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Projection of ocean waves and storm surges due to global warming influence and its application to engineering impact.

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20360220
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Hydraulic engineering
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

MASE Hajime  Kyoto University, 防災研究所, 教授 (30127138)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) MORI Nobihito  京都大学, 防災研究所, 准教授 (90371476)
TAKEMI Tetsuya  京都大学, 防災研究所, 准教授 (10314361)
YASUDA Tomohiro  京都大学, 防災研究所, 助教 (60378916)
KAWAI Hiroyasu  (独)港湾空港技術研究所, 海洋情報研究領域, 上席研究官 (40371752)
KUROIWA Masamitsu  鳥取大学, 工学部・土木工学科, 准教授 (10225279)
Project Period (FY) 2008 – 2010
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2010)
Budget Amount *help
¥18,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,170,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥8,580,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,980,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥5,720,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,320,000)
Keywords海岸工学 / 沿岸災害 / 地球温暖化 / 高波 / 高潮 / 強風 / 極端気象 / 極端化
Research Abstract

This project examined future changes of typhoon, extreme ocean waves, storm surges based on global climate projections under the global warming scenario. The projections of extreme waves and storm surges around Japan require appropriate future scenario of typhoon and numerical modeling of waves and storm surges. The future change of typhoon, extreme waves and storm surges were conducted. The significant increases of extreme waves and storm surges in the future climate were investigated by dynamic and statistical models.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2010 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • 2008 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (48 results)

All 2011 2010 2009 2008 2004 Other

All Journal Article (34 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 9 results) Presentation (11 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] 地球温暖化による極大波高の変化予測2011

    • Author(s)
      森信人・志村智也・安田誠宏・間瀬肇
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)

      Volume: 66 Pages: 1231-1235

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 地球温暖化による高潮・高波推算に対応可能な確率台風モデル2011

    • Author(s)
      安田誠宏・林祐太・森信人・間瀬肇
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)

      Volume: 66 Pages: 1241-1245

    • NAID

      130004956488

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Stochastic typhoon model and its application to future typhoon projection2011

    • Author(s)
      Yasuda, T., H.Mase, S.Kunitomi, N.Mori, Y.Hayashi
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 32nd International Conference on Coastal Engineering

      Volume: 32(印刷中)

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Projection of extreme wave climate change under the global warming2010

    • Author(s)
      Mori, N., T.Yasuda, H.Mase, T.Tom, Y.Oku
    • Journal Title

      Hydrological Research Letters Vol.4

      Pages: 15-19

    • NAID

      130000249042

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Projection of future typhoons landing on Japan based on a stochastic typhoon model utilizing AGCM projections2010

    • Author(s)
      Yasuda T., H.Mase, N.Mori
    • Journal Title

      Hydrological Research Letters Vol.4

      Pages: 65-69

    • NAID

      130000298874

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Stochastic typhoon model and its application to future typhoon projection2010

    • Author(s)
      Yasuda T., H.Mase, S.Kunitomi, N.Mori, Y.Hayashi
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 32nd International Conference on Coastal Engineering, ASCE

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 地球温暖化による極大波高の変化予測2010

    • Author(s)
      森信人・志村智也・安田誠宏・間瀬肇
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学) Vol.66

      Pages: 1231-1235

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 地球温暖化による高潮・高波推算に対応可能な確率台風モデル2010

    • Author(s)
      安田誠宏・林祐太・森信人・間瀬肇
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学) Vol.66

      Pages: 1241-1245

    • NAID

      130004956488

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Projection of extreme wave climate change under the global warming2010

    • Author(s)
      Mori, N., T.Yasuda, H.Mase, T.Tom, Y.Oku
    • Journal Title

      Hydrological Research Letters 4

      Pages: 15-19

    • NAID

      130000249042

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Representation of extreme weather during a typhoon landfall in regional meteorological simulations2010

    • Author(s)
      Oku, Y., T.Takemi, H.Ishikawa, S.Kanada, M.Nakano
    • Journal Title

      Hydrological Research Letters 4

      Pages: 1-5

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 確率台風シミュレーションの風場モデルと将来の台風出特性による確率高潮偏差の変化2010

    • Author(s)
      河合弘泰・橋本典明・山城賢・安田誠宏
    • Journal Title

      海岸工学論文集 57

      Pages: 1256-1260

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Storm surge hindcast in Tosa Bay of Japan using a coupled model of surge, wave and tide2009

    • Author(s)
      Kim, S.Y., Yasuda T., Mase, H., Matsumi, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Coastal Dynamics 2009 Paper No.21

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Modeling of long-term time series of wave and wind -Case study at Joetsu coast-2009

    • Author(s)
      Mase, H., Yasuda T., Mori, N.
    • Journal Title

      Coastal Dynamics 2009 Paper No.31

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Impact of global climate change on wave climate2009

    • Author(s)
      Mori, N., Iwashima, R., Yasuda T., Mase, H., Tom, T.H., Oku, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Coastal Dynamics 2009 Paper No.135

