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Two demographic dividends, human capital, and economic growth

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20730181
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionKobe University

Principal Investigator

KINUGASA Tomoko  神戸大学, 経済学研究科, 准教授 (70324902)

Project Period (FY) 2008 – 2011
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2011)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywords人口ボーナス / 寿命 / 経済成長 / 貯蓄 / 人的資本 / 農業 / 日本 / アジア / 世代重複モデル / 教育 / 中国
Research Abstract

First, the effects of two demographic dividends, which attract attentions of demographers, on saving and economic growth are analyzed theoretically and empirically. We found that second demographic dividend, namely, an increase in longevity, can have positive effects on economic growth in developed countries. Second, we conducted simulation analysis about the effect of demographic change on industrial structure, and it was suggested that the importance of agriculture can increase in the future in Japan. Third, we found that human capital is quite important for economic growth according to our empirical results using the data of China and Thailand.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2011 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • 2008 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (19 results)

All 2011 2010 2009 2008

All Journal Article (12 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (6 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 中国内モンゴルにおける畜産物生産成長の要因分析2011

    • Author(s)
      姚万軍・山口三十四・衣笠智子
    • Journal Title

      国民経済雑誌

      Volume: 第203巻第5号

    • NAID

      110008436603

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report 2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 日本の都道府県別食料自給率の決定と農業生産構造2010

    • Author(s)
      山口三十四・中川雅嗣・衣笠智子
    • Journal Title

      農林業問題研究

      Volume: 第46巻第3号 Pages: 1-11

    • NAID

      10027628631

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 地方自治体における居住地選択と住環境の相互依存関係:兵庫県市町村と都道府県データを用いた計量的研究2010

    • Author(s)
      岡田修一・衣笠智子・山口三十四
    • Journal Title

      国民経済雑誌

      Volume: 第202巻第5号 Pages: 93-107

    • NAID

      110007767381

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 日本農業の技術効率性と収束-マルムクイスト指数およびパネル単位根検定を用いた計量的研究2010

    • Author(s)
      高松良樹・衣笠智子
    • Journal Title

      経済政策ジャーナル

      Volume: 第7巻第1号 Pages: 49-67

    • NAID

      40017022815

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 地方自治体における居住地選択と住環境の相互依存関係-兵庫県市町村と都道府県データを用いた計量的研究2010

    • Author(s)
      岡田修一、衣笠智子、山口三十四
    • Journal Title

      国民経済雑誌

      Volume: 202 Pages: 93-107

    • NAID

      110007767381

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Adoption of the Euro and EconomicIntegration : Empirical Analyses of the Dispersion of Big Mac Prices2009

    • Author(s)
      Yukio Fukumoto and Tomoko Kinugasa
    • Journal Title

      Hanyang Journal of Economic Studies

      Volume: Vol.30, No.2 Pages: 27-39

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 中国における人的資本と経済および社会の計量的分析2008

    • Author(s)
      黄偉・衣笠智子・山口三十四
    • Journal Title

      国民経済雑誌

      Volume: 第197巻第6号 Pages: 85-100

    • NAID

      110006680668

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The Effect of Demographic Change on Industrial Structure : A Study Using the Overlapping Generations and General Equilibrium Growth Accounting Models2008

    • Author(s)
      Kinugasa, Tomoko and Yamaguchi, Mitoshi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Population Studies

      Volume: Vol.42 Pages: 21-40

    • NAID

      110009825090

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] East Asian Development : TwoDemographic Dividends2008

    • Author(s)
      Andrew Mason and Tomoko Kinugasa
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Asian Economics

      Volume: Vol.19, No.5-6 Pages: 389-400

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The Effect of Demographic Change on Industrial Structure : A Study Using the Overlapping Generations and General Equilibrium Growth Accounting Models2008

    • Author(s)
      Kinugasa, Tomoko and Yamaguchi, Mitoshi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Population Studies 42

      Pages: 21-40

    • NAID

      110009825090

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] East Asian Development : Two Demographic Dividends2008

    • Author(s)
      Mason, Andrew and Kinugasa, Tomoko
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Asian Economics 19 (5-6)

      Pages: 389-400

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 中国における人的資本と経済および社会の計量的分析2008

    • Author(s)
      黄〓・衣笠智子・山口三十四
    • Journal Title

      国民経済雑誌 第197巻第6号

      Pages: 85-100

    • NAID

      110006680668

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地方自治体の人口規模と財政支出についての計量的研究2011

    • Author(s)
      岡田修一・衣笠智子・山口三十四
    • Organizer
      日本経済政策学会
    • Place of Presentation
      駒澤大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-05-30
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地方自治体の人口規模と財政支出についての計量的研究2011

    • Author(s)
      岡田修一・衣笠智子・山口三十四
    • Organizer
      日本経済政策学会
    • Place of Presentation
      駒澤大学(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2011-05-30
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Demographic Dividends, Depopulation, and Importance of Agriculture in Japan : the Past, the Present, and the Future2010

    • Author(s)
      Kinugasa, Tomoko and Mitoshi Yamaguchi
    • Organizer
      Population Association of America
    • Place of Presentation
      Hyatt Regency Dallas
    • Year and Date
      2010-04-15
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Demographic Dividends, Depopulation, and Importance of Agriculture in Japan : the Past, the Present, and the Future2010

    • Author(s)
      Tomoko Kinugasa, Mitoshi Yamaguchi
    • Organizer
      Population Association of America
    • Place of Presentation
      Hyatt Regency Dallas (アメリカ)
    • Year and Date
      2010-04-15
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Demographic Change, Capital Accumulation, and Agriculture : A Study Using the Overlapping Generations Model and the General EquilibriumGrowth Accounting Model2008

    • Author(s)
      Kinugasa, Tomoko and Mitoshi Yamaguchi
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-06-01
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Demographic Change, Capital Accumulation, and Agriculture : A Study Using the Overlapping, Generations Model and the General Equilibrium Growth Accounting Model2008

    • Author(s)
      Kinugasa, Tomoko and Yamaguchi, Mitoshi
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北大学
    • Year and Date
      2008-06-01
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ハンドブック経済学2011

    • Author(s)
      衣笠智子
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2008-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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