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Game Theoretic Pricing Models for Electricity Markets andApplications to Economic Policy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20530214
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Applied economics
Research InstitutionSophia University (2011-2012)
Daito Bunka University (2008-2010)

Principal Investigator

ISHII Masahiro  上智大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (90323881)

Project Period (FY) 2008 – 2012
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywords産業組織論 / 電力取引市場 / 貯蔵不可能性 / 市場支配力 / 資産価格評価 / 経済政策 / ゲーム理論 / 電力スポット取引市場 / 価格のスパイク / 非協力ゲーム / 寡占市場 / ナッシュ均衡 / 均衡価格式 / ナッシュ均衡における価格式 / 港湾間競争 / 電力スポット取引 / 電力先渡取引 / 非完備市場 / 電力先渡需要 / 電力スポット価格 / 電力先渡価格
Research Abstract

In this study, models for analysis of electricity markets aredeveloped. Under the assumptions that quantity of electricity demand is uncertain andpower generators use information on the distribution to choose supply functionsstrategically, equilibrium price formulae are derived and examined. Based on the oneof equilibrium price models, a framework for measuring and investigating marketpower in electricity markets is constructed. When you use the framework for assessingthe market performance, you need only two time series data sets, spot prices andtrading volumes. Indeed, it is applied to analyze PJM market and California PowerExchange market (from 1998 to 2000).

Report

(7 results)
  • 2012 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report   Self-evaluation Report ( PDF )
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • 2008 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (47 results)

All 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008

All Journal Article (19 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 12 results) Presentation (28 results)

  • [Journal Article] 電力取引市場における供給力確保とコールオプション2013

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏
    • Journal Title

      上智経済論集

      Volume: Vol.58 Pages: 265-275

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report 2012 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A game theoreticalanalysis of port competition2013

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Lee, P. T. W., Tezuka, K. andChang, Y. T
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Part E: Logisticsand Transportation Review

      Volume: Vol.49 Pages: 92-106

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A game theoretical analysis of port competition2013

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Lee, P. T-W., Tezuka, K. and Chang, Y., T.
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Part E

      Volume: 49 Issue: 1 Pages: 92-106

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.tre.2012.07.007

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An equilibrium price model ofspot and forward shipping freightmarkets2012

    • Author(s)
      Tezuka, K., Ishii, M. and Ishizaka,M
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Part E:Logistics and Transportation Review

      Volume: Vol.48 Pages: 730-742

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Relationship between CAPM-βand market changes in the Japanese linershipping industry2012

    • Author(s)
      Tezuka, K., Ishii, M. and Ishizaka,M
    • Journal Title

      Maritime Policy andManagement

      Volume: Vol. 39 Pages: 297-319

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An equilibrium price model of spot and forward shipping freight markets2012

    • Author(s)
      Tezuka, K., Ishii, M. and Ishizaka, M.
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Part E

      Volume: 48 Issue: 4 Pages: 730-742

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.tre.2011.12.007

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Nash Equilibrium in aDuopolistic Electricity Market2011

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M
    • Journal Title

      上智経済論集

      Volume: Vol.56 Pages: 27-41

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] An Application of Non-Cooperative Game to an Equilibrium Freight Rate with Capacity Constraint under Uncertainty2011

    • Author(s)
      Tezuka, K., Ishii, M.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of IAME 2011 Conference

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Nash Equilibrium in a Duopolistic Electricity Market2011

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M.
    • Journal Title

      上智経済論集 vol.56

      Pages: 27-41

    • NAID

      120005885385

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Journal Article] Nash Equilibrium in a Duopolistic Electricity Market2011

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M.
    • Journal Title

      上智経済論集

      Volume: 56 Pages: 27-41

    • NAID

      120005885385

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] An Empirical Study of Port Competition by Applying a Non-cooperative Game Theoretical Model : The Case of Busan and Kobe Ports2010

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Lee, P.T-W, Tezuka, K., Chang, Y.T.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of IAME 2010 Conference

