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Research to develop a guideline for the provision of long-term care services based on a modeling of prognostic prevision

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20330130
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Social welfare and social work studies
Research InstitutionNational Institute of Public Health

Principal Investigator

TSUTSUI Takako  National Institute of Public Health, 福祉サービス部, 室長 (20300923)

Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha) MIYANO Takaya  立命館大学, 理工学部, 教授 (10312480)
HIGASHINO Sadanori  静岡県立大学, 経営情報学部, 講師 (60419009)
YAMAUCHI Yasuhiro  帝塚山大学, 経済学部, 講師 (20533996)
TAKAHASHI Hiroshi  国際医療福祉大学, 大学院, 教授 (00171520)
Project Period (FY) 2008 – 2010
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2010)
Budget Amount *help
¥18,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥14,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥5,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,290,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥5,720,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,320,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥6,890,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,590,000)
Keywords社会福祉関係 / 政策研究 / 応用数学 / 老化 / 解析・評価
Research Abstract

The new classification developed in this research is based on a long-term database of 20 million elderly persons and enabled to distinguish three possible evolutions regarding the condition of each elderly : stagnation, amelioration or decline. Until now, the decision to provide preventive services was made only based on the care need level at a certain point in time, but this new classification focuses on the probability that one's condition improves or declines over time, and thus allows to separate those who really need long-term care preventive services from those who don't. In other words, this research offers a better decision procedure based on empirical data. By promoting this scientific and evidence-based method of providing service, it is expected that the guideline based on our evidence will not only be very helpful for employees in Integrated Care Support Centers who are swamped by the task of creating preventive care plans, but also for the public administration in charge of managing the long-term care insurance system.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2010 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • 2008 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (49 results)

All 2011 2010 2009 2008 Other

All Journal Article (20 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 13 results) Presentation (28 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Feature Extraction and Hypothesis Testing Using Collective Synchronization in a Network of Nonsymmetrically Coupled Phase Oscillators2011

    • Author(s)
      Miyano T, Higashino S, Tsutsui T
    • Journal Title

      Nonlinear Theory and Its Applications IEICE 2(1)

      Pages: 128-138

    • NAID

      130000903448

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Feature Extraction and Hypothesis Testing Using Collective Synchronization in a Network of Nonsymmetrically Coupled Phase Oscillators.2011

    • Author(s)
      Miyano T, Higashino S, Tsutsui T
    • Journal Title

      Nonlinear Theory and Its Applications IEICE 2011

      Volume: Vol.2-No.1 Pages: 128-138

    • NAID

      130000903448

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Current State and Future Development of the Long-term Care Insurance System in Japan2010

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the National Institute of Public Health (4)

      Pages: 365-370

    • NAID

      110009656555

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Another step towards decentralized power : changes in long-term care from "care by family" to "care by community" via "care by society" International Sociological Association 2010 World Congress2010

    • Author(s)
      Tsutsui T, Matsushige T, Otaga M, Morikawa M
    • Journal Title

      Contribution paper

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The coordination function in the integrated home care in Japan : a new form of mutual aid? International Sociological Association 2010 World Congress2010

    • Author(s)
      Matsushige T, Tsutsui T, Katayama H
    • Journal Title

      Contribution paper

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 地域連携のための情報共有の課題と展望2010

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Journal Title

      福祉情報研究(日本福祉介護情報学会10周年記念号)

      Pages: 47-60

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The Current State and Future Development of the Long-term Care Insurance System in Japan.2010

    • Author(s)
      Tsutsui T
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the National Institute of Public Health 2010

      Volume: No.4 Pages: 365-370

    • NAID

      110009656555

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Another step towards decentralized power : changes in long-term care from "core by family" to "care by community" via "care by society"2010

    • Author(s)
      Tsutsui T, Matsushige T, Otaga M, Morikawa M
    • Journal Title

      International Sociological Association 2010 World Congress, Contribution paper.Conference Abstracts

      Pages: 495-495

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The coordination function in the integrated home care in Japan : a new form of mutual aid2010

    • Author(s)
      Matsushige T, Tsutsui T, Katayama H
    • Journal Title

      International Sociological Association 2010 World Congress, Contribution paper.Conference Abstracts

      Pages: 304-304

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Link of data synchronization to self-organizing map algorithm.IEICE Transactions on Fundamentals of Electronics2009

    • Author(s)
      宮野尚哉, 筒井孝子
    • Journal Title

      Communications and Computer Sciences Vol.E92-A,No.1

      Pages: 263-269

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 地域包括ケアシステムの未来-社会的介護から、地域による介護へ-2009

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Journal Title

      保健医療科学 vol.58,no.2

      Pages: 84-89

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] イギリスの地域包括ケアにおけるself care2009

    • Author(s)
      松繁卓哉,筒井孝子
    • Journal Title

      保健医療科学 vol.58,no.2

      Pages: 90-93

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 位相振動子ネットワークにおけるデータ同期と定足数検出型同期の関連について2009