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Effects of wave radiation stress and vertical mixing on storm surge2009

    • Author(s)
      Mori, N., Takada R. Yasuda T. Mase, H., Kim, S.Y.
    • Journal Title

      Coastal Dynamics 2009 No.22

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Prediction of Global Sea Surface Wind and Wave Climate Change based on MRI/JMA GCM2009

    • Author(s)
      Mori, N., Yasuda T., Mase, H., Iwashima, R., Tom, T.H., Oku, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Proc.of 33rd IAHR Congress

      Pages: 1672-1679

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Real-time wave prediction using hourly analyzed atmospheric GPV2009

    • Author(s)
      Tom, T.H., Mase, H., Yasuda T.
    • Journal Title

      Coastal Dynamics 2009 Paper No.1

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Evaluation of Typhoons due to Global Warming and Storm Surge Simulations by Using the General Circulation Model Outputs2009

    • Author(s)
      Yasuda T., Mase, H., Takada R., Kim, S. Y., Mori, N., Oku, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Proc.of 33rd IAHR Congress

      Pages: 387-392

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 2008年ハリケーン・アイクによる高波の追算2009

    • Author(s)
      間瀬肇・Tracey H.Tom・安田誠宏・森信人
    • Journal Title

      海洋開発論文集 Vol.25

      Pages: 897-902

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 強風時の表層鉛直混合が高潮および物理環境へ及ぼす影響2009

    • Author(s)
      森信人, 高田理絵, 安田誠宏, 間瀬肇, 金洙列
    • Journal Title

      海岸工学論文集 第56巻

      Pages: 241-245

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 気象モデルにおける4次元データ同化およびネスティングが高潮推算精度に及ぼす影響に関する研究2009

    • Author(s)
      安田誠宏, 山口達也, 金洙列, 森信人, 間瀬肇
    • Journal Title

      海岸工学論文集 第56巻

      Pages: 381-385

    • NAID

      130004956309

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 日本海沿岸における波浪の経年変化特性に関する研究2009

    • Author(s)
      間瀬肇, 田中遼, 森信人, 安田誠宏
    • Journal Title

      海岸工学論文集 第56巻

      Pages: 1251-1255

    • NAID

      130004956248

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 確率台風シミュレーションの風場モデルと将来の台風出現特性による確率高潮偏差の変化2009

    • Author(s)
      河合弘泰, 橋本典明, 山城賢, 安田誠宏
    • Journal Title

      海岸工学論文集 第56巻

      Pages: 1256-1260

    • NAID

      130004956249

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 地球温暖化予測に基づく全球波浪解析2009

    • Author(s)
      森信人, 岩嶋亮太, 安田誠宏, 間瀬肇, Tracey H.Tom
    • Journal Title

      海岸工学論文集 第56巻

      Pages: 1271-1275

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 地球温暖化予測に基づく将来台風変化予測とその確率モデリング2009

    • Author(s)
      安田誠宏, 安藤圭, 森信人, 間瀬肇
    • Journal Title

      海岸工学論文集 第56巻

      Pages: 1281-1285

    • NAID

      130004956254

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 高潮対策施設のアセットマネジメントのための海象外力に関する考察2009

    • Author(s)
      河合弘泰
    • Journal Title

      海洋開発論文集 Vol.25

      Pages: 163-168

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 確率台風シミュレーションの風場モデルと将来の台風出現特性による確率高潮偏差の変化2009

    • Author(s)
      河合弘泰・橋本典明・山城賢・安田誠宏
    • Journal Title

      海岸工学論文集 第57巻

      Pages: 1256-1260

    • NAID

      130004956249

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 潮汐・高潮・波浪結合モデルとメソ気象モデルWRFを用いた瀬戸内海における高潮再現計算に関する研究2008

    • Author(s)
      安田誠宏・山口達也・金洙列・島田広昭・石垣泰輔・間瀬肇
    • Journal Title

      海岸工学論文集 第55巻

      Pages: 331-335

    • NAID

      130003992259

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 地球温暖化予測データに基づく台風極端化特性の評価と高潮シミュレーション2008

    • Author(s)
      安田誠宏・高田理絵・金洙列・間瀬肇
    • Journal Title

      海岸工学論文集 第55巻

      Pages: 1331-1335

    • NAID

      130003992188

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 潮汐・高潮・波浪結合モデルによる土佐湾異常高潮の追算2008

    • Author(s)
      金洙列, 安田誠宏, 間瀬肇
    • Journal Title

      海岸工学論文集 55

      Pages: 321-325

    • NAID

      130003992257

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 地球温暖化予測データに基づく台風極端化特性の評価と高潮シミュレーション2008

    • Author(s)
      安田誠宏, 高田理絵, 金洙列, 間瀬肇
    • Journal Title

      海岸工学論文集 55

      Pages: 1331-1335

    • NAID

      130003992188

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 潮汐・高潮・波浪結合モデルとメソ気象モデルWRFを用いた瀬戸内海における高潮再現計算に関する研究2008

