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Change-point analysis for time series using asymptotic theory for symmetric statistics

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20540140
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field General mathematics (including Probability theory/Statistical mathematics)
Research InstitutionTokyo City University

Principal Investigator

KANAGAWA Shuya  東京都市大学, 知識工学部, 教授 (50185899)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) MAEZONO Nobuhiko  九州大学, 大学院・数理学研究科, 教授 (30173701)
SAISHO Yasumasa  広島大学, 大学院・工学研究科, 准教授 (70195973)
Project Period (FY) 2008 – 2012
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywords変化点解析 / 混合性 / U-統計量 / 確率微分方程式 / 数理ファイナンス / 対称統計量 / V-統計量 / 時系列 / 確率解析 / ノンパラメトリック統計量 / Fuzzy Clustering / AIC / Ginzburg-Landau equation / 非線形回帰分析 / SDE / Ginzburg-Landau equations
Research Abstract

The aim of the research is to consider an estimation of thechange-point for a s e q u e n c e o f r a n d o m v a r i a b l e s s a t i s f i e s n o t o n l y i n d e p e n d e n c e b u t a l s o some mixing condition from the next reason. Even if these random variables of the sequenceare independent, there possibly exists a regression between them. Especially if they aresequences of linear time series e.g. moving average processes, they satisfy some mixingcondition under the assumptions for their coefficients. We consider not only SDE drivenby a Brownian motion but also by a process with stationary increments from the viewpointsof time series analysis for mathematical finance. For example, when we observe two dataseries of returns for different stocks, it is important to find the regression betweentwo stocks.

Report

(7 results)
  • 2012 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report   Self-evaluation Report ( PDF )
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • 2008 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (55 results)

All 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 Other

All Journal Article (29 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 29 results) Presentation (23 results) (of which Invited: 1 results) Book (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] Euler-Maruyama Approximation of the Reflecting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process Using the Penalty Method2012

    • Author(s)
      S. Kanagawa
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Japan

      Volume: Vol.61 Pages: 207-214

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report 2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Fuzzy Node Fuzzy Graph Analysis Applying T-norm2012

    • Author(s)
      H. Uesu, S. Kanagawa
    • Journal Title

      Biomedical Soft Computing and Human Sciences

      Volume: Vol.16 Pages: 63-68

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Fuzzy Node Fuzzy Graph Analysis Applying T-norm2012

    • Author(s)
      H.Uesu, S.Kanagawa,
    • Journal Title

      Biomedical Soft Computing and Human Sciences

      Volume: 16 Pages: 63-68

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Limit theorems of U-statistics for weakly dependent random variables and their applications to change-point problems2011

    • Author(s)
      K. Yoshihara, S. Kanagawa a n d S . Fukuda
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Japan

      Volume: Vol.60 Pages: 399-418

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Edgeworth expansion for the kernel quantile estimator2011

    • Author(s)
      Y.Maesono, and S.Penev
    • Journal Title

      Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics

      Volume: Vol.63 Pages: 617-644

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Mean squared errors of bootstrap variance estimators for U-statistics2011

    • Author(s)
      M.Mizuno and Y.Maesono
    • Journal Title

      Bulletin of Informatics and Cybernetics

      Volume: Vol.43 Pages: 67-82

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Limit theorems of U-statistics for weakly dependent random variables and their applications to change-point problems2011

    • Author(s)
      K.Yoshihara S.Kanagawa S.Fukuda
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Japan

      Volume: 60 Pages: 399-418

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Statistical Scheme via AIC for Evaluating the Optimal Cut Off Level in Fuzzy Clustering2011

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa, K.Shinkai, H.Chung
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 2011 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems

      Pages: 399-418

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Approximated Solutions of Schrodinger equations induced from multi-dimensional nearly monochromatic waves2010

    • Author(s)
      S. Kanagawa, T.Nitta and K. Tchizawa
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Japan

