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Study on Projection of River Discharge under Global Warming and Adaptation Measures

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20360219
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Hydraulic engineering
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

TACHIKAWA Yasuto  Kyoto University, 大学院・工学研究科, 准教授 (40227088)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) SHIIBA Michiharu  京都大学, 大学院・工学研究科, 教授 (90026352)
KIM Sunmin  京都大学, 大学院・工学研究科, 講師 (10546013)
YOROZU Kazuaki  京都大学, 大学院・工学研究科, 助教 (90554212)
市川 温  京都大学, 工学研究科, 助教 (30293963)
Project Period (FY) 2008 – 2010
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2010)
Budget Amount *help
¥7,410,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,710,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Keywords地球温暖化 / 気候変動 / 適応策 / 流出モデル / 洪水 / 渇水 / 河川流況 / 河川流量 / 流量変化 / 大気大循環モデル / ダム制御 / 河川流況変化
Research Abstract

The impact of climate change on river discharge in Japanese basins is analyzed by feeding future climate projection data into a distributed rainfall-runoff model. The projection data used were simulated by a high resolution general circulation model developed by Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency. The main findings are as follows : 1) lear changes of hourly flood peak discharge, daily drought discharge and monthly discharge were detected ; 2) the degree of the changes differs according to location ; 3) the changes become clearer in the end of 21^<st> century experiment.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2010 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • 2008 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (33 results)

All 2011 2010 2009 Other

All Journal Article (22 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 12 results) Presentation (8 results) Remarks (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] 気候変化が日本の河川流況に及ぼす影響の予測2011

    • Author(s)
      立川康人, 滝野晶平, 藤岡優子, 萬和明, キムスンミン, 椎葉充晴
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集 67(1)

      Pages: 1-15

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Climate change impact on river flow of the tone river basin, Japan2011

    • Author(s)
      S.Kim, Y.Tachikawa, E.Nakakita, K.Yorozu, M.Shiiba
    • Journal Title

      Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering Vol.55

    • NAID

      130004557687

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 気候変化が日本の河川流況に及ぼす影響の予測2011

    • Author(s)
      立川康人, 滝野晶平, 藤岡優子, 萬和明, キムスンミン, 椎葉充晴
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集

      Volume: 67(1) Pages: 1-15

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Hydrologic evaluation on the AGCM20 output using observed river discharge data2010

    • Author(s)
      S.Kim, Y.Tachikawa, E.Nakakita, K.Takara
    • Journal Title

      Hydrological Research Letters Vol.4

      Pages: 35-39

    • NAID

      130000249277

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 地球温暖化に伴う日本の河川流況変化の推計2010

    • Author(s)
      滝野晶平, 立川康人, 椎葉充晴, 山口千裕, 萬和明
    • Journal Title

      水工学論文集 54巻

      Pages: 475-480

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 気候変化が日本の洪水発生に及ぼす影響の推定2010

    • Author(s)
      立川康人, 滝野晶平, 萬和明, キムスンミン, 椎葉充晴
    • Journal Title

      京都大学防災研究所年報 Vol.53

      Pages: 23-36

    • NAID

      120002515177

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Projection of river discharge of Japanese river basins under climate change scenario2010

    • Author(s)
      Y.Tachikawa, S.Takino, Y.Fujioka, K.Yorozu, S.Kim, M.Shiiba
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of the 5th Conference of Asia pacific Association of Hydrology and Water Resources (APHW)

      Pages: 139-145

    • NAID

      130004961407

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 気候変化が日本の洪水発生に及ぼす影響の推定2010

    • Author(s)
      立川康人, 滝野晶平, 萬和明, キムスンミン, 椎葉充晴
    • Journal Title

      京都大学防災研究所年報

      Volume: 53 Pages: 23-36

    • NAID

      120002515177

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Projection of river discharge of Japanese river basins under climate change scenario2010

    • Author(s)
      Y.Tachikawa, S.Takino, Y.Fujioka, K.Yorozu, S.Kim, M.Shiiba
    • Journal Title

      Proc.of the 5th Conference of Asia pacific Association of Hydrology and Water Resources (APHW)

      Pages: 139-145

    • NAID

      130004961407

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Climate change impact on river flow of the tone river basin, Japan2010

    • Author(s)
      S.Kim, Y.Tachikawa, E.Nakakita, K.Yorozu, M.Shiiba
    • Journal Title

      Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engneering

      Volume: 55

    • NAID

      130004557687

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 地球温暖化に伴う日本の河川流況変化の推計2010

    • Author(s)
      滝野晶平, 立川康人, 椎葉充晴, 山口千裕, 萬和明
    • Journal Title

      水工学論文集 54

      Pages: 475-480

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 地球温暖化が最上川・吉野川流域の河川流況に及ぼす影響について2009

    • Author(s)
      立川康人, 滝野晶平, 市川温, 椎葉充晴
    • Journal Title

      水工学論文集 53巻

      Pages: 475-480

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 河川流量の将来推計に必要となる大気モデルの時空間スケールと精度について2009

