Agriculture

      Volume: 11 Issue: 9 Pages: 888-888

    • DOI

      10.3390/agriculture11090888

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] How plant production in the Mongolian grasslands is affected by wind-eroded coarse-textured topsoil2021

    • Author(s)
      Kong Kaman、Nandintsetseg Banzragch、Shinoda Masato
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Arid Environments

      Volume: 189 Pages: 104443-104443

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jaridenv.2021.104443

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report 2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Seasonal variations in threshold wind speed for saltation depending on soil temperature and vegetation: A case study in the Gobi Desert2021

    • Author(s)
      Kong Kaman、Nandintsetseg Banzragch、Shinoda Masato、Ishizuka Masahide、Kurosaki Yasunori、Bat-Oyun Tserenpurev、Gantsetseg Batdelger
    • Journal Title

      Aeolian Research

      Volume: 52 Pages: 100716-100716

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.aeolia.2021.100716

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Impacts of Land Surface Conditions and Land Use on Dust Events in the Inner Mongolian Grasslands, China2021

    • Author(s)
      Yong Mei、Shinoda Masato、Nandintsetseg Banzragch、Bi Lige、Gao Hailin、Wang Yingshun
    • Journal Title

      Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution

      Volume: 9

    • DOI

      10.3389/fevo.2021.664900

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Estimating winter energy balance and actual changes in nutrition of Mongolian grazing sheep2021

    • Author(s)
      Yoshihara, Y. D. Luo, C. Buyantogtokh, S. Koto, K. Umemura, N. Yamanaka, T. Javzandolgor, and M. Shinoda
    • Journal Title

      Applied Animal Science

      Volume: 37 Issue: 5 Pages: 589-594

    • DOI

      10.15232/aas.2021-02137

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] High Sensitivity of Asian Dust Emission, Transport, and Climate Impacts to Threshold Friction Velocity2021

    • Author(s)
      Kawai Kei、Matsui Hitoshi、Kimura Reiji、Shinoda Masato
    • Journal Title

      SOLA

      Volume: 17 Issue: 0 Pages: 239-245

    • DOI

      10.2151/sola.2021-042

    • NAID

      130008131075

    • ISSN
      1349-6476
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Risk and vulnerability of Mongolian grasslands under climate change2021

    • Author(s)
      Nandintsetseg Banzragch、Boldgiv Bazartseren、Chang Jinfeng、Ciais Philippe、Davaanyam Enkhbaatar、Batbold Altangerel、Bat-Oyun Tserenpurev、Stenseth Nils Chr.
    • Journal Title

      Environmental Research Letters

      Volume: 16 Issue: 3 Pages: 034035-034035

    • DOI

      10.1088/1748-9326/abdb5b

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] A Method for Estimating the Threshold Wind Speed for Dust Emissions as a Function of Soil Moisture2020

    • Author(s)
      Matsushima Dai、Kimura Reiji、Kurosaki Yasunori、Ganzorig Ulgiichimeg、Shinoda Masato
    • Journal Title

      Boundary-Layer Meteorology

      Volume: 175 Issue: 2 Pages: 237-257

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10546-020-00500-5

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Recently increased cold air outbreaks over Mongolia and their specific synoptic pattern2020

    • Author(s)
      Munkhjargal, E., M. Shinoda, Y. Iijima, B. Nandintsetseg
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Climatology

      Volume: - Issue: 13 Pages: 1-15

    • DOI

      10.1002/joc.6531

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report 2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Mitigation of severe wintertime disasters in northern Mongolia through the early implementation of local action2020

    • Author(s)
      Chadraabal Ariunaa、Shinoda Masato、Suzuki Yasuhiro、Komiyama Hiroshi
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction

      Volume: 50 Pages: 101739-101739

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101739

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Assessment of drought frequency, severity, and duration and its impacts on vegetation greenness and agriculture production in Mediterranean dryland: A case study in Tunisia2020

    • Author(s)
      Ben Mhenni Nada、Shinoda Masato、Nandintsetseg Banzragch
    • Journal Title

      Natural Hazards

      Volume: 105 Issue: 3 Pages: 2755-2776

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11069-020-04422-w

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Responses of palatable plants to climate and grazing in semi-arid grasslands of Mongolia2020

    • Author(s)
      Nakano Tomoko、Bat-Oyun Tserenpurev、Shinoda Masato
    • Journal Title

      Global Ecology and Conservation

      Volume: 24 Pages: e01231-e01231

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.gecco.2020.e01231

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Electrical Conductivity, pH, Minerals, and Sensory Evaluation of Airag (Fermented Mare’s Milk)2020

