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An empirical study of contrarian and momentum effects in the Japanese stock market

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20530265
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Public finance/Monetary economics
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

ISHIDA Isao  The University of Tokyo, 金融・保険教育研究センター, 特任講師 (20361579)

Project Period (FY) 2008 – 2010
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2010)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000)
Keywordsファイナンス
Research Abstract

This study empirically investigates the profitability of contrarian and momentum investment strategies in the Japanese stock market, using returns and financial statement data of all stocks listed on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Contrarian (momentum) strategies buy low-(high-)performing stocks and sell high-(low) performing stocks, based on past returns over various measurement periods. The results for the pricing of the Japanese individual stock prices are at least partially consistent with the predictions of rational asset pricing models, although some of them suggest the possibility of irrational asset pricing expounded by the behavioral finance theory.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2010 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • 2008 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2011 2010 2009 Other

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (4 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Revisiting Tests for Neglected Nonlinearity Using Artificial Neural Networks2011

    • Author(s)
      Jin Seo Cho, Isao Ishida, Halbert White
    • Journal Title

      Neural Computation Vol.23, No.5

      Pages: 1133-1186

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Model-Free Implied Volatility : From Surface to Index

    • Author(s)
      Masaaki Fukasawa, Isao Ishida, Nabil Maghrebi, Kosuke Oya, Masato Ubukata, Kazutoshi Yamazaki
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (forthcoming)

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Testing for Neglected Nonlinearity in Autoregressive Models of Volatility Indices2011

    • Author(s)
      石田功
    • Organizer
      第5回日本統計学会春季集会
    • Place of Presentation
      立教大学池袋キャンパス
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-06
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Estimating Continuous-Time Stochastic Volatility Models for the S & P 500 Index Using High-Frequency S & P 500 and VIX Data2010

    • Author(s)
      石田功
    • Organizer
      2010年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学早稲田キャンパス
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-08
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Estimating Continuous-Time Stochastic Volatility Models for the S & P 500 Index Using High-Frequency S & P 500 and VIX Data2010

    • Author(s)
      石田功
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会第18回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      上智大学四谷キャンパス
    • Year and Date
      2010-05-23
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Forecasting the Nikkei 225 Futures Realized Volatility : Jumps, Leverage, and Spillover Effects from the US Equity Futures Market2009

    • Author(s)
      石田功
    • Organizer
      日本金融・証券計量・工学学会第32回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      明治大学駿河台キャンパス
    • Year and Date
      2009-12-24
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] ホームページ等

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] Isao Ishida, Estimating the Leverage Parameter of Continuous-time Stochastic Volatility Models Using High Frequency S & P500 and VIX, Center for the Study of Finance and Insurance Discussion Paper Series 2010-6 (2011)

    • URL

      http://www-csfi.sigmath.es.osaka-u.ac.jp/database/technicalreport/17_14.pdf

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2008-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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