    • Author(s)
      立川康人
    • Journal Title

      水循環・貯留と浸透 71巻

      Pages: 24-27

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Assessing climate change impacton water resources in the Tone River basin, Japan, using super-high-resolution atmospheric model output2009

    • Author(s)
      K.Takara, S.Kim, Y.Tachikawa, E.Nakakita
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Disaster Research Vol.4

      Pages: 12-23

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Reconsideration of reservoir operations under climate change : case study with Yagisawa Dam, Japan, Annual Journal of Hydraulic Eng.2009

    • Author(s)
      S.Kim, Y.Tachikawa, E.Nakakita, K.Takara
    • Journal Title

      JSCE Vol.53

      Pages: 597-611

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Impact of climate change on river flow regimes in Japanese catchments using GCM hydrologic projections and a distributed rainfall-runoff model, Water resources and water related disasters under climate change2009

    • Author(s)
      立川康人
    • Journal Title

      the text of 19th IHP training course in 2009, International Hydrological Programme, UNESCO

      Pages: 47-58

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Impact analysis of climate change on water resources in Japan and Thailand using a GCM hydrologic projections and a distributed rainfall-runoff model2009

    • Author(s)
      Y.Tachikawa, K.Yorozu
    • Journal Title

      Proc.of 2009 AIT-KU Joint Symposium on Human Security Engineering, Bangkok, Thailand

      Pages: 149-156

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Impact of Climate Change on River Flow Regimes in Japanese Catchments using GCM Hydrologic Projections and a Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Model, Water Resources and Water Related Disasters under Climate Change2009

    • Author(s)
      Yasuto TACHIKAWA
    • Journal Title

      the text of 19th IHP training course in 2009, International Hydrological Programme, UNESCO

      Pages: 47-58

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Impact Analysis of Climate Change on Water Resources in Japan and Thailand using a GCM Hydrologic Projections and a Distributed Rainfal 1-Runoff Model2009

    • Author(s)
      Yasuto TACHIKAWA, Kazuaki YOROZU
    • Journal Title

      Proc.of 2009 AIT-KU Joint Symposium on Human Security Engineering, Bangkok, Thailand

      Pages: 149-156

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 地球温暖化が最上川・吉野川流域の河川流況に及ぼす影響について2009

    • Author(s)
      立川康人, 滝野晶平, 市川温, 椎葉充晴
    • Journal Title

      水工学論文集 53

      Pages: 475-480

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 河川流量の将来推計に必要となる大気モデルの時空間スケールと精度について2009

    • Author(s)
      立川康人
    • Journal Title

      水循環, 貯留と浸透 71

      Pages: 24-27

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Assessing Climate Change Impact on Water Resources in the Tone River Basin, Japan, Using Super-High-Resolution Atmospheric Model Output2009

    • Author(s)
      Kaoru Takara, Sunmin Kim, Yasuto Tachikawa, Eiichi Nakakita
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Disaster Research 4

      Pages: 12-23

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Estimation of change of river flow in Japan under climate change and adaptive measures for resilient society2010

    • Author(s)
      立川康人
    • Organizer
      Disaster Prevention Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Seoul, Korea.
    • Year and Date
      2010-05-24
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Estimation of Change of River Flow in Japan Under Climate Change and Adaptive Measures for Resilient Society2010

    • Author(s)
      Yasuto TACHIKAWA
    • Organizer
      Disaster Prevention Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Seoul, Korea
    • Year and Date
      2010-05-24
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地球温暖化に伴う日本の河川流況変化の推計2010

    • Author(s)
      滝野晶平, 立川康人, 椎葉充晴, 山口千裕, 萬和明
    • Organizer
      水工学講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-03-05
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report 2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地球温暖化に伴う日本の河川流況変化の推計2009

    • Author(s)
      立川康人, 滝野晶平, 山口千裕, 椎葉充晴
    • Organizer
      自然災害学会
    • Place of Presentation
      京大会館
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-29
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地球温暖化に伴う日本流域の流況変化の推計2009

    • Author(s)
      立川康人, 滝野晶平, 山口千裕, 椎葉充晴
    • Organizer
      日本自然災害学会
    • Place of Presentation
      京大会館
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-29
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地球温暖化に伴う日本の河川流況変化の推計2009

    • Author(s)
      滝野晶平, 山口千裕, 立川康人, 椎葉充晴
    • Organizer
      土木学会年次学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-03
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地球温暖化に伴う日本流域の流況変化の推計2009

    • Author(s)
      滝野晶平, 山口千裕, 立川康人, 椎葉充晴
    • Organizer
      土木学会年次学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-03
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地球温暖化が最上川・吉野川流域の河川流況に及ぼす影響について2009

    • Author(s)
      立川康人, 滝野晶平, 市川温・椎葉充晴
    • Organizer
      土木学会水工学講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      芝浦工業大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-04
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report 2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] ホームページ

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] 日本全国分布型流出モデルのプログラム

    • URL

      http://hywr.kuciv.kyoto-u.ac.jp/products/1K-DHM/1K-DHM.html

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://hywr.kuciv.kyoto-u.ac.jp/products/1K-DHM/1K-DHM.html

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2008-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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