Game Theoretic Simulation Analysis of Economic and Environmental Relations Using Link Model between China, Japan, Korea and the US

• Project/Area Number: 20530223
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Section: 一般
• Research Field: Applied economics
• Research Institution: Kyoto Gakuen University
• Principal Investigator: OZAKI Taiyo Kyoto Gakuen University, 経済学部, 教授 (00160846)
• Project Period (FY): 2008 – 2010
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2010)
• Budget Amount: ¥3,120,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥720,000); Fiscal Year 2010: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000); Fiscal Year 2009: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000); Fiscal Year 2008: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
• Keywords: 計量経済モデル / アジアリンクモデル / forward looking / 国際リンクモデル / 貿易モデル / 投資乗数 / 為替政策 / forward-looking model / アジア経済 / ゲーム論 / シミュレーション分析 / 東アジア / トランスログ / シミュレーション / エネルギー効率 / 最適制御

Research Abstract

We developed the Asian Mini-International Econometric Model including China, Korea, the US and Japan. The model has many features such as bilateral trade models and the rational expectation. We analyzed effects caused by unprecedented fiscal expansion of each country after 2008 and changes in exchange rate and oil price. China and Korea can be affected much from the fiscal expansion in the US and Japan, however, reverse extension do not occur. Rise in oil price will bring large reduction in GDP in highly energy consuming countries such as China and the US.

Research Products

• [Journal Article] Econometric Evaluation of the Fiscal Expansion and Stimulus Packages in Three Asian Countries and the United States (2011)
  • Author(s): Taiyo OZAKI
  • Journal Title: The Journal of Econometric Study of Northeast Asia Vol.7, No.2 Pages: 17-37
• [Journal Article] Econometric Evaluation of the Fiscal Expansion and Stimulus Packages in Three Asian Countries and the United States (2011)
  • Author(s): Taiyo OZAKI
  • Journal Title: The Journal of Econometric Study of Northeast Asia Volume: Vol.7, No.2 Pages: 17-37
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Simulation Analysis Based on The East Asian Econometric Model (2010)
  • Author(s): Taiyo OZAKI
  • Journal Title: Journal of the Faculty of Economics, KGU. Vol.19, No.2 Pages: 57-113
• [Journal Article] Simulation Analysis Based on the East Asian Macroecono-metric Model, China-Japan-US-Korea 4-Country Model (2009)
  • Author(s): 尾崎タイヨ
  • Journal Title: 京都学園大学経済学部論集 19-2 Pages: 57-113
• [Presentation] アジアリンクモデル分析 (2011)
  • Author(s): 尾崎タイヨ
  • Organizer: 江南大学ワークショップ
  • Place of Presentation: 中国江蘇省江南大学商学院
  • Year and Date: 2011-03-22
• [Presentation] (2011)
  • Author(s): 中国江南大学ワークショップ
  • Organizer: 商学院研究研究交流会議
  • Place of Presentation: 上海・無錫
• [Presentation] 長江デルタ (2009)
  • Author(s): 中国江南大学ワークショップ
  • Organizer: 日中地域経済研究
  • Place of Presentation: 上海・無錫
• [Presentation] Simulation Analysis of East Asian Macroeconometric Model China-Japan-US-Korea 4-Country Model (2009)
  • Author(s): 尾崎 タイヨ
  • Organizer: 江南大学ワークショップ長江デルタ/日中地域経済研究報告
  • Place of Presentation: 上海・無錫江南大学商学院