      Volume: Vol.59 Pages: 153-161

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Mathematical observations on the relation between eclosion periods and the copulation rate of cicadas2010

    • Author(s)
      Y.Saisho
    • Journal Title

      Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering

      Volume: Vol.7 Pages: 443-453

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2010 Self-evaluation Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Approximated Solutions of Schrodinger equations induced from multi-dimensional nearly monochromatic waves2010

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa, T.Nitta, K.Tchizawa
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Japan

      Volume: 59 Pages: 153-161

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A new model via a semi-reflecting Brownian motion and its application to behavioral finance2010

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa, N.Kosuge, T.Suzuki
    • Journal Title

      Proc.Neural, Parallel and Scientific Computations

      Volume: 4 Pages: 205-210

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Solutions of Ginzburg-Landau equations induced from multi- dimensional bichromatic waves and some examples of their envelope functions2009

    • Author(s)
      S. Kanagawa, K.Tchizawa and T. Nitta
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Japan

      Volume: Vol.58 Pages: 71-78

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Ginzburg-Landau equations induced from multi-dimensional bichromatic waves2009

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa, K. Tchizawa and T. Nitta
    • Journal Title

      Nonlinear Analysis: Theory, Methods &Applications

      Volume: Vol.71

    • NAID

      130004604223

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Change-point problems in nonlinear regression estimation with dependent observations2009

    • Author(s)
      K. Yoshihara and S. Kanagawa
    • Journal Title

      Nonlinear Analysis: Theory, Methods & Applications

      Volume: Vol.71

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Numerical Analysis of reflecting Brownian motion and a new model ofsemi-reflecting Brownian motion with some domains2009

    • Author(s)
      S. Kanagawa
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Applied Analysis

      Volume: Vol.13 Pages: 231-244

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Solutions of Ginzburg-Landau equations induced from multi- dimensional bichromatic waves and some examples of their envelope functions2009

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa, K.Tchizawa, T.Nitta
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Japan Vol.58

      Pages: 71-78

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Ginzburg-Landau equations induced from multi-dimensional bichromatic waves2009

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa, K.Tchizawa, T.Nitta
    • Journal Title

      Nonlinear Analysis : Theory, Methods & Applications Vol.71

    • NAID

      130004604223

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Change-point problems in nonlinear regression estimation with dependent observations2009

    • Author(s)
      K.Yoshihara, S.Kanagawa
    • Journal Title

      Nonlinear Analysis : Theory, Methods & Applications Vol.71

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Numerical Analysis of reflecting Brownian motion and a new model of semi-reflecting Brownian motion with some domains2009

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Applied Analysis Vol.13

      Pages: 231-244

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Solutions of Ginzburg-Landau equations induced from multi-Dimensional bichromatic waves and some examples of their envelope functions2009

    • Author(s)
      Shuya Kanagawa, Kiyoyuki Tchizawa, Takashi Nitta
    • Journal Title

      Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Japan 58

      Pages: 71-78

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Change-point problems in nonlinear regression estimation with dependent observations2009

    • Author(s)
      K.Yoshihara, S.Kanagawa
    • Journal Title

      Nonlinear Analysis : Theory, Methods & Applications 71

      Pages: 2152-2163

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Ginzburg-Landau equations induced from multi-dimensional bichromatic waves2009

    • Author(s)
      Shuya Kanagawa, Kiyoyuki Tchizawa, Takashi Nitta
    • Journal Title

      Nonlinear Analysis : Theory, Methods & Applications 71

      Pages: 2258-2266

    • NAID

      130004604223

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Numerical Analysis of reflecting Brownian motion and a new model of semi-reflecting Brownian motion with some domains2009

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Applied Analysis 13

      Pages: 231-244

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Change-point problems in nonlinear regression estimation with dependent observations2009

    • Author(s)
      K. Yoshihara S. Kanagawa
    • Journal Title

      Nonlinear Analysis : Theory, Methods & Applications (掲載予定)(印刷中)