    • Author(s)
      安田誠宏, 山口達也, 金洙列, 島田広昭, 石垣泰輔, 間瀬肇
    • Journal Title

      海岸工学論文集 55

      Pages: 331-335

    • NAID

      130003992259

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 2010 : Representation of extreme weather during a typhoon landfall in regional meteorological simulations : a model intercomparison study for TyphoonSongda2004

    • Author(s)
      Oku, Y., T.Takemi, H.Ishikawa, S.Kanada, M.Nakano
    • Journal Title

      Hydrologic Research Letter(doi:10.3178/hrl.4.1)s Vol.4

      Pages: 1-5

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Uncertainty of extreme storm surge estimation by high wind sea surface drag coefficient and future typhoon change

    • Author(s)
      河合弘泰, 橋本典明, 山城賢, 安田誠宏
    • Journal Title

      Proceeding of 32nd International Conference on Coastal Engineering, ASCE

      Pages: 2010-2010

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Environmental stability control of convective precipitation : Implications for convection under global warming.2011

    • Author(s)
      竹見哲也
    • Organizer
      International Conference on MCSs and High-Impact Weather in East Asia (ICMCS-VIII)(pp.212-215)
    • Place of Presentation
      Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 既往台風による可能最大風速・降水量の推定とその妥当性の検証2010

    • Author(s)
      奥勇一郎, 吉野純, 石川裕彦, 竹見哲也, 中北英一
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2010年度秋季大会(C212, 2010)
    • Place of Presentation
      京都市南区京都テルサ
    • Year and Date
      2010-10-28
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Projection of Future Wave Climate Change in Global Scale2010

    • Author(s)
      Nobuhito Mori, Tomoya Shimura, Tomohiro Yasuda, Hajime Mase
    • Organizer
      Workshop on metrics and methodologies of estimation of extreme climate events
    • Place of Presentation
      UNESCO本部,パリ
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-27
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Statistical Modeling of Future Typhoons under a Climate Change Scenario2010

    • Author(s)
      Tomohiro Yasuda, Sota Nakajo, Yuta Hayashi, Nobuhito Mori, Hajime Mase
    • Organizer
      Workshop on metrics and methodologies of estimation of extreme climate events
    • Place of Presentation
      UNESCO本部,パリ
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-27
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Statistical Modeling of Future Typhoons under a Climate Change Scenario2010

    • Author(s)
      Yasuda, T., S.Nakajo, Y.Hayashi, N.Mori, H.Mase
    • Organizer
      WRCP/UNESCO Workshop on metrics and methodologies of estimation of extreme climate events
    • Place of Presentation
      Paris
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Projection of extreme wave climate change2010

    • Author(s)
      Mori, N., T.Shimura, T.Yasuda, S.Nakajo, H.Mase
    • Organizer
      WRCP/UNESCO Workshop on metrics and methodologies of estimation of extreme climate events
    • Place of Presentation
      Paris
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2010 : Representation of extreme weather events in convection-resolving simulations at 100-m resolution.2010

    • Author(s)
      竹見哲也
    • Organizer
      The Third International Workshop on Prevention and Mitigation of Meteorological Disasters in Southeast Asia (pp.38-40)
    • Place of Presentation
      Beppu, Japan
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 可能最大被害予測を目的とした渦位逆変換法による台風ボーガシング2009

    • Author(s)
      奥勇一郎, 吉野純, 石川裕彦, 竹見哲也, 中北英一
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2009年度秋季大会(P169, 2009)
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡県福岡市
    • Year and Date
      2009-11-25
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Modeling of long-term time series of wave and wind2009

    • Author(s)
      Mase, H., Yasuda, T., Mori, N.
    • Organizer
      Coastal Dynamics
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-09
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Evaluation of Typhoons due to Global Warming and Storm Surge Simulations by Using the General Circulation Model Outputs2009

    • Author(s)
      Yasuda, T., Mase, H., Takada, R., Kim, S.Y., Mori, N., Oku, Y.
    • Organizer
      Proc.of 33rd IAHR Congress(pp.387-392)
    • Place of Presentation
      Vancouver
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Prediction of Global Sea Surface Wind and Wave Climate Change based on MRI/JMA GCM2009

    • Author(s)
      Mori, N., Yasuda, T., Mase, H., Iwashima, R., Tom, T.H., Oku, Y.
    • Organizer
      Proc.of 33rd IAHR Congress(pp.1672-1679)
    • Place of Presentation
      Vancouver
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Book] 地球環境における大気・海洋相互作用(グローバル・ミクロな視点から),大気・海洋境界過程のミクロ・マクロ造,混相流学会誌(22巻,1号)2008

    • Author(s)
      森信人・木原直人
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.dpri.kyoto-u.ac.jp/~kaigan

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2008-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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