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An Empirical Study of Port Competition by Applying a Non-cooperative Game Theoretical Model : The Case of Busan and Kobe Ports2010

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Lee, P., T-W, Tezuka, K., Chang, Y., T.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of IAME 2010 Conference

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Game Theoretical Analysis of Port Competition : A Case of Busan and Kobe2009

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Lee, P.T-W, Tezuka, K., Chang, Y.T.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of IAME 2009 Conference

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Game Theoretical Analysis of Port Competition : A Case of Busan and Kobe2009

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Lee, P.T-W, Tezuka, K., Chang, Y.T.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of LAME 2009 Conference

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Duopoly Model forElectricity Spot Prices2008

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M
    • Journal Title

      経営論集

      Volume: Vol.16 Pages: 113-124

    • NAID

      40016445269

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A Duopoly Model for Electricity Spot Prices2008

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M.
    • Journal Title

      経営論集 vol.16

      Pages: 113-124

    • NAID

      40016445269

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Journal Article] Strategic Behavior and the Determination of Spot Prices in Shipping Freight Markets : A Game Theoretical Approach2008

    • Author(s)
      Tezuka, K., Ishii, M.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of IAME 2008 Conference

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] strategic Behavior and the Determination of Spot Prices in Shipping Freight Markets : A Game Theoretical Approach2008

    • Author(s)
      Tezuka, K., Ishii, M.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of TAME 2008 Conference (ベーバーというものの性格上、掲載頁はありません。)

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Duopoly Model for Electricity Spot Prices2008

    • Author(s)
      Isgii, M.
    • Journal Title

      経営論集

      Pages: 113-124

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Assessing the risk attitudein shipping freight markets2012

    • Author(s)
      Ishizaka, M., Ishii, M. and Tezuka,K
    • Organizer
      2012 IAMEConference
    • Place of Presentation
      Taipei, Taiwan
    • Year and Date
      2012-09-07
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Systematic risks andmarket changes in the Japanese electricityindustry2012

    • Author(s)
      Ishizaka, M., Tezuka, K., and Ishii,M
    • Organizer
      The 35th Annual IAEEInternational Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Perth,Australia
    • Year and Date
      2012-06-26
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Strategic Behavior and Mark-Ups in anElectricity Market2012

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., and Tezuka, K
    • Organizer
      The 3^<rd> IAEE AsianConference
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyoto University(Kyoto,Japan)
    • Year and Date
      2012-02-20
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Strategic Behavior and Mark-Ups in an Electricity Market2012

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Tezuka, K.
    • Organizer
      2012 3^<rd> IAEE Asian Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyoto University
    • Year and Date
      2012-02-20
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Systematic risks and market changes in the Japanese electricity industry2012

    • Author(s)
      Tezuka, K., Ishizaka, M. and Ishii, M.
    • Organizer
      The 35th Annual IAEE International Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Perth, Australia
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Assessing the risk attitude in shipping freight markets2012

    • Author(s)
      Ishizaka, M., Ishii, M. and Tezuka, K.
    • Organizer
      2012 IAME Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Taipei, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Assessing the Impact of StrategicBehavior on Spot Prices in an ElectricityMarket2011

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., and Tezuka, K
    • Organizer
      The 30^<th> USAEE/IAEE NorthAmerican Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Washington, DC,USA
    • Year and Date
      2011-10-11
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Assessing the Impact of Strategic Behavior on Spot Prices in an Electricity Market2011

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Tezuka, K.
    • Organizer
      30^<th> USAEE/IAEE North American Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Washington, DC
    • Year and Date
      2011-10-11
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] n 社寡占の電力取引市場におけるスポット価格評価2011

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏・手塚広一郎
    • Organizer
      日本応用数理学会2011年研究部会連合発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      電気通信大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-07
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Presentation] n社寡占の電力取引市場におけるスポット価格評価2011

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏・手塚広一郎
    • Organizer
      日本応用数理学会2011年研究部会連合発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      電気通信大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-07
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 非協力ゲームを用いる電力スポット価格評価2011