    • Author(s)
      宮野尚哉,筒井孝子
    • Journal Title

      電子情報通信学会技術研究報告 No.NLP2009-98

      Pages: 91-95

    • NAID

      110007504855

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 地域包括ケアシステムの未来-社会的介護から、地域による介護へ-2009

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Journal Title

      保健医療科学 vol.58, no.2

      Pages: 84-89

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] イギリスの地域包括ケアにおける self care2009

    • Author(s)
      松繁卓哉, 筒井孝子
    • Journal Title

      保健医療科学 vol.58, no.2

      Pages: 90-93

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 位相振動子ネットワークにおけるデータ同期と定足数検出型同期の関連について2009

    • Author(s)
      宮野尚哉, 筒井孝子
    • Journal Title

      電子情報通信学会技術研究報告 No.NLP2009-98

      Pages: 91-95

    • NAID

      110007504855

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Longitudinal Reserch regarding Effects of Long-term Care Insurance Services In Japan =The influence of Long-term Care Insurance Services On Female Family caregivers7 Burden-2009

    • Author(s)
      Jungsoo Yoon, Takako Tsutsui, Sadanori Higashino, Nozomi Nakajima, Kazuo Nakajima
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Welfare for the Aged A Semiannuel Journal Vol21

      Pages: 3-24

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Link of data synchronization to self-organizing map algorithm2009

    • Author(s)
      Miyano T, Tsutsui T
    • Journal Title

      IEICE Transactions on Fundamentals of Electronics, Communications and Computer Sciences Vol. E92-A No. 1

      Pages: 263-269

    • NAID

      10026855227

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Finding major patterns of aging process by data synchronization.IEICE Transactions on Fundamentals of Electronics2008

    • Author(s)
      宮野尚哉, 筒井孝子
    • Journal Title

      Communications and Computer Sciences Vol.E91-A,No.9

      Pages: 2514-2519

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Finding major patterns of aging process by data synchronization2008

    • Author(s)
      Miyano T, Tsutsui T
    • Journal Title

      IEICE Transactions on Fundamentals of Electronics, Communications and Computer Sciences Vol. E91-A No. 9

      Pages: 2514-2519

    • NAID

      10026851829

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 【企画シンポジウム】要介護高齢者の経年的変化のデータからみた介護サービスの質の評価2010

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      第48回日本医療・病院管理学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2010-10-16
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 要介護高齢者の経年的変化のデータからみた介護サービスの質の評価2010

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      第48回日本医療病院管理学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2010-10-16
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] From "purpose-oriented" to "connectedness-oriented" medicine : a study of home medical care in Japan and France2010

    • Author(s)
      T Matsushige, T Tsutsui, M Otaga
    • Organizer
      British Sociological Association Medical Sociology Group 42nd Annual Conference(42nd Annual Conference Programme: p81)
    • Place of Presentation
      Durham, UK
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-03
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] From "purpose-oriented" to "connectedness-oriented" medicine : a study of home medical care in Japan and France2010

    • Author(s)
      Matsushige T, Tsutsui T, Otaga M
    • Organizer
      British Sociological Association Medical Sociology Group 42nd Annual Conference.
    • Place of Presentation
      Durham, UK.
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-03
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Another step towards decentralized power : changes in long-term care from "care by family" to "care by community" via "care by society"2010

    • Author(s)
      T Tsutsui, T Matsushige, M Otaga
    • Organizer
      2010 International Sociological Association World Congress(Conference Abstracts: p495)
    • Place of Presentation
      Gothenburg, Sweden
    • Year and Date
      2010-07-15
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] The coordination function in the integrated home care in Japan : a new form of mutual aid?2010

    • Author(s)
      T Matsushige, T Tsutsui, M Otaga
    • Organizer
      2010 International Sociological Association World Congress(Conference Abstracts: p304)
    • Place of Presentation
      Gothenburg, Sweden
    • Year and Date
      2010-07-15
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Another step towards decentralized power : changes in long-term care from "care by family" to "care by community" via "care by society"2010

    • Author(s)
      Tsutsui T, Matsushige T, Otaga M
    • Organizer
      2010 International Sociological Association World Congress.
    • Place of Presentation
      Gothenburg, Sweden.
    • Year and Date
      2010-07-15
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The coordination function in the integrated home care in Japan : a new form of mutual aid2010

    • Author(s)
      Matsushige T, Tsutsui T, Otaga M
    • Organizer
      2010 International Sociological Association World Congress.
    • Place of Presentation
      Gothenburg, Sweden.
    • Year and Date
      2010-07-15
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Method of elderly care recipient Classification in Long term care insurance system and its application for the provision.2010

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      The joint scientific Meeting of the International Epiedemiological Association Western Pacific Region and the Japan Epidemiological Associtation Program and adstracts
    • Place of Presentation
      Saitama, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2010-01-11
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Method of elderly care recipient Classification in Long term care insurance system and its application for the provision2010

