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Prediction of Pacific bluefin tuna spawning area changes caused by global warming related rises in sea water temperature

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20688009
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field General fisheries
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

KITAGAWA Takashi  東京大学, 大学院・新領域創成科学研究科, 助教 (50431804)

Project Period (FY) 2008 – 2011
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2011)
Budget Amount *help
¥19,630,000 (Direct Cost: ¥15,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,530,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥10,920,000 (Direct Cost: ¥8,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,520,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Keywords水産学 / クロマグロ / 地球温暖化 / 飼育実験 / 数値実験 / 仔魚 / 海水温 / 輸送 / 卵・仔魚 / 輪送
Research Abstract

The predicted changes in spawning areas due to global warming and the resulting rise in sea surface temperatures are investigated in this study. Rearing experiments of eggs and larvae to determine optimum temperatures, biologging measurements to compare behavioral physiology of Pacific bluefin tuna(Thunnus orientalis) to that of yellowfin tuna(T. albacares), and a simulation using an ocean model under a climate warming scenario were conducted. The results were as follows :(1) The optimum temperature for eggs and larvae were 26(2) Bluefin tuna would lack the ability to radiate excess body heat thus global warming could affect their distribution in the future.(3) The predicted survival rates of larvae arriving in Japanese coastal waters in 2100 would decline to 36% of present recruitment levels.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2011 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2010 Annual Research Report   Self-evaluation Report ( PDF )
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • 2008 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (35 results)

All 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 Other

All Journal Article (14 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 12 results) Presentation (7 results) Book (7 results) Remarks (7 results)

  • [Journal Article] 回遊経路はどこまでわかったか2012

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士
    • Journal Title

      月刊海洋

      Volume: 96 Pages: 70-78

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report 2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Effects of larval ontogeny, turbulence, and prey density on survival in red sea bream Pagrus major larvae2012

    • Author(s)
      Kato Y, Oshima M, Yamashita Y, Kitagawa T, Kimura S
    • Journal Title

      Coastal Marine Science

      Volume: 35 Pages: 262-268

    • NAID

      120004108462

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report 2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Population connectivity of Ezo abalone on the northern Pacific coast of Japan in relation to harvest refugia establishment : a modeling approach to larval dispersal processes2011

    • Author(s)
      Miyake Y, Kimura S, Kawamura T, Kitagawa T, Takahashi T, Takami H
    • Journal Title

      Marine Ecology Progress Series

      Volume: 440 Pages: 137-150

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report 2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Vortex flow produced by schooling behavior of arabesque greenling Pleurogrammus azonus2011

    • Author(s)
      Kitagawa T, Nakagawa T, Kimura R, Niino, H, Kimura S
    • Journal Title

      Fisheries Science

      Volume: 77 Pages: 217-222

    • NAID

      10027958392

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report 2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The restricted spawning area and season of Pacific bluefin tuna facilitate use of nursery areas : a modeling approach to larval and juvenile dispersal processes2010

    • Author(s)
      Kitagawa T, Kato Y, Miller MJ, Sasai Y, Sasaki H, Kimura S
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology

      Volume: 393 Pages: 23-31

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report 2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Impacts of environmental variability and global warming scenario on Pacific bluefin tuna(Thunnus orientalis) spawning grounds and recruitment habitat2010

    • Author(s)
      Kimura S, Kato Y, Kitagawa T, Yamaoka N
    • Journal Title

      Progress in Oceanography

      Volume: 86 Pages: 39-44

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Impacts of environmental variability and global warming scenario on Pacific bluefin tuna (Thunnus orientalis) spawning grounds and recruitment habitat2010

    • Author(s)
      Kimura S, Kato Y, Kitagawa T, Yamaoka N.
    • Journal Title

      Progress in Oceanography

      Volume: 86 Pages: 39-44

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Sasaki H. Immature Pacific bluefin tuna, Thunnus orientalis, utilizes cold waters in the Subarctic Frontal Zone for trans-Pacific migration2009

    • Author(s)
      Kitagawa T, Kimura S, Nakata H, Yamada H, Nitta A, Sasai Y
    • Journal Title

      Environmental Biology of Fishes

      Volume: 84 Pages: 193-196

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Simulating larval dispersal processes for abalone using a coupled particle-tracking and hydrodynamic model : implications for refugium design2009

    • Author(s)
      Miyake Y, Kimura S, Kawamura T, Horii T, Kurogi H, Kitagawa T.
    • Journal Title

      Marine Ecology Progress Series

      Volume: 387 Pages: 205-222

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Immature Pacific bluefin tuna, Thunnus orientalis, utilizes cold waters in the Subarctic Frontal Zone for trans-Pacific migration2009

    • Author(s)
      Kitagawa T, Kimura S, Nakata H, Yamada H. Nitta A, Sasai Y, Sasaki H
    • Journal Title