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Fuzzy Clustering Level Analysis via Statistical Scheme Applying Akaike ' s Information Criterion2008

    • Author(s)
      S. Kanagawa and K . Shinkai
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Innovative Computing, Information and Control

      Volume: Vol.4 Pages: 2523-2531

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Fuzzy Clustering Level Analysis via Statistical Scheme Applying Akaike's Information Criterion2008

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa, K.Shinkai
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Innovative Computing, Information and Control Vol.4

      Pages: 2523-2531

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Fuzzy Clustering Level Analysis via Statistical Scheme Applying Akaike's Information Criterion2008

    • Author(s)
      S. Kanagawa K. Shinakai
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Innovative Computing, Information and Control 4

      Pages: 2523-2531

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Statistical Scheme via AIC for Evaluating the Optimal Cut Off Level in Fuzzy Clustering

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa, K.Shinkai, H.Chung, K.Nagashima
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 2011 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems

    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Asymptotic expansion for sums of Hilbert space valued random variables and its application to V-statistics2013

    • Author(s)
      金川秀也
    • Organizer
      2013日本数学会年会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学、京都
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 確率微分方程式の離散化とその誤差評価について2013

    • Author(s)
      金川秀也
    • Organizer
      第62回理論応用力学講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学、東京
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Limit Theorems for Hilbert Space Valued Random Variables and their Applications to Investigation of Asymptotic Behaviors of Symmetric Statistics2012

    • Author(s)
      S. Kanagawa
    • Organizer
      The 8th International Conference on Differential Equations and Dynamical Systems
    • Place of Presentation
      ウォタールー, カナダ
    • Year and Date
      2012-08-14
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A model of stock prices using a multi-dimensional reflecting Brownian motion described by the Skorohod SDE2012

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa
    • Organizer
      AMS Sectional Meeting #1079
    • Place of Presentation
      アメリカ合衆国、タンパ(招待講演)
    • Year and Date
      2012-03-16
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 多次元反射壁ブラウン運動を用いた経済時系列モデルとその応用2012

    • Author(s)
      金川秀也、小菅直人
    • Organizer
      第61回理論応用力学講演会(NCTAM2012)
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-03-08
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A model of stock prices using a multi-dimensional reflecting Brownian motion described by the Skorohod SDE2012

    • Author(s)
      S. Kanagawa
    • Organizer
      AMS Sectional Meeting #1079
    • Place of Presentation
      タンパ, アメリカ合衆国
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Limit Theorems for Hilbert Space Valued Random Variables and their Applications to Investigation of Asymptotic Behaviors of Symmetric Statistics2012

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa
    • Organizer
      The 8th International Conference on Differential Equations and Dynamical Systems
    • Place of Presentation
      ウォタールー, カナダ
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] The nonlinear Schrodinger equation propagating on an elastic plate2012

    • Author(s)
      S. Kanagawa, B.T. Nohara
    • Organizer
      The International Conference on the Theory, Methods and Applications of Nonlinear Equations
    • Place of Presentation
      テキサス、アメリカ合衆国
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Statistical Scheme via AIC for Evaluating the Optimal Cut Off Level in Fuzzy Clustering2011

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa, K.Shinkai, H.Chung
    • Organizer
      IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems
    • Place of Presentation
      台北(台湾)
    • Year and Date
      2011-06-28
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A New Model Using A Semi-Reflecting Brownian Motion and its Application to Behavioral Finance2010

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa
    • Organizer
      The Fourth International Conference on Neural, Parallel & Scientific Computations
    • Place of Presentation
      ATLANTA,アメリカ合衆国(招待講演)
    • Year and Date
      2010-08-11
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] バイクロマチック波から導入されたギンツブルグ・ランダウ方程式の解の近似について2010

    • Author(s)
      金川秀也, 知沢清之, 新田貴士
    • Organizer
      第59回理論応用力学講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      日本学術会議(東京都港区)
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-08
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Approximated solution of Ginzburg-Landau equation induced from nearly bichromatic wave2010