    • Author(s)
      Tsuchiya Ryouta、Kawai Takayuki、Bat-Oyun Tserenpurev、Shinoda Masato、Morinaga Yuki
    • Journal Title

      Foods

      Volume: 9 Issue: 3 Pages: 333-333

    • DOI

      10.3390/foods9030333

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Variability in nomadism: environmental gradients modulate the movement behaviors of dryland ungulates2019

    • Author(s)
      Nandintsetseg Dejid、Bracis Chloe、Leimgruber Peter、Kaczensky Petra、Buuveibaatar Bayarbaatar、Lkhagvasuren Badamjav、Chimeddorj Buyanaa、Enkhtuvshin Shiilegdamba、Horning Ned、Ito Takehiko Y.、Olson Kirk、Payne John、Walzer Chris、Shinoda Masato、Stabach Jared、Songer Melissa、Mueller Thomas
    • Journal Title

      Ecosphere

      Volume: 10 Issue: 11

    • DOI

      10.1002/ecs2.2924

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] エージェントモデルを用いた羊のエネルギー収支と草地劣化の予測2023

    • Author(s)
      吉原佑、堀江連太郎、宮坂隆文、甲野耀登、篠田雅人
    • Organizer
      第70回日本生態学会大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] エージェントモデルで考える―家畜行動と牧草資源の時空間的相互作用―2022

    • Author(s)
      宮坂隆文、吉原佑、甲野耀登、Bakyei Agipar、Badgar Battsetseg、堀江連太郎、大橋京平、三木和子、篠田雅人
    • Organizer
      日本沙漠学会2022年秋季シンポジウム「遊牧を考える―過去・現在・未来」
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 乾燥地研究からSDGsへの貢献2019

    • Author(s)
      篠田雅人
    • Organizer
      日本学術会議公開シンポジウム「地球システムと私たちの生活-人新世時代の想像力 (Ⅱ)」
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Herding vision 20502019

    • Author(s)
      Shinoda, M.
    • Organizer
      Knowledge Exchange Symposium 2019: Dzud Management and Future Challenges in Mongolia
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] ゾドは人災か天災か―減災の地域格差2019

    • Author(s)
      篠田雅人
    • Organizer
      シンポジウム「モンゴルの都市環境:変容の諸相」
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Sand fluxes and its vertical distribution in the Gobi region, Mongolia2019

    • Author(s)
      Munkhtsetseg, E., M. Shinoda, R. Kimura, J. Gillies, and T. Nakano
    • Organizer
      Joint International Symposium on Sustainable Development and Environmental Issues
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 乾燥地域の環境変化と農牧業―砂漠化の変遷2019

    • Author(s)
      篠田雅人
    • Organizer
      日本学術会議公開シンポジウム「地球環境変動と人間活動―世界各地で急速に深刻化する地球温暖化の影響と対策―」
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Book] 気候変動と乾燥地2022

    • Author(s)
      鳥取大学乾燥地研究センター、坪 充、黒崎 泰典、衣笠 利彦
    • Total Pages
      160
    • Publisher
      丸善出版
    • ISBN
      9784621307106
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 図説 世界の気候事典2022

    • Author(s)
      山川 修治、江口 卓、高橋 日出男、常盤 勝美、平井 史生、松本 淳、山口 隆子、山下 脩二、渡来 靖、気候影響・利用研究会
    • Total Pages
      430
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店
    • ISBN
      9784254161328
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Assessment of drought characteristics, and its impacts on vegetation and wheat yield in Tunisia, In Kallel, A., M. Ksibi, H. Ben Dhia, and N. Kh233;lifi eds.: Recent Advances in Environmental Science from the Euro Mediterranean and Surrounding Regions2020

    • Author(s)
      Ben Mhenni, N., M. Shinoda, and B. Nandintsetseg
    • Total Pages
      304
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • ISBN
      9783319705484
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Book] Dust storms from degraded drylands of Asia: dynamics and health impacts. In Sternberg, T. and A. Ahearn eds.: Arid Land Systems: Sciences and Societies2019

    • Author(s)
      Otani, S., Y. Kurosaki, Y. Kurozawa, and M. Shinoda
    • Publisher
      MDPI
    • ISBN
      9783039213474
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Funded Workshop] Trans Eurasian Workshop: From Vision to Actions Towards Sustainability, Yugawara, 15 October 2022.2022

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2019-10-10   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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