      Environmental Biology of Fishes 84

      Pages: 193-196

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Turbulence effect on the survival and feeding of Pacific bluefin tuna, Thunnus orientalis, larvae on the basis of a rearing experiment2008

    • Author(s)
      Kato Y, Takebe T, Masuma S, Kitagawa T, Kimura S
    • Journal Title

      Fisheries Science

      Volume: 74 Pages: 48-53

    • NAID

      10020474013

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] クロマグロThunnus orientalisの行動生態と水温適応機構に関する研究2008

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士
    • Journal Title

      日本水産学会誌

      Volume: 74 Pages: 580-583

    • NAID

      110006824944

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Turbulence effect on the survival and feeding of Pacific bluefin tuna, Thunnus orientalis, larvae on the basis of a rearing experiment2008

    • Author(s)
      Kato Y, Takebe T, Masuma S, Kitagawa T, Kimura S.
    • Journal Title

      Fisheries Science 74

      Pages: 48-53

    • NAID

      10020474013

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Studies on the behavioral ecology and thermal adaptation mechanisms of Pacific bluefin tuna, Thunnus orientalis2008

    • Author(s)
      Kitagawa T
    • Journal Title

      Nippon Suisan Gakkaishi 74

      Pages: 580-583

    • NAID

      110006824944

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 水温環境履歴の解明に向けたクロマグロの耳石δ^<18>Oの有効性の検討2011

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士・石村豊穂・魚里怜那・白井厚太朗・天野洋典・篠田章・角皆潤・木村伸吾
    • Organizer
      平成23年度日本水産学会秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      長崎大学水産学部
    • Year and Date
      2011-09-29
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] クロマグロ,熱い血潮をもつ魚2011

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士
    • Organizer
      第1回魚類テレメトリー国際会議
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学学術交流会館
    • Year and Date
      2011-06-18
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] クロマグロ,熱い血潮をもつ魚2011

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士
    • Organizer
      第1回魚類テレメトリー国際会議
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-06-13
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] クロマグロThunnus orientalisの行動生態と水温適応機構に関する研究2010

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士
    • Organizer
      日本農学進歩賞受賞講演
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-22
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] クロマグロの卵発生の環境水温固執性2010

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士・溝呂木奈緒・木村伸吾・加藤慶樹・塩澤聡・武部孝行・三森亮介・雨宮健太郎・森真朗・坂本和弘
    • Organizer
      平成22年度日本水産学会春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      日本大学生物資源学部
    • Year and Date
      2010-03-27
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report 2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Trans-Pacific migration of Loggerhead turtle hatchlings inferred from a numerical simulation2010

    • Author(s)
      Kitagawa T, Okuyama J, Zenimoto K, Kimura S, Arai N, Sasai Y, Sasaki H
    • Organizer
      The 30th Sea Turtle Symposium
    • Place of Presentation
      Goa, India
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 水温環境履歴の解明に向けたクロマグロの耳石δ18Oの有効性の検討2009

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士・石村豊穂・魚里怜那・白井厚太良・天野洋典・篠田章・角皆潤・木村伸吾
    • Organizer
      平成23年度日本水産学会秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      長崎大学水産学部
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-29
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Book] マグロはおもしろい美味のひみつ,生き様のなぞ2012

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士
    • Total Pages
      272
    • Publisher
      講談社
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Book] マグロはおもしろい 美味のひみつ、生き様のなぞ2012

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士
    • Total Pages
      272
    • Publisher
      講談社
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 自然環境の創る世界2011

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Book] 水産の21世紀-海から拓く食料自給2010

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士
    • Publisher
      京都大学出版会
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Book] クロマグロの渡洋回遊.「水産の21世紀-海から拓く食料自給」,田中克・川合真一郎・谷口順彦・坂田泰造編2010

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士
    • Publisher
      京都大学出版会
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] バイオロギング2009

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士
    • Publisher
      日本バイオロギング研究会
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Book] クロマグロは水温変化に敏感だった.「バイオロギング」2009

    • Author(s)
      北川貴士
    • Publisher
      京都通信社
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://mbe.aori.u-tokyo.ac.jp/index.html

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] シンポジウム東京大学大気海洋研究所共同利用研究集会「電子標識を用いた高度回遊性魚類の生態研究の現状」コンビーナー:北川貴士・木村伸吾.東京大学大気海洋研究所.平成23年12月8日-9日

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] アウトリーチ活動情報市民講座:「熱い血潮のマグロたち」東京私立中学合同相談会, 2010年5月9日,東京国際フォーラム

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://mbe.ori.u-tokyo.ac.jp/index.html

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://mbe.ori.u-tokyo.ac.jp/index.html

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://mbe.ori.u-tokyo.ac.jp/index.html

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://mbe.ori.u-tokyo.ac.jp/index.html

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2008-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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