    • Author(s)
      S. Kanagawa, K.Tchizawa and T.Nitta
    • Organizer
      The 8th AIMS Conference on Dynamical Systems, Differential Equations and Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      ドレスデン , ドイツ
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A New Model Using A Semi-Reflecting Brownian Motion and its Application to Behavioral Finance2010

    • Author(s)
      S. Kanagawa
    • Organizer
      The Fourth International Conference on Neural,Parallel & Scientific Computations
    • Place of Presentation
      アトランタ, アメリカ合衆国
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A New Model Using A Semi-Reflecting Brownian Motion and its Application to Behavioral Finance2010

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa
    • Organizer
      The Fourth International Conference on Neural, Parallel & Scientific Computations
    • Place of Presentation
      ATLANTA, アメリカ合衆国(招待講演)
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Presentation] 多次元バイクロマチック波から導かれるGinzburg-Landau方程式について2009

    • Author(s)
      金川秀也, 知沢清之, 新田貴士
    • Organizer
      第57回理論応用力学講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      日本学術会議(東京)
    • Year and Date
      2009-06-11
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Approximated Solution of Ginzburg-Landau Equation Induced from Nearly Bichromatic Wave2009

    • Author(s)
      金川秀也
    • Organizer
      Mini-Workshop on Applied Analysis and Probability
    • Place of Presentation
      国立台湾大学(台北)
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-24
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Change-point problems for coefficients of stochastic differential equations driven by stationary increments processes2008

    • Author(s)
      S. Kanagawa, K. Yoshihara
    • Organizer
      The 6th International Conference On Differential Equations and Dynamical Systems
    • Place of Presentation
      ボルチモア, アメリカ合衆国
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Change-point problems in regression estimation with dependent observations2008

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa a n d K . Yoshihara
    • Organizer
      World Congress of Nonlinear Analysts 2008
    • Place of Presentation
      オーランド, アメリカ合衆国
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Change-point problems for coefficients of stochastic differential equations driven by stationary increments sequence2008

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa, K.Yoshihara
    • Organizer
      The 6th International Conference On Differential Equations and Dynamical Systems
    • Place of Presentation
      Baltimore, アメリカ合衆国(招待講演)
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Presentation] Change-point problems in regression estimation with dependent observations2008

    • Author(s)
      S.Kanagawa, K.Yoshihara
    • Organizer
      World Congress of Nonlinear Analysts
    • Place of Presentation
      アメリカ合衆国(招待講演)
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Presentation] Change-point problems for coefficients of stochastic differential equations driven by stationary increments processes2008

    • Author(s)
      金川秀也
    • Organizer
      The 6th International Conference On Differential Equations and Dynamical Systems
    • Place of Presentation
      アメリカ合衆国、Baltimore
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Change-point problems in regression estimation with dependent observations2008

    • Author(s)
      金川秀也
    • Organizer
      World Congress of Nonlinear Analysts
    • Place of Presentation
      アメリカ合衆国、Orlando
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Ginzburg-Landau equations induced from multi-dimensional bichromatic waves2008

    • Author(s)
      金川秀也
    • Organizer
      World Congress of Nonlinear Analysts
    • Place of Presentation
      アメリカ合衆国、Orlando
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ファジィ理論-基礎と応用-2010

    • Author(s)
      山下元、瀧澤武信、金川秀也
    • Total Pages
      25
    • Publisher
      共立出版
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Book] ファジィ理論-基礎とその応用-2010

    • Author(s)
      山下元、瀧澤武信、金川秀也, 他
    • Publisher
      共立出版
    • Related Report
      2010 Self-evaluation Report
  • [Book] ファジィ理論-基礎とその応用-2010

    • Author(s)
      山下元、瀧澤武信、金川秀也, その他
    • Publisher
      共立出版
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2008-04-01   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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