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      The joint scientific Meeting of the International Epiedemiological Association Western Pacific Region and the Japan Epidemiological Associtation Program and adstracts
    • Place of Presentation
      Saitama, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2010-01-11
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Overview of Payment Systems in Japan's Long-Term Care Insurance System and Development of an Assessment Tool for Care Needs Certification as an Essential Part of Insurance.2010

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      2010 International Symposium on Long Term Care Insurance(p135-158)
    • Place of Presentation
      NTHU International Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan. prceedings
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Overview of Payment Systems in Japan's Long-Term Care Insurance System and Development of an Assessment Tool for Care Needs Certification as an Essential Part of Insurance.2010

    • Author(s)
      Tsutsui T
    • Organizer
      2010 International Symposium on Long Term Care Insurance.
    • Place of Presentation
      NTHU International Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan.
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] New phase in the construction of integrated community care system in Japan2009

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      from 'care by family' through 'care by society' to 'care in local communities NIPH/KIHSA Joint Symposium
    • Place of Presentation
      Saitama,Japan
    • Year and Date
      2009-12-18
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] New phase in the construction of integrated community care system in Japan : from 'care by family' through 'care by society' to 'care in local communities2009

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      NIPH/KIHSA Joint Symposium
    • Place of Presentation
      Saitama, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2009-12-18
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地域連携のための情報共有の課題と展望(地域連携パス)2009

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      日本介護福祉情報学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2009-12-13
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report 2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Present condition of Long-Term Care Insurance System and Prospects.2009

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      International Policy Symposium Assessments and its implications of Health Assurance system in Korea and Japan
    • Place of Presentation
      Seoul, Korea
    • Year and Date
      2009-08-05
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Present condition of Long-Term Care Insurance System and Prospects(〓〓〓〓〓〓〓 〓〓〓 〓〓〓 〓〓〓〓)2009

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      International Policy Symposium Assessments and its implications of Health Assurance system in Korea and Janan
    • Place of Presentation
      Seoul, Korea
    • Year and Date
      2009-08-05
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Hypothesis Testing for Feature Patterns Using Collective Synchronization in a Network of Non-Symmetrically Coupled Phase Oscillators.2009

    • Author(s)
      宮野尚哉, 筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of 2009 International Symposium on Nonlonear Theory and its Applications (NOLTA2009)
    • Place of Presentation
      Sapporo, Japan
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 結合位相振動子に埋め込まれたデータの集団同期による自己組織化2009

    • Author(s)
      宮野尚哉,筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      電子情報通信学会2009年ソサイエティ大会(A-2-38)
    • Place of Presentation
      松山
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 位相振動子ネットワークにおける多変量データの自己組織化2009

    • Author(s)
      宮野尚哉,筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      日本物理学会第64回年次大会(30pTB-7)
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 非対称結合位相振動子ネットワークにおけるデータ同期2009

    • Author(s)
      宮野尚哉,筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      電子情報通信学会2009年ソサイエティ大会(30pTB-7)
    • Place of Presentation
      新潟
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Changes in the Filial Obligations of Family Caregivers under the Public Long-Term Care Insurance System in Japan2009

    • Author(s)
      T.Takako, S.Higashino, M.Otaga
    • Organizer
      the 19th IAGG World Congress
    • Place of Presentation
      Paris, France
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Hypothesis Testing for Feature Patterns Using Collective Synchronization in a Network of Non-Symmetrically Coupled Phase Oscillators2009

    • Author(s)
      T.Miyano, T Tsutsui
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of 2009 International Symposium on Nonlonear Theory and its Applications(NOLTA2009)
    • Place of Presentation
      Sapporo, Japan
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] On the Link of Data Synchronization of the Self-organizing Map Algorithm2008

    • Author(s)
      宮野尚哉, 筒井孝子
    • Organizer
      2008 International Symposium on Nonlinear Theory and its Applications (NOLTA2008)(p.224-227)
    • Place of Presentation
      Budapest,Hungary
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高齢者に必要なサービス量を推定するモデル開発のための新たな高齢者分類に関する研究2008

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子,東野定律,大多賀政昭
    • Organizer
      第68回日本公衆衛生学会総会抄録集(p516)
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] On the Link of Data Synchronization of the Self-organizing Map Algorithm2008

    • Author(s)
      Miyano T, Tsutsui T
    • Organizer
      2008 International Symposium on Nonlinear Theory and its Applications. (NOLTA2008)
    • Place of Presentation
      Budapest, Hungary
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高齢者に必要なサービス量を推定するモデル開発のための新たな高齢者分類に関する研究2008

    • Author(s)
      筒井孝子, 東野定律, 大多賀政昭
    • Organizer
      第68回日本公衆衛生学会総会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Changes in the Filial Obligations of Family Caregivers under the Public Long-Term Care Insurance System in Japan.

    • Author(s)
      T Takako, S Higashino, M.Otaga
    • Organizer
      the 19th IAGG World Congress Paris
    • Place of Presentation
      France
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] ホームページ等

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report

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Published: 2008-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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