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏
    • Organizer
      数理ファイナンスとその周辺
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(本郷キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2011-01-27
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Presentation] 非協力ゲームを用いる電力スポット価格評価2011

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏
    • Organizer
      数理ファイナンスとその周辺
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-01-27
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ゲーム理論を用いた電力フォワード価格評価の枠組み2010

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏・手塚広一郎
    • Organizer
      日本応用数理学会2010年度年会
    • Place of Presentation
      明治大学(駿河台キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-09
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Presentation] ゲーム理論を用いた電力フォワード価格評価の枠組み2010

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏・手塚広一郎
    • Organizer
      日本応用数理学会2010年度年会
    • Place of Presentation
      明治大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-09
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 電力取引市場における戦略的行動と価格決定2010

    • Author(s)
      手塚広一郎・石井昌宏
    • Organizer
      公益事業学会第60回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海学園大学(北海道)
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-13
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] n 社寡占の電力取引市場におけるスポット価格評価2010

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏・手塚広一郎
    • Organizer
      日本応用数理学会 2011 年 研究部会連合発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      電気通信大学(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2010-03-07
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 電力取引市場における先渡し価格評価の枠組み2009

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏・手塚広一郎
    • Organizer
      日本リアルオプション学会
    • Place of Presentation
      信州大学(長野県)
    • Year and Date
      2009-12-13
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 電力取引市場における先渡し価格評価の枠組み2009

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏・手塚広一郎
    • Organizer
      日本リアルオプション学会
    • Place of Presentation
      信州大学(上田キャンパス)
    • Year and Date
      2009-12-13
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Presentation] ゲーム理論の枠組みを用いた電力先渡し契約の価格形成2009

    • Author(s)
      手塚広一郎・石井昌宏
    • Organizer
      エネルギー経済ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      東京電力
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-23
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Presentation] ゲーム理論の枠組みを用いた電力先渡し契約の価格形成2009

    • Author(s)
      手塚広一郎・石井昌宏
    • Organizer
      エネルギー経済ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      東京電力(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-23
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Effects of theRegulatory Reform on Market Risk in theJapanese Electricity Industry2008

    • Author(s)
      Ishizaka, M., Tezuka, K., and Ishii,M
    • Organizer
      The 2nd IAEE Asian Conference
    • Year and Date
      2008-11-07
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Study on an Asset Valuation Frameworkfor Electricity Markets2008

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M. and Tezuka, K
    • Organizer
      The 2nd IAEEAsian Conference
    • Year and Date
      2008-11-07
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Study on an Asset Valuation Framework for Electricity Markets2008

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Tezuka, K.
    • Organizer
      2nd IAEE Asian Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Perth Australia
    • Year and Date
      2008-11-07
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Presentation] A study on an Asset Valuation Framework for Electricity Markets2008

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Tezuka, K.
    • Organizer
      2nd IAEE Asian Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Perth, Australia
    • Year and Date
      2008-11-07
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] AStudy on a Non-cooperative GameTheoretic Pricing Framework in aOligopolistic Electricity Market2008

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M. and Tezuka, K
    • Organizer
      The 31stIAEE Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Istanbul, Turkey
    • Year and Date
      2008-06-18
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Study on a Non-cooperative Game-theoretic Pricing Framework in a Oligopolistic Electricity Market2008

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Tezuka, K.
    • Organizer
      31st Annual IAEE International Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Istanbul, Turkey
    • Year and Date
      2008-06-18
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Presentation] A study on a Non-cooperative Game-theoretic Pricing Framework in a Oligopolistic Electricity Market2008

    • Author(s)
      Ishii, M., Tezuka, K.
    • Organizer
      3lst Annual IAEE International Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Istanbul, Turkey
    • Year and Date
      2008-06-18
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ゲーム理論の枠組みを用いた電力スポット価格変動のモデル化2008

    • Author(s)
      石井昌宏・手塚広一郎
    • Organizer
      第57回理論応用力学講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      日本学術会議
    • Year and Date
      2008-06-12
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report 2008 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2008-04-01   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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